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When will the coronavirus arrive in the US? (Disease: COVID-19; Virus: SARS-CoV-2) Login/Join 
Member
Picture of vthoky
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^^^^^
Way to play the victim, Nancy. Roll Eyes




God bless America.
 
Posts: 13503 | Location: The mountainous part of Hokie Nation! | Registered: July 15, 2007Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Glorious SPAM!
Picture of mbinky
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The Marion Barry defense - "Bitch set me up".
 
Posts: 10635 | Registered: June 13, 2003Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Member
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I often wonder how much dirt Pelosi has on the House democrats, and how exactly she uncovered or planted the dirt.

There is no other possible reason they would keep her as speaker.
 
Posts: 4727 | Location: Indiana | Registered: December 28, 2004Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Internet Guru
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I don't know which is more preposterous...that city functionaries are now telling us when we can get a haircut, or that crazy Nancy has constituents that routinely return her to Congress. This country is in precipitous decline.
 
Posts: 1971 | Registered: April 06, 2013Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Member
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This was enlightening. Especially the part where the community is attacking her because of what happened.
quote:
Salon owner joins Tucker, pushes back on Pelosi’s claim she was ‘set-up’

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c7lRKAtD4xE


____________________________________________________

The butcher with the sharpest knife has the warmest heart.
 
Posts: 13401 | Location: Bottom of Lake Washington | Registered: March 06, 2007Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Gracie Allen is my
personal savior!
posted Hide Post
Nope, nope, she's standing up and doing the right thing now.

"I take responsibility for falling for a setup. And that's all I'm going to say on that."

http://www.yahoo.com/gma/pelosi...-hair-194527847.html

Nan, when you throw your longtime salon under the bus and your best defense is to claim you "fell for" something, you know you got caught being full of it.

Hell, that crazy old broad will probably go back to the same salon next month and expect a discount.
 
Posts: 27293 | Location: Deep in the heart of the brush country, and closing on that #&*%!?! roadrunner. Really. | Registered: February 05, 2008Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Coin Sniper
Picture of Rightwire
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Come on, no Democrat takes responsibility for anything. If caught in a lie their memory failed. If caught breaking the law, it's the fault of LEO and a misunderstanding. Caught using their power for personal gain, they were set up.
Then it's lie, cover, deflect, etc




Pronoun: His Royal Highness and benevolent Majesty of all he surveys

343 - Never Forget

Its better to be Pavlov's dog than Schrodinger's cat

There are three types of mistakes; Those you learn from, those you suffer from, and those you don't survive.
 
Posts: 37965 | Location: Above the snow line in Michigan | Registered: May 21, 2004Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Festina Lente
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NRA Life Member - "Fear God and Dreadnaught"
 
Posts: 8295 | Location: in the red zone of the blue state, CT | Registered: October 15, 2008Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Lawyers, Guns
and Money
Picture of chellim1
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The Covid-19 Pandemic is Ending

Covid19 has already passed through all 50 states as a single major contagious wave in each state. There were 33 early states where the epidemic was over by June, and 14 late states where the epidemic now is ending.

Every week in America about 51,000 people die from all causes. This number rises and falls during the winter due to flu-like illnesses and goes back to baseline in the summer. No one panics about it, and most people don’t even realize that it happens. This year was worse than normal, but we’ve almost returned to baseline.

But this year -- everyone panicked! William Briggs has documented this in his Coronavirus Update series, and this article adds to his analysis by examining state level data.

As Briggs has argued, the most important data is the data for deaths from all causes. Covid19 attributed deaths are subject to interpretation as either died from or died with Covid19, and death certificates can be misleading because of the attribution of cause (here and here.) The bubble burst his week when the CDC reported that only 6% of the total Covid19 attributed deaths were from the virus alone.

In contrast to the Covid19 attributed deaths, the number for deaths from all causes is a hard number. The deaths from all causes number exposes the current mass panic as an historical aberration and confirms the evidence that the mass panic has been engineered by politicians and a biased medical establishment.

The 11 year weekly deaths from all causes graph (here and below,) shows that the 2020 flu season was about normal until it spiked for eight weeks in April and May due to Covid19 (CDC data here and here). The April high of 78,000 was significantly higher than the previous multi-year high of 67,000 in 2018, but just as in previous years, the temporary spike rapidly declined toward baseline.

The 11 year baseline increased from about 45,000 in 2009 to about 51,000 in 2019, generally as a result of increasing population. After this year’s April spike to 78,000, the current weekly all causes deaths number is down to 55,000, about 4,000 higher than the projected baseline. We are at week 32 of the year, and flu season is about to kick in. What does this mean regarding the Covid19 epidemic?

