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Partial dichotomy
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by sdy:
https://www.realclearpolitics....campaign_150605.html

Ben Shapiro

This week, new polling showed what Democrats have long feared: Donald Trump is now in commanding position to defeat Joe Biden and win reelection in 2024. According to the latest New York Times/Siena poll, Trump is up 48-43 over Biden; what's more, Biden is actually underwater among Hispanics, earns just two-thirds of Black votes, and has cratered among independents. According to the RealClearPolitics polling average, Trump now leads in every swing state but Pennsylvania and is within the margin of error there, too. Nationally, Trump has not trailed Biden since September 2023.

We all know what's going wrong for Biden: He's widely perceived as too old to be running again; Americans remain unhappy with the economy, deeply enraged over border policy and alarmed by the brush fires around the world. Biden came into office promising normalcy, and he has instead delivered chaos.

But there's something else going on, too.

Joe Biden is losing to Donald Trump because of a dirty little secret: Donald Trump is actually the moderate in this race.

On nearly every issue, Trump is closer to the median voter than Biden. Biden won the Democratic primaries over Sen. Bernie Sanders in 2020 because voters thought he would tack toward the center, away from the insanity of The Squad in Congress -- borderline psychotics like Reps. Cori Bush, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Rashida Tlaib and Ilhan Omar. Instead, he entered office believing that he had a mandate for transformation, that he could become our age's FDR or LBJ.

And so Biden abandoned the middle.

And median voters are now abandoning Biden. As election analyst Nate Silver rightly observes, The New York Times poll shows that "only 83 percent of voters who say they chose Biden in 2020 plan to vote for him this year, whereas 97 percent who voted for Trump plan to vote for Trump again. These are swing voters, in other words -- people who are explicitly stating to pollsters that they are switching their vote from 2020. There are a substantial number of them." Because the legacy media are monolithically radical on matters of politics, they keep encouraging Biden to double down on the left-wing base, hoping that by steering toward the radicals, he can boost voter turnout. But that strategy is leaving independent voters behind.

On immigration, Biden is underwater by over 20 points. On inflation and spending, Americans favor lower inflation and lower spending -- both propositions that cut against Biden's preferred policies. On national security, Americans broadly favor Israel over Hamas -- and yet Biden's administration has steered toward the pro-Hamas voters in Dearborn, Michigan.

For some reason, Biden and his team think that their echo chamber strategy -- shouting "Jan. 6!" over and over while demonizing their political opposition as insurrectionists and traitors -- is likely to jog enough base turnout to overcome their loss of the middle. But that's a chimerical proposition. Biden, in other words, has been suckered by the very people who want him to win most -- the radicals in the media who keep ramming him toward the far left, even as he falls further and further behind in the polling.

chimeric - existing only as a product of unchecked imagination


This would make a lot more sense if they just said 0bama was in his third term.




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Posts: 39399 | Location: SC Lowcountry/Cape Cod | Registered: November 22, 2002Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Peace through
superior firepower
Picture of parabellum
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NSFL (Not Safe For Leftists)

https://twitter.com/Nuked4Ever.../1766892356454797791



____________________________________________________

"I am your retribution." - Donald Trump, speech at CPAC, March 4, 2023
 
Posts: 109647 | Registered: January 20, 2000Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Never miss an opportunity
to be Batman!
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Posts: 4079 | Location: St.Louis County MO | Registered: October 13, 2006Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Political Cynic
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Not going bother reading polling info or navel gazing.

November is the only poll that means a pinch of coonshit.

I’ve heard it all before
 
Posts: 53951 | Location: Tucson Arizona | Registered: January 16, 2002Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Peace through
superior firepower
Picture of parabellum
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Posts: 109647 | Registered: January 20, 2000Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Member
Picture of erj_pilot
posted Hide Post
^^^^^^
I sure hate to see the GOP sink to this level, but as the saying goes, you have to fight fire with fire and sometimes you have to wrastle the pig. If "we" are gonna do this, then make DAMNED sure "we" bury those MFers!!!!

LEAVE.
NO.
DOUBT.



