quote:

Originally posted by sse:
Turns out Victor Davis Hanson's prediction was correct.

Citation, link, quote? ....we're not mind-readers

quote:

Originally posted by corsair:

quote:

Originally posted by sse:
Turns out Victor Davis Hanson's prediction was correct.

Citation, link, quote? ....we're not mind-readers

this my post from January 28th...at which time I saw a VDH YT interview/conversation, can't remember the host's name.

https://sigforum.com/eve/forum...720073605#4720073605

best i can do

And now, straight from that cradle of Americana known as Dearborn, Michigan, I give you..."Death To America".

All good Whitmer voters, I would guess!

OSINT Defender

Hamas Negotiators have reportedly told International Meditators in Cairo that it has No Ability to Release the 40 Hostages in the Humanitarian Category (Women, Children, and Elderly) that were included in yesterday’s Ceasefire Proposal because out of the 136 Hostages that remain in the Gaza Strip, a Significant number are now believed to be Dead.

https://twitter.com/sentdefend...r-ceasefire-n2637509

Despite the Biden administration's opposition to Israel's plans for Rafah, Netanyahu said in a video on Monday that there is a date set for such an operation to root out terrorists in the city at the southern edge of the Gaza Strip.

https://townhall.com/tipsheet/...r-ceasefire-n2637509

quote:

it has No Ability to Release the 40 Hostages in the Humanitarian Category

Then there's nothing else to talk about....

Article in WSJ last night said Iran expected to attack Israel directly, not with proxy, inside 48 hours.

Iranian Attack Expected on Israel in Next Two Days

Gold up $60/oz today.
Oil up $2.10/brl today.

And to make matters worse, Oil prices could spike to $100 if Iran directly attacks Israel. Need I remind you FJB emptied the SPR to lower gasoline prices going into an election year? Just the kind of foward thinking you expect out of your Commander-in-Chief before hostilities begin.

quote:

Originally posted by mjlennon:
Need I remind you FJB emptied the SPR to lower gasoline prices going into an election year?

I despise FJB as much as the next guy, but that's a little dated and is referring to the '22 election not the '24 election. Drawdowns occurred in '22 and ended in July '23. 100% of oil movements have been receipts (i.e. inventory increased) from Aug '23 thru 4/5/24. At 100% refinery operating capacity the 4/5/24 reserves is nearly 20 days, and normal refinery utilization (i.e. factoring in downtime for maintenance, upsets, etc.) puts us at about 22 days. The purchases since last summer have added about a day of refining capacity, but I'd like to see the SPR up above 30 days.

Links to SPR inventory and movement data:

2024

2023

2022

---

Ego is the anesthesia that deadens the pain of stupidity

DISCLAIMER: These are the author's own personal views and do not represent the views of the author's employer.

CNN also reports

Washington
CNN
—
The US says it is on high alert for a significant Iranian retaliatory attack on Israel as fears grow of a wider regional war.

There remains a “real,” “credible” and “viable” threat of Iran launching strikes, the White House said Friday, following Israel’s attack on an Iranian diplomatic compound in Syria last week that killed three Iranian generals.

President Joe Biden, who warned this week that Iran was threatening a “significant attack” on Israel, has been receiving constant updates on the situation from his national security team.

The US and several other countries, including Britain and France, issued new travel guidelines for government employees in Israel as the Iranian threat loomed.

“We’re watching this very, very closely,” said John Kirby, the National Security Council spokesman, who declined to provide information about the expected timing of the threat.

The Defense Department is moving additional assets to the Middle East region “to bolster regional deterrence efforts and increase force protection for US forces,” a US defense official told CNN, as Israel and the US brace for a potential Iranian attack.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/04/12...at-israel/index.html

^^^^Regarding the SPR; It is the STATEGIC petroleum reserve. Not the get gas prices lower petroleum reserve. It does NOT need to be drawn down for any reason except if needed to fuel our military or to provide crude temporarily in the case of a disaster that takes out crude production. It needs to be filled and left the hell alone.

Serious, but probably dumb question, about the SPR: does the oil have shelf life? Is there a benefit to rotating it?

Like I said, probably a dumb question since it was sitting in one hole in the ground for millions of years before being transferred to another hole in the ground, but I don’t know.

This business will get out of control. It will get out of control and we'll be lucky to live through it.

https://twitter.com/TheCalvinC.../1779233458067304841

quote:

Originally posted by Balzé Halzé:
This business will get out of control. It will get out of control and we'll be lucky to live through it.

Will you stop with The Hunt for Red October stuff, please?

And stop with the melodrama, too.

I can't find anything on an attack by Iran on Israel.

My engineers would have alerted me too.

The drones apparently have been launched but will take several hours to arrive. Both the US and Israel believe that they'll be able to shoot them down.

*******************

The Israeli military says Iran has launched a number of drones toward Israel.

The army's spokesman, Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari, said it would take several hours for the aircraft to arrive. He said Israel was prepared. He spoke Saturday evening.

Israel has been on heightened alert since an airstrike last week killed two Iranian generals in Syria. Iran accused Israel of being behind the attack and vowed revenge. Israel has not commented on that attack.

https://scrippsnews.com/storie...ed-drones-at-israel/

There are confirmed reports that Iran has launched UAVs towards Israel. Confirmed by Israel and the State Department. On Fox now...

Iran launches hundreds of suicide drones to attack Israel — Netanyahu says IDF prepared to respond

Report: Iran begins attack on Israel, launching dozens of drones that’ll take hours to arrive

https://www.breitbart.com/poli...=breaking_news_email

This is where the Bullet hits the Bone...

quote:

Originally posted by Balzé Halzé:
The drones apparently have been launched but will take several hours to arrive. Both the US and Israel believe that they'll be able to shoot them down.

*******************

The Israeli military says Iran has launched a number of drones toward Israel.

The army's spokesman, Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari, said it would take several hours for the aircraft to arrive. He said Israel was prepared. He spoke Saturday evening.

Israel has been on heightened alert since an airstrike last week killed two Iranian generals in Syria. Iran accused Israel of being behind the attack and vowed revenge. Israel has not commented on that attack.

https://scrippsnews.com/storie...ed-drones-at-israel/

Seems half assed. I can't imagine just launching some slow speed drones. I wonder if they will later launch missiles to arrive at same time to confuse Iron Dome and other anti middle/aircraft defensive weapons?

If that's all they are doing and Isreal shoots them down then it just makes Iran look weak and renders the attack useless.