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Peace through superior firepower |
Yes, of course, but I do want them to be happy about it. Trump said they would pay and be happy about it. I want this, so very, very much. Lots. More than breasteses, even. | |||
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Oh stewardess, I speak jive. |
I don't know, but I don't care for it. | |||
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Member |
More glowing support for Trump: Soros has been undermining American values for years.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/an...f-isis/#510bb2602f7c ____________________________________________________ The butcher with the sharpest knife has the warmest heart. | |||
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High standards, low expectations |
And I loooooooove breasteses. A lot. The reward for hard work, is more hard work arcwelder76, 2013 | |||
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Leave the gun. Take the cannoli. |
Yeah cuz with the computers at work I got to vote for Trump at least four times. | |||
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Lawyers, Guns and Money |
Despite his lead in the polls, what makes me skeptical about Trump’s path to the nomination is that he only wins if This Time Is Different. He wins if celebrity culture has completely rewritten the rules and overturned everything everybody knows about running a campaign. And over the years, a lot of people have come to grief thinking that This Time Is Different. A very smart analysis at RealClearPolitics describes how we can already see in Iowa the way Trump’s campaign might fall apart. As actual voting approaches and people start being influenced by something other than Trump-addicted national news — by local news, television ads, direct mail, and so on — Trump’s dominance fades. If all he’s got is the Trump Media Death Star, he’s vulnerable when it fails. http://thefederalist.com/2016/...rump-cruz-and-rubio/ "Some things are apparent. Where government moves in, community retreats, civil society disintegrates and our ability to control our own destiny atrophies. The result is: families under siege; war in the streets; unapologetic expropriation of property; the precipitous decline of the rule of law; the rapid rise of corruption; the loss of civility and the triumph of deceit. The result is a debased, debauched culture which finds moral depravity entertaining and virtue contemptible." -- Justice Janice Rogers Brown "The United States government is the largest criminal enterprise on earth." -rduckwor | |||
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Ball Haulin' |
^^^^^bullshit^^^^^^^ (With all due respect.) I agree that pop culture has turned the race into just another TV show with all the hoopla associated with a Super Bowl. This is only one of the reasons he's gonna pull this off IMHO. This entire thing has been a long time coming. -------------------------------------- "There are things we know. There are things we dont know. Then there are the things we dont know that we dont know." | |||
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Lawyers, Guns and Money |
That's a small pull quote from the whole article... which looks at the top 3 and their respective paths to the nomination. Actually, at this point, Trump has the most likely path. Read the whole thing: Paths To The Nomination: Trump, Cruz, And Rubio We're far enough along in the Republican primary process that we can begin to project how the top three might be able to win the nomination. Robert Tracinski We’re far enough along in the Republican primary process — though not a single vote has been cast — that the field has winnowed down to a small number, and we can begin to project how each of them might win the nomination. I see this is as three-man race right now: Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, and Marco Rubio. Why? Because for everyone else, the path to the nomination begins with “and then a miracle occurs.” Well, maybe not a miracle. But they’re basically waiting for some spectacular and unexpected change of events that will break their way and suddenly everyone will discover, or rediscover, a candidate currently languishing at 5 percent or below in the polls. Maybe they’re hoping for something like the last Republican primary. In the 2012 cycle, it seemed like every candidate got his shot at being a front-runner. Just about everybody got to be the leading alternative to Mitt Romney for at least three weeks, even Rick Santorum, which might explain what he’s doing in the race this time around. (Yeah, he’s still officially running. I’ll understand if you didn’t notice.) This is true even of poor Jeb Bush, who was supposed to be the “establishment” front-runner but just couldn’t get traction. Jeb’s only chance, and his actual strategy, is that somehow every other alternative to Trump will implode, leaving Jeb as the only sane choice. This, again, is hoping for a replay of 2012, because that’s basically how Mitt Romney won: by watching a series of challengers implode. But this time around, Jeb isn’t waiting for guys like Herman Cain to flame out. He needs two or three seasoned, successful, fairly well-tested national-level politicians to implode. And that’s really unlikely to happen. So that leaves us with three candidates right now who have a plausible path to the nomination. Donald Trump: This Time Is Different The path to the nomination is not just about leading in the polls. It’s about winning primaries, winning delegates, and consolidating support. Trump has the highest poll numbers, albeit in a very fragmented field, but it’s not as clear what his path is to the