"If you’re a leader, you lead the way. Not just on the easy ones; you take the tough ones too…” – MAJ Richard D. Winters (1918-2011), E Company, 2nd Battalion, 506th Parachute Infantry Regiment, 101st Airborne

"Woe to those who call evil good, and good evil... Therefore, as tongues of fire lick up straw and as dry grass sinks down in the flames, so their roots will decay and their flowers blow away like dust; for they have rejected the law of the Lord Almighty and spurned the word of the Holy One of Israel." - Isaiah 5:20,24
 
Posts: 11066 | Location: NW Houston | Registered: April 04, 2012Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Get Off My Lawn
Picture of oddball
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Top priority for Whatley and Lara Trump is "protecting the vote", ballot fraud. They revealed they so far have over 10,000 people specifically to man voting centers and polls, and will get many more by November. IMO, voter fraud will be less of an issue this year because unlike 2020, Republicans now know the methods of fraud, and the RNC will not be sitting on their hands this time. Widespread fraud surprised the Republicans 4 years ago, but now they are expecting and preparing for it.



"I’m not going to read Time Magazine, I’m not going to read Newsweek, I’m not going to read any of these magazines; I mean, because they have too much to lose by printing the truth"- Bob Dylan, 1965
 
Posts: 17430 | Location: Texas | Registered: May 13, 2003Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Void Where Prohibited
Picture of WaterburyBob
posted Hide Post
Where do I sign up?
I'd love to help keep the demo-rats from cheating.



"If Gun Control worked, Chicago would look like Mayberry, not Thunderdome" - Cam Edwards
 
Posts: 16682 | Location: Under the Boot of Tyranny in Connectistan | Registered: February 02, 2005Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Member
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Democrats’ Jan. 6 panel withheld crucial evidence, including denial from Trump driver: new report

For the first time, the report released information from the Secret Service driver who took Trump to his Jan. 6, 2021, speech on the Ellipse and back to the White House. The driver directly contradicted claim Trump tried to grab wheel of the presidential SUV and take it to the Capitol.

https://justthenews.com/govern..._campaign=newsletter

The House Democrat-led Jan. 6 committee withheld crucial evidence from the public, including witness interviews that conflicted with the testimony of star witness Cassidy Hutchinson and her claim then-President Donald Trump tried to commandeer his presidential SUV and take it to the U.S. Capitol that day, House Republicans declared in an explosive new report Monday.

The House Administration Subcommittee on Oversight, chaired by Rep. Barry Loudermilk, R-Ga., released its first findings from its year-long probe into Capitol security failures on Jan. 6, 2021, and the initial Democrat effort to investigate the incident.

The report provided evidence contradicting several claims that Democrats made in their final report in December 2022.

For the first time, Loudermilk’s report released information from the Secret Service driver who took Trump to his Jan. 6, 2021 speech on the Ellipse and back to the White House. The driver, who wasn’t identified by name, directly contradicted Hutchinson’s story about Trump trying to grab the wheel of the presidential SUV and take it to the Capitol, the report said.

“The driver testified that he specifically refuted the version of events as recounted by Hutchinson,” the report states. "The driver of the SUV testified that he 'did not see him reach [redacted]. [President Trump] never grabbed the steering wheel. I didn’t see him, you know, lunge to try to get into the front seat at all.'”

The report also concludes that Trump did, in fact, instruct his staff ahead of Jan. 6 to offer 10,000 National Guard troops to the Capitol for extra security and that the tragedy could have been prevented had Capitol Police, Washington D.C. officials and congressional leaders better heeded intelligence suggesting there would be violence that day.

“The events of January 6, 2021, were preventable,” the report stated. “The politicization of Capitol security directly contributed to the many structural and procedural failures witnessed that day.”

You can read the full report here.

File
4F510144C1F427873D3298D955C8E19F.initial-findings-report.pdf
The report confirms two years worth of reporting by Just the News on the Jan. 6 failures, including that Hutchinson’s made significant changes to her testimony that were not revealed by the Jan. 6 committee and that White House officials had received instructions from Trump to offer the 10,000 National Guard troops to assist the Capitol and Washington, D.C. Mayor Muriel Bowser with security.

In both conclusions, the report cites previously unreleased testimony from former White House Deputy Chief of Staff for Operations Tony Ornato, who oversaw security matters for Trump

The report stated, confirming earlier Just the News reporting, that on Jan. 3, 2021, “acting Secretary Miller and Chairman (Mark) Milley met with President Trump regarding the D.C. Government’s RFA.299. In this meeting, President Trump approved acting Secretary Miller activating the D.C. National Guard to support law enforcement."

The report said Ornato confirmed that the next day White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows talked with Washington D.C. officials and discussed a troop deployment of up to 10,000 National Guard members.