The national number for Covid19 attributed deaths has two peaks of weekly deaths, as illustrated in the graph for Weekly Covid19 Attributed Deaths below (CDC data here.) Since it takes about three weeks for incoming data at the CDC to stabilize at a final value, the last three weeks of data in panel A of the graph will increase. This has stoked fears that the epidemic is still raging across the country, and that a second wave of contagion is beginning.

That’s not what’s happening.

The Covid19 attributed deaths can be divided into two groups: early epidemic states, and late epidemic states. There were 33 early epidemic states where the majority of deaths occurred before June 1, and where the epidemic peaked in April and May. There were 14 late states where the majority of deaths occurred after June 1, and where the peaks were in July and August.

Among the 33 early states, seven states in the northeastern region of the country contributed 71% of the early states deaths: New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, Illinois, and Michigan.

The majority of the 14 late states were southern coastal states: South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Mississippi, Alabama, Texas, Tennessee, and Arkansas. California was the other coastal state where the main epidemic peak occurred after June 1. Nevada and Arizona are contiguous with California and also peaked after June and were included in the coastal group. The three non-coastal states in the 14 late states group only contributed 1.3% of the deaths.

Geographically, the coastal late states group makes up the southern rim of the country: California, Arizona, Nevada, Texas, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, Florida, Tennessee, Arkansas, and South Carolina. The obvious suggestion from these data is that the virus spread out as a single shock wave through the northeastern states first, where the largest death toll was mostly in areas of high population density.

There was a dramatic decline in deaths as the viral shock wave pushed through the less populous interior states. Then, as the viral shock wave began penetrating the more southerly, warmer, coastal states about two months later, the deaths began to increase again as the virus hit more densely populated areas.

Briggs also has argued in his Coronavirus Updates that massive public testing has contributed to panic about the virus. Nationally, we are performing about 5 million tests per week.

However, the following two graphs break down the testing data at the state level, and show that the early states epidemic is over, and that the late states epidemic has peaked and is declining. The state level testing data are from the Covid Tracking Project and can be found here.

Testing in the 33 early states is currently at three million tests per week. In July, the absolute number of positives more than doubled from 64,000 per week to 148,000 per week, but the rise in absolute numbers of positive tests had little to no effect on the deaths per week. This indicates that much healthier people were being tested, and that many of the truly vulnerable had already died in April and May.

The percent positive tests and total positives have been declining for the last 3 weeks, and the total deaths are likely to follow this trend. All of this indicates that the Covid19 epidemic in the 33 early states is over.

In the 14 Late States Testing and Deaths figure, total tests per week peaked at 2.5 million, and then began to decline. In contrast to the numbers for the 33 early states, the percent positive and positive tests per week in the late states began to spike at the beginning of June. Percent positives went from 4% to 13%, and absolute positives went from a low of 40,000 per week to 330,000 per week.

After a four week lag relative to the increase in positives, the Covid19 attributed deaths also began to rise in July, which is what you might expect if the positives are in a truly vulnerable population. However, the percent positives, absolute weekly positives, and weekly deaths peaked in July, and now are declining. This is a strong indication that the epidemic is ending in the 14 late states.

To summarize, the Covid19 epidemic was like the shock wave from a bomb that went off in New York. The shock wave spread throughout the country and finally hit the coastal regions where it is now dissipating. The coastal regions were the last densely populated areas to be hit by the viral shock wave, so that’s where the weekly deaths number increased last, and that’s where the epidemic is ending.

If the late states death rate drops to below 1,000 per week in September, the yearly deaths from all causes will be about back to the 11 year projected baseline. It will have been a bad year, but not as bad as the 1968 Hong Kong Flu or the 1957 Asian Flu. No one panicked then, and no one should be panicking now.

Nevertheless, the hysteria and panic over Covid19 has not abated. And you can expect it to get worse. We are at the beginning of flu season. Deaths from all causes will begin to increase, and you can expect all deaths to be conflated with Covid19. Former CDC director Tom Frieden was leading the way when he recently was quoted as saying,

The second wave is a misconception: It’s the omnipresent risk of explosive spread … That’s what we’re facing.

This is ignorant fear mongering of the most vicious kind. As the data show, the virus is not omnipresent and ready to explode everywhere. The virus faces natural barriers, just like all infectious pathogens, and dies out as it crashes into each successive barrier. The virus has hit its final barrier, the oceans, and is dying out there.

For the whole cycle to start over again, the virus will have to find a new susceptible population of elderly, and then attempt to repeat its first exponential expansion. But this time, we know who the most vulnerable are, there will be immunity in the larger population, and we know how to stop the spread. Quarantine the sick. If we act rationally, there is no reason to expect a repeat of this past April.

