polls are getting tight for Arizona senate race

Incumbent DEM Mark Kelly versus REP Blake Masters.

Trafalgar poll has Kelly only 1 % up on Masters

Here is a video on Kelly saying whether Biden has done a good job:

video at

https://twitter.com/i/status/1569369974803931136


from

https://redstate.com/nick-aram...-dems-are-in-n629300

https://www.americanthinker.co..._pretty_useless.html

In the early 1990s, British polling companies that had failed to predict a conservative political win, coined the term “shy Tory factor,” to account for conservatives being unwilling to admit their voting preference to pollsters. Since then, the problem is a common one across the West because conservatives feel beleaguered and disfavored. Thanks to the Democrats’ fanatic anti-MAGA sentiment, which saw Joe Biden demonize Republicans as the enemies of “democracy” (which to Joe means “the Democrat party”), conservatives are shyer than ever before.

Robert Cahaly is the chief pollster for Trafalgar Group, which has been, not just an accurate pollster, but an actual pollster: That is, it really seeks to discern public trends, as opposed to those companies that do push polling to move public trends. He put out a series of tweets regarding the fact that, when it comes to polls, MAGA conservatives have gone almost completely underground (h/t Twitchy):

In 2016 Trump supporters were called “Deplorables” and other unflattering names. This was a major contributor to the “shy Trump voter” phenomenon that “most” polling missed which resulted in a major loss in public confidence for polling flowing the election.

In 2020 people who supported Trump or espoused conservative values out of step with “Woke” culture found themselves being “canceled” or “doxed”. This led to “hidden voters” that “most” polling under counted, therefore Trump support in key battleground states exceeded expectations.

Now that the Biden administration has essentially classified “MAGA Republicans” as a threat to democracy marshaling federal law enforcement to focus on them. This move has created a new type of voter that will be even harder to poll or even estimate.

I call this new group “submerged voters”. They aren’t putting stickers on their cars, signs in their yards, posting their opinions, or even answering polls. At this point I think it’s fair to say that Biden’s pursuit of and attacks on “MAGA Republicans” has created an army of voters who will be virtually impossible to poll (even for us) and more difficult still to estimate.

The 2022 Republican turnout will likely be higher than any of the polls or models are showing. All polls (including ours) will understate the impact of these “submerged voters”.

https://thepostmillennial.com/...r?utm_campaign=64487

With weeks remaining to the midterms, Comrade Biden declares COVID pandemic is over. Now isn't that convenient?

quote:

Originally posted by tigereye313:

...Biden declares COVID pandemic is over.

That's cute.

quote:

Originally posted by sdy:
polls are getting tight for Arizona senate race

Incumbent DEM Mark Kelly versus REP Blake Masters.

Trafalgar poll has Kelly only 1 % up on Masters

And didn't McConnell and his cast of GOP clowns pull something like $8m of campaign funding away from Arizona? Kinda makes one wonder if McConnell really wants to win the senate back.

quote:

Originally posted by PASig:
Biden and his handlers celebrate the laughably named "Inflation Reduction Act" which will work JUST as well as the "Affordable Care Act" which sent my yearly deductible from $600 to $6,000

They cannot escape this in November:

This needs to be more widely published.

quote:

Originally posted by tigereye313:
With weeks remaining to the midterms, Comrade Biden declares COVID pandemic is over. Now isn't that convenient?

Cool. Someone tell my employer so we can quite wearing these f*#@king masks all day!

This fucking guy.

"First of all, let's put this into perspective. Inflation rate month to month is up just an inch...hardly at all."

Inflation is at 8.3%, you empty-headed shit sack!

quote:

Originally posted by sse:

quote:

Originally posted by PASig:
Biden and his handlers celebrate the laughably named "Inflation Reduction Act" which will work JUST as well as the "Affordable Care Act" which sent my yearly deductible from $600 to $6,000

They cannot escape this in November:

This needs to be more widely published.

All you need to do is diet and buy an electric car, and stay home....

... and be ready to be cold this winter.

quote:

Originally posted by HRK:

quote:

Originally posted by sse:

quote:

Originally posted by PASig:
Biden and his handlers celebrate the laughably named "Inflation Reduction Act" which will work JUST as well as the "Affordable Care Act" which sent my yearly deductible from $600 to $6,000

They cannot escape this in November:

This needs to be more widely published.

All you need to do is diet and buy an electric car, and stay home....

Reminds me of being a captive inhabitant of a socialist country. Token creature comforts, no liberty...like a goldfish swimming around the fish bowl.

quote:

Originally posted by Balzé Halzé:

Inflation is at 8.3%, you empty-headed shit sack!

How about we show a little respect? That's Mister shit sack!

---

quote:

Originally posted by HRK:

All you need to do is diet and buy an electric car, and stay home.

While you're home, be sure that you don't use any electric power or dinosaur fuel to heat or cool your house.

Persona non grata.




Joe Biden forced to wait for seat after apparent late arrival at Queen’s funeral

...

The US president took his seat behind Andrzej Duda, the president of Poland, and in front of Petr Fiala, the prime minister of the Czech Republic. Sitting to her husband’s left, Jill Biden sat next to Ignazio Cassis, the president of Switzerland.

https://www.theguardian.com/uk...al-at-queens-funeral

He's about the last guy we would ever want framing our foreign policy and risking war with his dangerous, empty talk. He needs to just be quiet before he really steps in it.

Anyway, it's apparent Biden is not running things.

'Like clockwork. Biden’s handlers are out in force'

Ol' Droolin' Joe states the obvious and the leftists occupying the White House have to rush to "clarify" things.

quote:

Originally posted by V-Tail:

quote:

Originally posted by HRK:

All you need to do is diet and buy an electric car, and stay home.

While you're home, be sure that you don't use any electric power or dinosaur fuel to heat or cool your house.

Just buy $70,000 worth of solar and power walls, and vo-la, no monthly e-lectric bill!