“In Ornato’s January 28, 2022, previously unreleased transcribed interview with the Select Committee, he stated, ‘I do recall a conversation, I believe, it was with Mr. Meadows and the mayor, Mayor Bowser,’” the report stated. “’ ... I had walked in for something, and I was there, and he was on the phone with her and wanted to make sure she had everything that she needed ... and I remember the number 10,000 coming up of, you know, the President wants to make sure that you have enough.”

The report also noted that multiple Secret Service employees, in addition to the driver and Ornato directly disputed Hutchinson’s now infamous account that Trump was so enraged after his speech on the Ellipse that he tried to commandeer his presidential SUV – known as the Beast – and force his detail to take him to the Capitol to join the rioters.

The Democrat committee credited Hutchinson’s version of events, which she said she got from Ornato.

“In Ornato’s November 29, 2022, transcribed interview, he directly refuted Hutchinson’s testimony that she allegedly heard the story about what happened in the Beast," the report said. "Ornato testified that the first time he had ever heard the story Hutchinson claims Ornato told her on January 6, was during Hutchinson’s public testimony."

Last year, Just the News reported Hutchinson had made significant changes to her original testimony before the Jan. 6 committee and filed an errata sheet to "correct" substantial portions of her previous interviews. The infamous story about the Beast was not present in her original testimony, according to the errata sheet obtained by Just the News.

In her memoir, Enough, Hutchinson claimed she originally withheld information from the committee at the direction of her first lawyer, Stefan Passantino. He disputed Hutchinson’s characterization of his legal work and filed a lawsuit against the House of Representatives for damages to his business and to his reputation.

The report said White House officials also told the original Jan. 6 committee that there never was a plan to go to the Capitol that day and that Trump, while angry in the SUV, did not try to force it to go to the scene of the riot.

“None of the White House employees corroborated Hutchinson’s sensational story about President Trump lunging for the steering wheel of the Beast,” the report said.

“However, some witnesses did describe the President’s mood after the speech at the Ellipse. It is highly improbable that the other White House Employees would have heard about the President’s mood in the SUV following his speech at the Ellipse, but not heard the sensational story."

The report chided the Democrat committee for crediting Hutchinson’s account in the face of conflicting evidence.

“The Select Committee said that it regarded both Hutchinson and the corroborating testimony by the White House employee with national security responsibilities as earnest and has no reason to conclude that either had a reason to invent their accounts,'” the report concluded. “However, as shown in the full transcribed interview of the White House employee with national security responsibilities, their testimony did not corroborate Hutchinson’s.

“It was an entirely different version of events. The witnesses told a different story, one about the President’s mood and none of them ever testified they heard anything even similar to the story recounted by Hutchinson."


_________________________
"Sometimes I wonder whether the world is being run by smart people who are putting us on or by imbeciles who really mean it."
Mark Twain
 
Posts: 13325 | Registered: January 17, 2011Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Staring back
from the abyss
Picture of Gustofer
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quote:
Originally posted by oddball:
Republicans now know the methods of fraud,

Don't count on it. The commies are always a move ahead.

They've been suspiciously quiet regarding the election and seem very sure of themselves, not unlike 2020. There was no doubt in the communist leadership that Biden was going to win despite ALL evidence to the contrary. Lo and behold...he did. You can bet that they've got something up their sleeves.

That is, if we even have an election come November. Perhaps that is what they have up their sleeve.


________________________________________________________
"Great danger lies in the notion that we can reason with evil." Doug Patton.
 
Posts: 20821 | Location: Montana | Registered: November 01, 2010Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Peace through
superior firepower
Picture of parabellum
posted Hide Post
.
Mass Layoffs at the RNC; More Than 60 Staffers Will Be Let Go


____________________________________________________

"I am your retribution." - Donald Trump, speech at CPAC, March 4, 2023
 
Posts: 109647 | Registered: January 20, 2000Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Partial dichotomy
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^^^ I have to believe this is a very good thing!




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Posts: 39399 | Location: SC Lowcountry/Cape Cod | Registered: November 22, 2002Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Peace through
superior firepower
Picture of parabellum
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I guess Fredo figures that if his side is going to lose, at least he can look good by making a correct prediction.

AIN'T THAT RIGHT, FREDO? Razz

https://twitter.com/bennyjohns.../1767343400380924118



____________________________________________________

"I am your retribution." - Donald Trump, speech at CPAC, March 4, 2023
 
Posts: 109647 | Registered: January 20, 2000Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Partial dichotomy
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Hell yeah!