nomination. Specifically, it is currently looking like he won’t win the Iowa Caucus, where he is neck-and-neck with Cruz but has virtually no campaign organization, which is crucial in Iowa. He’s leading in New Hampshire and may win there, but he faces a tougher test in South Carolina. The Trump Media Death Star is pretty much his entire campaign. His big advantage in the race all along has been the Trump Media Death Star — the use of his reality TV celebrity to suck away all the energy from everybody else’s campaign. His problem is that this is pretty much his entire campaign. Being on TV and getting attention for being on TV is what he’s good at, it’s what he’s been rewarded for over the decades, and he’s betting that the brute force of television celebrity will carry all before it. But he doesn’t have the local campaign organization and “get out the vote” effort that a real campaign would have. And that matters a lot in the early primary states. Some polls indicate that a lot of Trump supporters are independents or old-fashioned, disgruntled, blue-collar Democrats crossing over to the Republican Party to support him. But a lot of them are people who don’t normally vote, especially in the primaries. And when people don’t usually vote in the primaries, there’s an inertia you have to overcome. They may not know how the Iowa caucuses work, for example, or the date of the primary. So you need a really good “get out the vote” operation to mobilize them. You need lists of who your supporters are, a system for sending them reminders, and local organizers who can call them up and make sure they go to the polls. Otherwise, you end up having what looks like really big support in the public opinion polls, but it melts away when the actual voting happens. By the way, part of Trump’s problem is that he’s always citing polls where he’s doing really well. But he hasn’t splashed out the money for his own internal polling. What’s worse, he’s the kind of guy who touts every poll that shows him doing well while deriding as “junk” every poll that doesn’t show him doing well. The danger is that he’s only fooling himself. He has no basis for telling how he’s really doing or why. And that lead us to another big factor. Regular political candidates have advisors who tell them how to adjust their message to attract the largest number of different constituencies and bring them together into a stable majority coalition. This is an additive process; it’s about “both-and.” You get both the evangelicals and the libertarians, by saying just enough to the first group to get them to like you without repelling the second, and vice versa. Trump’s base of support is the unpandered-to voter. Trump’s strategy, by contrast, has a major subtractive element. He has pandered so hard to one particular kind of voter that they have given him their fanatical devotion. My ultimate theory on Trump’s appeal is that his core base of support is the unpandered-to voter, the kind of people who feel they have been slighted and ignored by every other politician because no one has ever come out before and told them they’re absolutely right about how Mexican rapists pouring across the border are the source of all our problems, or about how we have to shut down trade with China because they’re taking away our jobs. I suspect that’s why these people are unfazed when you tell them that Trump doesn’t have a consistent record and that he’s just pandering to them and telling them what they want to hear. For these voters, that misses the real point. The point is that he’s pandering to them and telling them what they want to hear. Nobody’s ever really done that before, so they’re ecstatic. But there’s a reason nobody ever panders to these voters, or at least why nobody ever panders to them as hard as Trump has. The harder you appeal to this one group, the more you risk alienating other groups. Pander to the hard-core anti-immigrationists and you lose the Hispanic vote. Pander to the wild-eyed populists and you lose the sober moderates. Pander to the emotion-driven voters, and you lose the ideological voters. You get huge support within a particular group at the expense of high opposition everywhere else. It’s a subtractive strategy. This is an enormous problem in the general election, where Trump is spectacularly unpopular. As the New York Post observes, both parties are about to nominate candidates that most Americans hate. But it’s also a problem in the primaries. Trump is the only major Republican candidate where there are a lot of people in the party who would rather drive a rail spike through their foreheads than vote for him. The fact that Trump has no campaign strategists is what makes people think “he’s genuine,” but they’re wrong. He’s not genuine. He’s pandering on immigration and trade, and the only fun thing about seeing him get the nomination would be watching him start the general election by selling out the people who got him there. So all they’re really seeing is a guy with no campaign strategists, who has no plan for how to win over and unite a majority. Trump wins if celebrity culture has completely rewritten the rules and overturned everything everybody knows about running a campaign. Despite his lead in the polls, what makes me skeptical about Trump’s path to the nomination is that he only wins if This Time Is Different. He wins if celebrity culture has completely rewritten the rules and overturned everything everybody knows about running a campaign. And over the years, a lot of people have come to grief thinking that This Time Is Different. A very smart analysis at RealClearPolitics describes how we can already see in Iowa the way Trump’s campaign might fall apart. As actual voting approaches and