Nature controls the virus, not the politicians. The ignorant will always be with us, just like the virus. But the virus is not that hard to figure out. Don’t panic. Keep the big picture in mind. Quarantine the sick. Protect the elderly. Let the rest of us free breathing Americans live our lives.

James G. Robertson is a biochemist who resides in Charlottesville, VA.

Read more: https://www.americanthinker.co...g.html#ixzz6Wz1qqcxE



"Some things are apparent. Where government moves in, community retreats, civil society disintegrates and our ability to control our own destiny atrophies. The result is: families under siege; war in the streets; unapologetic expropriation of property; the precipitous decline of the rule of law; the rapid rise of corruption; the loss of civility and the triumph of deceit. The result is a debased, debauched culture which finds moral depravity entertaining and virtue contemptible."
-- Justice Janice Rogers Brown

"The United States government is the largest criminal enterprise on earth."
-rduckwor
 
Posts: 24117 | Location: St. Louis, MO | Registered: April 03, 2009Reply With QuoteReport This Post
No, not like
Bill Clinton
Picture of BigSwede
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quote:
Originally posted by RichardC:
https://pjmedia.com/news-and-p...are-shocking-n870757

"The 80th Annual Sturgis Motorcycle Rally took place from August 7-16 in South Dakota. Attendance at the rally was slightly down, at 462,000, a 7.5% decrease from 2019. No doubt COVID-19 fears played a part in the attendance reduction. Perhaps those with pre-existing health conditions declined to attend."

"The City of Sturgis conducted mass COVID testing for its citizens after welcoming hundreds of thousands of visitors for the 80th annual Motorcycle Rally. Now, the city is announcing the results.

A total of 650 people took advantage of the free testing, with 26 people testing positive for COVID-19.

All of them were asymptomatic at the time of testing.

It is unlikely there will be new positive tests related to the rally. It would also be highly unusual for symptoms to appear at this stage. The city waited 12 days before publishing the results and the most common point for symptoms to appear is between days four and five after infection.

In total, it appears, as of August 28, 12 days after the rally, a total of 196 positive tests were linked to rally attendance:

STURGIS: Reported COVID-19 cases linked to the South Dakota motorcycle rally is 196, by my latest count this AM. Tracking continues. Tally:
SD: 88
MN: 35
ND: 21
Colo.: 20+
Wyo.: 10
Neb.: 7
Mont.: 6
NH: 6
Wisc.: 2
Wash: 1
Sources below:

— jayfug (@jayfug) August 28, 2020 "

"We should be more than thrilled with these numbers given it was a gathering of nearly a half a million people with little social distancing and a lot of close-contact extracurriculars. The City of Sturgis offered screening tests for asymptomatic people. If a PCR test can detect viral particles for up to 90 days, there is no guarantee that the individuals who tested positive were exposed at the rally, especially if they never developed symptoms."



Big news on the radio this morning. OMG! 300 positive cases out of 400k. OMG! Super spreaders! OMG! Bikers didn't social distance OMG! One attendee dead from MN. OMG!



 
Posts: 5323 | Location: GA | Registered: September 23, 2009Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Official Space Nerd
Picture of Hound Dog
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quote:
Originally posted by braillediver:
This was enlightening. Especially the part where the community is attacking her because of what happened.
quote:
Salon owner joins Tucker, pushes back on Pelosi’s claim she was ‘set-up’

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c7lRKAtD4xE


Well, she really had no choice but to claim she was the 'victim' in all this. Her position, based on facts, is indefensible. She could never come out and say "Yeah, I knew the salons were closed, but I'm special and deserve special treatment above and beyond that afforded to you mere peons." She also couldn't plead ignorance - how could she say she didn't know the salons were closed, and admit that she has no clue what's going on in her district, with the people she is supposed to represent? She could have admitted her error and apologized, but that would have required humility and character; which, as we all know, she simply does not possess.

I don't see why she just didn't pay for a 'house call' - she is so arrogant she likely never expected to be called out for this.

So, she went on the offensive. It was really her only option. But, enough Kool-Aid drinkers will believe her and vote her back into office.

I do cherish the backlash, though. FoxNews.com this morning had this as its major headline.



Fear God and Dread Nought
Admiral of the Fleet Sir Jacky Fisher
 
Posts: 21847 | Location: Hobbiton, The Shire, Middle Earth | Registered: September 27, 2004Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Oh stewardess,
I speak jive.
Picture of 46and2
posted Hide Post
A whole 300 (Sturgis)?
 
Posts: 25613 | Registered: March 12, 2004Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Lawyers, Guns
and Money
Picture of chellim1
posted Hide Post
quote:
But, enough Kool-Aid drinkers will believe her and vote her back into office.