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Posts: 39399 | Location: SC Lowcountry/Cape Cod | Registered: November 22, 2002Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Get Off My Lawn
Picture of oddball
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by Gustofer:
Don't count on it. The commies are always a move ahead.

They've been suspiciously quiet regarding the election and seem very sure of themselves, not unlike 2020. There was no doubt in the communist leadership that Biden was going to win despite ALL evidence to the contrary. Lo and behold...he did. You can bet that they've got something up their sleeves.

That is, if we even have an election come November. Perhaps that is what they have up their sleeve.


The U.S. will have an election in November. And the commies are not always one step ahead.

And I believe the Dems will lose to Trump. The rats are leaving a sinking ship- Nuland is resigning and today, HUD secretary Marcia Fudge announced her resignation. Trump is making the right moves, taking over the RNC is a big one.

I think the Dems behind the scenes are resigned to the fact that Trump very well will win.



"I’m not going to read Time Magazine, I’m not going to read Newsweek, I’m not going to read any of these magazines; I mean, because they have too much to lose by printing the truth"- Bob Dylan, 1965
 
Posts: 17430 | Location: Texas | Registered: May 13, 2003Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Peace through
superior firepower
Picture of parabellum
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Who knows? Maybe even without "legal ballet harvesting" we'll have enough votes to override the rampant cheating these slimy amoral sons o' bitches are sure to engage in.

The Dems are losing more and more black and latino voters every day.

The problem is that the leftists know that they have to keep Donald Trump out of office, because if he gets back in, that's their ass. This isn't the Donald Trump of January, 2017, green as can be. No, this is the Donald Trump of January, 2025, who has been put through the ringer, trampled on, stabbed in the back hundreds of times, charged for crimes he's never committed, impeached, abandoned by supposed allies, and all the rest.

If The Donald gets back in there, he knows what needs to be done, knows how to get it done, and knows who he needs with him to do it.

And you slimy melon farmers, we're comin' Mad


____________________________________________________

"I am your retribution." - Donald Trump, speech at CPAC, March 4, 2023
 
Posts: 109647 | Registered: January 20, 2000Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Make America Great Again
Picture of bronicabill
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by parabellum:
<<snip>>
If The Donald gets back in there, he knows what needs to be done, knows how to get it done, and knows who he needs with him to do it.

And you slimy melon farmers, we're comin' Mad

Anticipating this for the next 8 months makes me feel like a kid waiting on Christmas! I'm all giddy with excitement!!!


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North Alabama
 
Posts: 4837 | Location: Madison, AL | Registered: December 06, 2009Reply With QuoteReport This Post
wishing we
were congress
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Meet Laura Kavanagh, the Fire Commander of the New York City Fire Department and the woman who started the investigation into firefighters who booed Letitia James and chanted for Trump. She was appointed by Mayor Eric Adams and has never been a firefighter herself.

She’s worked on many political campaigns for democrats and even oversaw the complete diversification of the FDNY. Her office has made it clear that anyone who was involved in booing James will be “educated” on proper conduct.

Why is a woman who’s never served as a firefighter serving as the Commander?

https://twitter.com/Travis_in_...titia-james-n3784417
 
Posts: 19759 | Registered: July 21, 2002Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Just because you can,
doesn't mean you should
posted Hide Post
The Robert Hur Congressional hearings today could be interesting.

In case anybody doesn't remember, Hur's the Special Prosecutor that investigated the Biden classified documents case in Delaware that paralleled the Trump documents case.

How will he, and both sides of questioners, approach the issue of memory that caused him to not charge Biden with any crimes when he says Biden clearly committed some.

The Republican side looks easy but they have to handle it correctly which is often a problem for them.
The Democrats will likely attack him as a Trump appointee to create a lot of smoke and confusion since that really doesn't address the real issues at all. They have to thread a really fine needle for anyone paying attention, and hope most are not. Not a bad bet.

In my opinion, he should have gone forward and prepared an indictment and then let the judge in the case make the call about mental competency, if that was truly the issue.

Let's see how this goes.


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Posts: 9909 | Location: NE GA | Registered: August 22, 2002Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Member
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https://rumble.com/v4il0d3-bla...aign=TheLibertyDaily



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"Sometimes I wonder whether the world is being run by smart people who are putting us on or by imbeciles who really mean it."
Mark Twain
 
Posts: 13325 | Registered: January 17, 2011Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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