people start being influenced by something other than Trump-addicted national news — by local news, television ads, direct mail, and so on — Trump’s dominance fades. If all he’s got is the Trump Media Death Star, he’s vulnerable when it fails. The real question with Trump isn’t whether he has a path to the nomination. It’s whether he has a path away from the nomination. What I mean is: If Trump does find himself with few wins and few delegates a few months from now, is there a way for him to declare victory and go home? The most plausible path away from the nomination would be for him to announce that he has changed the party’s agenda and brought his issues to the forefront, so his work here is done. And to do that, he would have to point to the one candidate whose positions are most similar to his, Ted Cruz. But that raises a whole other problem, and it leads us to the question of Ted Cruz’s path to the nomination. Ted Cruz: Trump-Lite Without Trump The reason why Trump won’t be able to point to Cruz as evidence that his work here is done is because he has been busy attacking Cruz and undermining him in a way that will be deeply influential with Trump’s supporters. And that’s a big problem for Cruz’s path to the nomination. Cruz’s strategy up to now has been to sidle up to Trump, to echo some of his rhetoric and to seek an unofficial detente or even a “bromance” between the two candidates, in order to avoid having the Trump Media Death Star focus its destructive energy on him. In the meantime, Cruz would out-organize Trump in Iowa and South Carolina, take those victories out from under him, offer Trump a graceful exit — and scoop up his supporters. Cruz is hoping ideological conservatives will forgive him for playing with Trump-lite populism. Part of Cruz’s calculation has to be that, unlike Trump, he can still pursue a traditional additive approach. While Trump creates a rift between the emotional-populist wing of the base and the ideological Republicans, Cruz is betting that he can appeal to the first group now, then turn around and appeal to the second group later. He’s an articulate, Harvard-educated debate champion who first made a name for himself by memorizing the Constitution. So the ideological conservatives know he is one of their own, and he’s hoping they will forgive him for playing around with Trump-lite populism. And let’s face it, we will, if it’s a choice between him and Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders. The problem is that Trump isn’t playing along with this strategy. As Cruz has risen in the polls, Trump has begun to attack him — and he is deploying attacks that stick. They may not stick with the general public or even with most Republicans. But they’re exactly the kind of attacks that are going to stick with Trump’s supporters, the ones Cruz is counting on. The danger for Trump and Cruz is mutually assured destruction. The danger for Trump and Cruz is mutually assured destruction. Unflappable and with a talent for dry, acerbic humor, Cruz may be the only candidate who can turn the weapon of ridicule back on Trump and make it work. We saw a bit of that in the last debate. But Trump can poison his supporters against Cruz, particularly by reviving the “birther” attack which claims that Cruz, having been born in Canada to an American mother, is not constitutionally eligible to run for president. This claim might be refuted by multiple legal experts, but when did Trump’s supporters ever listen to experts? Cruz still has the most likely path to the nomination, the best chance of posting strong results in early contests like Iowa and South Carolina, then building momentum and getting voters to rally around him. But by going more populist in a bid to gain Trump supporters, Cruz has opened room in the race, not only for a more moderate candidate, but also for a more ideologically consistent candidate. And Cruz wasn’t supposed to be vulnerable to that kind of challenge. We can see that danger in the release of a new National Review symposium in which a wide range of ideological conservatives stand athwart history yelling, “Stop Trump!” This is Cruz’s opportunity to distance himself from Trump, but it presents him with a dilemma: risk losing his shot at Trump’s supporters, or risk alienating the ideological conservatives. And who are the alienated conservatives going to turn to? That leads us to the last candidate who I think still has a path to the nomination. Marco Rubio: The “Establishment” Underdog What makes this year’s primaries so hard to figure out is that we entered the race with no “establishment” candidate whose turn it was for the nomination. (Donors who were talked into the idea that Jeb Bush was inevitable got fleeced to the tune of about $100 million.) This shifted the momentum to the most loud-mouthed and exciting candidates, particularly the ones who billed themselves as “outsiders,” and that meant the more traditional candidates — the kind who cultivated an image of being sober, thoughtful, and “presidential” — ended up splitting the vote among them and getting lost in the shuffle. This would have been the case in any election cycle, but the Trump Media Death Star made it all the more difficult for these candidates to get any of the voters’ attention. (So long, Rick Perry and Bobby Jindal.) So we end up with a strange year in which the more “establishment” candidates are the struggling underdogs. In six months, being sober, thoughtful, and presidential are going to be big virtues. I’m no great fan of “the establishment,” but this is not as desirable an outcome as you might think. The reason is that, six months from now, we’re going to be sending a Republican nominee into the general election, and