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Coin Sniper |
I keep going back to an old saying that is to the effect of "war is diplomacy by other means" I wonder if this little incursion into Ukraine is a simple reunification effort. Or is this the first move in a much larger economic/social/global effort. This move, in and of itself is meaningless, it is the predictable reaction to the event that is the real goal. Pronoun: His Royal Highness and benevolent Majesty of all he surveys 343 - Never Forget Its better to be Pavlov's dog than Schrodinger's cat There are three types of mistakes; Those you learn from, those you suffer from, and those you don't survive. | |||
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Nullus Anxietas |
Dear Vlad, You screwed-up. Sincerely, ensigmatic Full article: Possible Outcomes of the Russo-Ukrainian War and China’s Choice It is unclear to me whether this is Beijing's official position, whether Beijing asked the author for an analysis, or just what this is, but the analysis doesn't bode well for Putin, in any event. (Btw: Not to toot my own horn, but I could almost have written Part I on Day 1. Main difference being I had not expected Putin's army to perform so abysmally. I expected him to occupy Ukraine in short order.) "America is at that awkward stage. It's too late to work within the system,,,, but too early to shoot the bastards." -- Claire Wolfe "If we let things terrify us, life will not be worth living." -- Seneca the Younger, Roman Stoic philosopher | |||
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Member |
A very good thesis. Points with high degree of both potential and accuracy.
______________________________________________ Life is short. It’s shorter with the wrong gun… | |||
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| Member |
^^^^^^^^ Thank you for posting this link. Intelligent analysis of the situation. | |||
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| Nullus Anxietas |
What I think most noteworthy about it is the recommendations of what should be China's responses. "America is at that awkward stage. It's too late to work within the system,,,, but too early to shoot the bastards." -- Claire Wolfe "If we let things terrify us, life will not be worth living." -- Seneca the Younger, Roman Stoic philosopher | |||
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| Member |
^^^^^^^^^^ I agree. | |||
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| Member |
The Professors take on US / Russia / China is well thought out. I hope his government pays attention to it. End of Earth: 2 Miles Upper Peninsula: 4 Miles | |||
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| Left-Handed, NOT Left-Winged! |
I'm willing to believe that Russia nuclear arsenal may be in a state of disrepair like everything else in their military seems to be. Those ICBM's are old, and having complex machines sitting around doing nothing for decades is a great way make them fail to function when needed. I'm sure Putin thinks they will work fine, but corruption within the severely underpaid military may have led to a lot of corner cutting. I envision a full scale launch to look like the montage of all the failed rocket launches in "The Right Stuff". I also thought of a black comedy movie where the US and Russia launch a limited nuclear exchange, and nothing works. Missiles explode in the silos, go out of control in flight, MIRV's fail to MIRV, and the warheads that reach the target are duds. Then the two leaders get on the red phone and ask "Time-out? What do we do now? A do-over? Or just call it even?" | |||
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| Coin Sniper |
Two and half weeks into the Russian invasion of Ukraine, I get an email from France announcing their surrender. In addition, this update: Pronoun: His Royal Highness and benevolent Majesty of all he surveys 343 - Never Forget Its better to be Pavlov's dog than Schrodinger's cat There are three types of mistakes; Those you learn from, those you suffer from, and those you don't survive. | |||
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Seeker of Clarity |
The Russians, if nothing else, are quite good at pushing rockets into space. I wouldn't bank on them not flying. Whether the warheads work or not may be another question. But I do believe they'd fly.  | |||
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| Member |
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ I don't want to find out. I know when the USSR was dissolved many of the missile sites were in disrepair. All they need is one. Additionally if several are fired it is not like we have lots of time to decide how to respond. I would bet that their submarines are in good shape and they have nuclear capability as well. | |||
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| Member |
Russian President Vladimir Putin reportedly placed one of his top intelligence officials on house arrest, possibly seeking to shift blame for a Ukrainian invasion. As per WGN chicago. | |||
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| Gracie Allen is my personal savior! |
^^ There were a few articles about that online a couple of days ago. The reason Putin gave is that the FSB honcho failed to give him good enough information when Putin was mulling over the invasion of Ukraine. I still haven't come across a source that indicates whether or not this was the FSB guy who was stammering, stuttering, hedging and sweating when Putin asked him on (Russian) national TV whether Putin should recognize the two 'people's republics' he fostered in Ukraine as sovereign nations.
Wouldn't this be an interesting time for Putin to suddenly find himself contemplating Saddam Hussein's WMD programs? | |||
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Vi Veri Veniversum Vivus Vici |
China has played Putin like Sauron used Sauruman. _________________________ NRA Endowment Member _________________________ "Of all tyrannies, a tyranny exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It may be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end, for they do so with the approval of their own conscience." -- C.S. Lewis | |||
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| Peace through superior firepower  |
Say what? | |||
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Member |
I know nothing about the author, nor the website and organization identified, but if the author is who he is as identified, then he probably has behind-the-scene political connections to the ChiCom govt. This could be a “let’s run it up the flagpole to see you salutes it” kind of article in order to get the “official” ChiCom viewpoint out there without causing embarrassment if not accepted. That’s a ploy that has been known to exist in other govts and diplomatic times. --------------------- LGBFJB "Sometimes I wonder whether the world is being run by smart people who are putting us on, or by imbeciles who really mean it." — Mark Twain “Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard.” — H. L. Mencken | |||
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| Nullus Anxietas |
Or it could be China maneuvering to get better trade terms with Russia. "America is at that awkward stage. It's too late to work within the system,,,, but too early to shoot the bastards." -- Claire Wolfe "If we let things terrify us, life will not be worth living." -- Seneca the Younger, Roman Stoic philosopher | |||
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| Member |
On a recent program on Russian state television a plan to invade Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania (NATO countries) as well as the Swedish island of Gotland was discussed. Russian military talking heads explained how it could be done, and why it would be a good idea to "liberate" these former Russian client states. I saw a clip of the broadcast on twitter and was surprised. I thought this would get more media attention in the US. However there has been almost nothing on it. I did find one article from France24 that confirms the broadcast. Here is the link: https://www.france24.com/en/li...ives-fears-of-russia Here is the critical part of the article: At the start of tensions with Russia over Ukraine in December, a Russian TV programme discussing a plan to invade Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania and capture Gotland spooked locals. | |||
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A Grateful American |
^^^ Saw that. And with Gotland, control the Baltic. SMH "the meaning of life, is to give life meaning" ✡ Ani Yehudi אני יהודי Le'olam lo shuv לעולם לא שוב! | |||
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| Fire begets Fire |
Maybe… that could be possible- not sure just yet. Para: LOTR reference "Pacifism is a shifty doctrine under which a man accepts the benefits of the social group without being willing to pay - and claims a halo for his dishonesty." ~Robert A. Heinlein | |||
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