In the primary, Nancy Pelosi (D) got 74% of the vote.
The closest to Nancy was Shahid Buttar (D) also a Dem, with 13% of the vote.
The Republican, John Dennis (R) only managed to get 7.7% of the vote.

California uses a top-two primary system, in which all candidates appear on the same ballot. The top two vote-getters, regardless of party affiliation, move on to the general election.
So, yes, enough Kool-Aid drinkers will vote her back into office, whether or not they believe her. They just don't care.



"Some things are apparent. Where government moves in, community retreats, civil society disintegrates and our ability to control our own destiny atrophies. The result is: families under siege; war in the streets; unapologetic expropriation of property; the precipitous decline of the rule of law; the rapid rise of corruption; the loss of civility and the triumph of deceit. The result is a debased, debauched culture which finds moral depravity entertaining and virtue contemptible."
-- Justice Janice Rogers Brown

"The United States government is the largest criminal enterprise on earth."
-rduckwor
 
Posts: 24117 | Location: St. Louis, MO | Registered: April 03, 2009Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Ammoholic
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by jigray3:
My freshman daughter has Just gotten caught in The Great College COVID Bait and Switch of 2020. 5 days of classes with an undergrad enrollment of 23k students and 528 positive cases means they’re coming home. 2.39%. I predicted they wait about 2 weeks, but nope, not even going to pretend they possess any shame. Administration claims they’ll revisit the situation on 9/25 to come back on 10/5. Only a sucker would buy that one. Oh, and they haven’t made a decision yet about any refunds. Just one of many to come.

My freshman son was one of very few from his small high school graduating class to actually go to college. Most of the kids’ choices wimped out, some at the last minute, some months before the start of classes. A lot of the kids are taking gap years rather than do online BS. So far Montana State is hanging in there, but they are pointing to other schools that have shut down and asking the kids to be very careful. We’ll see how it goes...
 
Posts: 6919 | Location: Lost, but making time. | Registered: February 23, 2011Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Ammoholic
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by Pipe Smoker:
[QUOTE]Originally posted by ZSMICHAEL:
<snip>
That price is not sustainable.
<snip>
/QUOTE]

You might be right. Or not…

I’m betting he’s right, I’m just not foolish enough to suggest I have any idea what the timing will be. I suspect Trillions have been lost betting against “sure loser”* companies that did eventual fall apart, just not before the puts expired. This is not to suggest Zoom is a loser, by all accounts they seem to be doing wonderfully, the market is just (currently) ridiculously overvaluing them. Sooner or later they’ll have to increase profits somewhere in the neighborhood of 1,000 times (100,000%) or the price will have to fall. Which do you think is more likely? Wink
 
Posts: 6919 | Location: Lost, but making time. | Registered: February 23, 2011Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Info Guru
Picture of BamaJeepster
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quote:
Originally posted by Hound Dog:
Well, she really had no choice but to claim she was the 'victim' in all this.


I agree with Jesse Kelly.


https://twitter.com/JesseKelly.../1301269290658783237



“Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passions, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence.”
- John Adams
 
Posts: 29408 | Location: In the red hinterlands of Deep Blue VA | Registered: June 29, 2001Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Member
Picture of Krazeehorse
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So Nancy, ignorance of the law is now a valid defense?


_____________________

Be careful what you tolerate. You are teaching people how to treat you.
 
Posts: 5685 | Location: Ohio | Registered: December 27, 2008Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Tinker Sailor Soldier Pie
Picture of Balzé Halzé
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~Alan

Acta Non Verba
NRA Life Member (Patron)
God, Family, Guns, Country

Men will fight and die to protect women... because women protect everything else. ~Andrew Klavan

"Once there was only dark. If you ask me, light is winning." ~Rust Cohle
 
Posts: 30410 | Location: Elv. 7,000 feet, Utah | Registered: October 29, 2012Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Member
Picture of bigdeal
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by Krazeehorse:
So Nancy, ignorance of the law is now a valid defense?
What law? If you didn't get the memo, Dem politicians like Nancy are not required to adhere to laws meant to control the serfs.


-----------------------------
Guns are awesome because they shoot solid lead freedom. Every man should have several guns. And several dogs, because a man with a cat is a woman. Kurt Schlichter
 
Posts: 33845 | Location: Orlando, FL | Registered: April 30, 2006Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Member
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quote:
Originally posted by oddball:
And she is fighting back, saying the salon "set her up"- and demanding an apology


I assume she will immediately call the House back to DC to pass legislation making it illegal for LE to "set up" drug sales, prostitution stings, terrorism plots, etc and free anyone convicted under those circumstances as long as they "take responsibility" for falling for it.
 
Posts: 8958 | Location: The Red part of Minnesota | Registered: October 06, 2002Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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