that’s precisely when being sober, thoughtful, and presidential are big virtues. Cruz might be able to make that transition, though he has spent his entire national political career building an image as a radical firebrand who doesn’t work and play well with others. Trump is constitutionally incapable of it. This is what I mean about an additive strategy. It doesn’t end with the primaries. Ideally, the person who wins the primaries is the person who is able to add together the ideologues, the populists, the libertarians, the hawks, the religious voters, and so on. He must then continue to add on the independents, the moderates, the conservative Democrats, and so on. On paper, the person most capable of doing this is Rubio. He had just enough Tea Party credentials — having defeated a big-government Republican — to appeal to the radicals, but his earnest demeanor and interest in forging political compromises would make him acceptable to the moderates and establishment. As for the ideological wing of the right, here I must confess my own preference. I have found Rubio very appealing because when it comes to the big intellectual and policy issues, he is able to talk substantively and eloquently, in a way that indicates he understands the issues first-hand and in detail. If you’re from the ideological wing of the right, you’re used to having politicians throw out a bunch of well-worn slogans to indicate their loyalty to your cause — but what you really want is someone who is capable of going beyond slogans and understanding the issues. Rubio consistently does that. I don’t always agree with exactly where he stands, but his ability to deal with politics on a thoughtful, intellectual level makes me think he is reachable by rational argument, which is what we ideologues look for above all. Ideological conservatives are reassured by Rubio’s refusal to pander to Trumpism. This is the advantage that Rubio has over Cruz right now. I know that Cruz understands all of the ideological issues perfectly well. But the comfort with which he has courted Trump and his non-ideological populists makes me wonder about the sincerity of his commitment—whether he will sacrifice his ideological loyalties to his personal ambition. Of course, I wonder the same thing about any politician, and I assume that ultimately the answer will be “yes.” But I have been reassured by Rubio’s refusal to pander to wild-eyed Trumpism. Yet this year hasn’t worked out as planned. With Trump out-bidding for the emotional-populist wing of the right by offering them everything they ever wanted, he has taken those voters away from every other candidate, and they may never come back. But Rubio still has a path to the nomination by becoming the leading non-Trump. And if he wins, Rubio has the clearest path to winning in the general election, because he is by far the best equipped to continue an additive strategy, appealing to independents, moderates, and conservative Democrats, and by generally appearing idealistic, thoughtful, and sincere. Judging from the lame attempts so far at personal attacks on him, he will be impossible for the mainstream media to demonize. (By contrast, the combative radicalism that makes Cruz appealing also makes it very easy to demonize him, and Trump — who is famous for hosting a show in which he fires people on live TV — is already demonized.) But how does Rubio get there? It’s easy to see how he does well in the general election, but he has to get through the primaries first. Rubio doesn’t have to win the early primaries. He just has to be the third man. It’s actually not so difficult to see his route. He doesn’t have to win the early primaries. All he has to do is to emerge as the third man after Trump and Cruz. It’s like the old adage about how you don’t have to outrun the lion, you just have to outrun the guy next to you. All Rubio has to do is to outrun his closest competitors: Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, and Ben Carson. At that point, it is likely that these other candidates will drop out, and Rubio will pick up their voters. A constituency that is now scattered among three to six candidates will coalesce around him. Here is the calculation. If you add to Rubio’s RCP poll average the share currently going to the candidates who are most similar to him (Bush, Christie, and Carly Fiorina), he would be at a little over 22 percent in the polls, about four points higher than Cruz. I’m assuming he won’t get many of Rand Paul’s libertarians, and God only knows what John Kasich’s people will do. But it’s reasonable to speculate that Rubio would catch a significant percentage of the votes now going to the mild-mannered Carson, plus some undecideds and voters now supporting other minor candidates. That would put him between 25 percent and 30 percent, right up there between the two leading candidates. It is easy to lose sight of this possibility and to dismiss Rubio because he hasn’t been able to break out against the Trump Media Death Star. But this might be falling into a basic media bias. Even John Podhoretz, whom we can certainly count as a leader of the ideological wing of the right, praised Rubio’s performance in the last Republican debate as showing that he was a contender — but only because of the “fireworks” of Rubio’s attack on Cruz over inconsistencies in his record. Yet this assumes “theatrics” are the only way to get the voters’ attention. What if that isn’t true? The problem with professional political commentators is that they are easily distracted by the things that make for “fireworks” when you’re trying to write or report on a subject — people fighting, making gaffes, saying outrageous things. A candidate simply stating his platform and message to voters seems unbelievably boring, because we have already heard it a hundred times on the campaign trail. Nothing new to us, nothing exciting, so therefore: nothing. From this perspective, Trump looks like he’s at the center of everything that’s happening. But it’s likely that our perspective differs from that of the average voter. As voters pay more attention, they are more reachable by actual substance. My own suspicion is that the “fireworks” tend to dominate before actual primary voting begins, because voters are paying so little attention that these are the only stories they see. But as voters begin to pay more attention, they are more reachable by the actual substance of a candidate’s ideas and character. It’s a factor that will work against Trump and in favor of Rubio. You may reply that this means Rubio is relying on a miracle. On the other hand, it would be very unusual if several wings of the Republican Party — the more ideological, the establishment, and the moderates — were to have nobody to represent them in the final matchup. If you posit a two-man race between Cruz and Trump, you’re assuming that at least one quarter of the party is just going to be sitting this out. I think it’s much more likely that they will find a candidate to rally around, and Rubio is by far in the best position to be that candidate. I could be wrong, but I see three leading candidates with three paths to the nomination. Each has elements that are plausible and elements that are implausible, and we’ll get our first solid evidence about which ones are actually realistic in a little more than a week. "Some things are apparent. Where government moves in, community retreats, civil society disintegrates and our ability to control our own destiny atrophies. The result is: families under siege; war in the streets; unapologetic expropriation of property; the precipitous decline of the rule of law; the rapid rise of corruption; the loss of civility and the triumph of deceit. The result is a debased, debauched culture which finds moral depravity entertaining and virtue contemptible." -- Justice Janice Rogers Brown "The United States government is the largest criminal enterprise on earth." -rduckwor | |||
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Bald Headed Squirrel Hunter |
^^ By the time I read all that, I could have voted for hillary 12 times! "Meet the new boss, same as the old boss" | |||
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Lawyers, Guns and Money |
I'm not worried about you voting for Hillary 12 times! You're in Texas! However.... in Pennsylvania, parts of Florida, and parts of NoVa, we have to worry about that! "Some things are apparent. Where government moves in, community retreats, civil society disintegrates and our ability to control our own destiny atrophies. The result is: families under siege; war in the streets; unapologetic expropriation of property; the precipitous decline of the rule of law; the rapid rise of corruption; the loss of civility and the triumph of deceit. The result is a debased, debauched culture which finds moral depravity entertaining and virtue contemptible." -- Justice Janice Rogers Brown "The United States government is the largest criminal enterprise on earth." -rduckwor | |||
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Banned |
I've been saying all along. When the field narrows down to 2-3 candidates, then we'll see who can challenge Trump. I hope it's Cruz, as I think alot of voters could vote for either. If it's a RINO (Yeb¡ Or Krispy Kreme) there's gonna trouble within the Party. Alot of these douschebags need to GTFO of the primary already. | |||
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wishing we were congress |
http://hotair.com/archives/201...against-trump-issue/ The RNC announced it had disinvited the National Review from a GOP debate the magazine had been set to co-host on Feb. 25 after its latest issue — called “Against Trump” — featured essays slamming the real estate mogul from leading conservatives including Glenn Beck, Erick Erickson and Russell Moore. … Trump has faced accusations both of being too extreme, risking moderate voters for a GOP ticket, and of being a fake conservative with a long history of liberal views. The National Review’s attack issue is perhaps the most visible example of conservatives struggling to take down the billionaire, who holds a prohibitive lead in national polling, as well as in the first primary state of New Hampshire. ***************** RNC may have sensed a possible wind shift. | |||
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Little ray of sunshine |
This is what I have thought for months was what would happen to Trump. He has lots of apparent support, but he will not actually get the votes in the primaries. I could be wrong, and I am less sure of that now than I was two months ago, but I still think that Trump will not get nearly as many votes in the primaries as the current polls suggest. The fish is mute, expressionless. The fish doesn't think because the fish knows everything. | |||
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Lawyers, Guns and Money |
It’s On! National Review Goes After Trump, Trump Swings Back http://dailycaller.com/2016/01...p-trump-swings-back/ "Some things are apparent. Where government moves in, community retreats, civil society disintegrates and our ability to control our own destiny atrophies. The result is: families under siege; war in the streets; unapologetic expropriation of property; the precipitous decline of the rule of law; the rapid rise of corruption; the loss of civility and the triumph of deceit. The result is a debased, debauched culture which finds moral depravity entertaining and virtue contemptible." -- Justice Janice Rogers Brown "The United States government is the largest criminal enterprise on earth." -rduckwor | |||
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My dog crosses the line |
Well, he's got the Duck Dynasty vote. LAS VEGAS – “Duck Dynasty” star Willie Robertson endorsed GOP hopeful Donald Trump at the 16th annual Outdoor Sportsman Awards in Las Vegas on Thursday night. "Mr. Trump is a real leader," Robertson said in a press release before the show. "He represents success and strength, two attributes our country needs." Trump, accompanied by sons Donald and Eric, talked gun control at the event. “When you look at Paris, when you look at California, when you look at these horrible things that are happening all over the place, people need protection,” Trump said. “We have to get protection. The Second Amendment is very important to me, my two sons are members of the NRA.” Robertson also told FOX411 how much hunting meant to him and his family. http://www.foxnews.com/enterta...wards/?intcmp=hphz06 | |||
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Peace through superior firepower |
I want to hear both the Right and the Left admitting the truth, which is that their combined, self-serving bullshit over the last few years has brought us to the point that a brash, arrogant New York billionaire is now the champion of the people of this nation. They are responsible for all of this. All of it. Reap the wind, sow the whirlwind, fools. | |||
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Staring back from the abyss |
I've spent the morning reading those editorials and every one of them is right on the money. And, Trump responds in typical fashion by trying to marginalize some of the most respected conservatives in the country. Hopefully this will have some effect in stopping him, but I suspect that too many people want our next first lady to be someone who's posed nude for a magazine. Because...well...it'd be cool. And she's hawt! I sincerely hope the voters wake up soon or we are truly fucked. ________________________________________________________ "Great danger lies in the notion that we can reason with evil." Doug Patton. | |||
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Get my pies outta the oven! |
I'm going to use an old FDR quote (about some South American dictator they were worried would side with the Nazis) to state how I feel about Trump right now: "He may be a sonofabitch, but he's OUR sonofabitch!" If we keep fighting like this, Hillary or Bernie are going to waltz right into the White House and it's the beginning of game over for the USA as we know it at that point. WE CANNOT LET THIS HAPPEN! | |||
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Member |
FWIW, I am from Iowa and just had an interesting breakfast with a bunch of my ham radio pals this morning. The consensus I heard was that most all of the R's are supporting Trump in the caucus. The Dems are still behind the Hildabeast, and likely will stay there unless she is somehow disqualified from running. Cruz seems to be a lost cause due to his standing on his principles (which most say is a very good thing) and thereby turning off too many centrist Republicans (yes, there are some in Iowa). No one even mentioned Rubio at the table but Kasich (SP?) was fairly well thought of as possible VP. Several liked Cruz for AG or Supreme Court. The table was split about 1/2 - 1/2 D/R. Several of the D's said they would vote for DJT over HRC if it came to the actual election but would speak their voice at the D caucus regarding who they want to run. NONE of the R's said they would vote for Clinton. Obviously not a wide spread cross section of the voters in Iowa but just a small glimpse of what is going on in peoples thoughts at this point. The “POLICE" Their job Is To Save Your Ass, Not Kiss It The muzzle end of a .45 pretty much says "go away" in any language - Clint Smith | |||
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Lighten up and laugh |
Trump probably had it all locked up a week ago. He may have lost Iowa, but he would have won NH and SC with a ton of support and good will. Now, this master deal maker, is setting fire to the entire conservative wing of the party. In the past week Cruz, Mark Levin, Beck, Malkin, The Conservative Review, The National Review, and others are sellouts and need to be destroyed. People even started to hit Rush because he was slightly negative of some of Trump's moves. The establishment leaders may come to his side, but he's already lost a number of establishment voters who have sworn not to vote for him in the general. Instead of just taking a lump in Iowa and keeping Cruz supporters with him he is going for scorched earth. All of those people and publications have negatives, but they also have a lot of loyal followers. It may not matter if Hillary is the nominee because people hate her more, but if it's Sanders or Biden jumps in voters may stay home. People are focused on the fact Trump will bring over moderates and some Democrats, but that won't make up the percentage points he may lose from establishment and conservatives voters if he keeps this up. In even a best case scenario the general probably won't be more than a 5% point difference. We saw with Romney just how important those few million people who stayed home were. Trump supporters think he can do no wrong and probably won't think any of this matters, but if it doesn't stop it's going really to backfire. He has probably knocked Cruz out, so continuing this is only generating ill will with people he's going to need down the line. | |||
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