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Looks like $55k to start (Polestar 4), $73k for the SUV (Polestar 3), and a $349/month lease (Polestar 2). https://www.polestar.com/us/ I don't have that kind of money.... God bless America. | |||
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Drill Here, Drill Now |
Former Hertz CEO went all in on EVs
Ego is the anesthesia that deadens the pain of stupidity DISCLAIMER: These are the author's own personal views and do not represent the views of the author's employer. | |||
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Peace through superior firepower |
Funny, isn't it, that all these supposed high-power, ultra-wise executives sometime behave as if they don't have a lick of sense, and can't see the obvious? I'm not impressed. A corporation doesn't need to pay some guy 18 million a year to tank their stock. They can get someone off the street for less than 50K to do the same thing. And just maybe, the 50,000 thou a year nobody might manage to make sensible decisions, like holding off on technologies which are not yet mature. | |||
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Left-Handed, NOT Left-Winged! |
To Para's point, the entire auto industry has gone full retard for EV's. I've worked in the industry for most of the last 30 years, with the last 21 years in IC engines. Now Ford is losing a ton of money on EV's, Rivian and others like them will probably go bankrupt, and Tesla is laying off 10% of their people. The executives are kowtowing to climate ideology, ESG, DEI, LGBTQWERTY+!@$# and every other leftist virtue signal they can think of. They refuse to stand up against Biden and the EPA and defend their shareholder's interest. Probably because the large institutional shareholders like Blackrock are calling the shots. I'm waiting for shareholder class actions against Blackrock and their ilk. They might know how to manage money (maybe), but they are not product designers or manufacturers, or even reasonably technically capable, and have no clue about what they are insisting on.This message has been edited. Last edited by: Lefty Sig, | |||
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Member |
I don’t think they are cowtowing to any of the people you suggested. Battery prices are something like 1/5 the cost they were when this craze first started and all of the executives are seeing green. I’m not talking about environmental green either. The entire EV is way simpler and much cheaper to produce other than the batteries. Once the batteries drop in half again these cars are going to be way cheaper and much simpler to produce and they won’t be passing all of that savings on to us. The batteries are assembled by robots the engines are like 5 major parts. A gas engine is over 500 parts that mostly gets assembled by humans. Then you have the government (us) footing the extra bill until the batteries are that much cheaper. It’s a win win for the manufacturers. The problem is they didn’t realize the visceral reaction the American people would have to mandates and they screwed up by starting with very expensive models first. In just about every developed country other than the U.S. the EV is taking over very quickly and the typical S curve on technology is about a 10% adoption rate. After that the tech just takes off incredibly fast. The U.S. is at something near 8% and climbing despite what the media is now trying to portray because they turned on Elon. It’s going to happen there’s no doubt about it but it will take longer in the U.S. than anywhere else. If a company would put their money where their mouth is and give a 15 year 300,000 or so battery warranty they would take off way faster. Seventy percent of Americans do not have $800 to fix an emergency repair on their car so a battery failure scares the crap out of people. Take that away and it’s over for 70% of car sales. The manufacturers claim the new batteries are good for a minimum of 500,000 miles so if that’s true a 3 or 400 thousand mile warranty shouldn’t be a big deal. | |||
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How uncommon is it for the American public to not know what's good for us ? And, How uncommon is it for the American public to know exactly what is best for us but do something different, any dam way ? America is not this screwed up as it is because Americans are brilliant decision makers. Safety, Situational Awareness and proficiency. Neck Ties, Hats and ammo brass, Never ,ever touch'em w/o asking first | |||
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Member |
Often I put choices in the category of a ‘statement vehicle’. The owner is trying to make a statement, not that anyone needs to listen. One just has to sit at the table a while with paper and a calculator to see what makes financial sense. Take that $70k+ EV, gas at $3.78 a gallon and compare it to that $37k vehicle getting 34 mpg. One can go deeper asking, ‘am I really saving the planet with my EV? Not all, but many people are stupid. | |||
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I swear I had something for this |
Over the last few months, there's been promising updates on hydrogen or ammonia engines showing that the battery pack EV is proving to be "Compact Florescent Bulb" phase of technology. https://www.ecoticias.com/en/4...n-engine-water/1118/
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Left-Handed, NOT Left-Winged! |
Batteries assembled by robots? Sure there is some automation but not significantly more than an IC engine. In many cases batteries are more difficult to assemble than IC engines and require more handwork. "Engines are like 5 parts"? If you mean the electric motors then you have to do the copper windings first, then assemble the major parts. The technology S-curve applies to electronics as they move from discrete components to integrated circuits to "system on a chip". The integration reduces size, cost, and increases performance. Problem is, it does not apply to electromechanical and electrochemical things nearly as well. EV's are not "way simpler and much cheaper to produce". Bodies, interiors, wheels, brakes, etc are the same or more than IC cars because of the weight of the battery. EV's are about 50% heavier than IC cars for the same size - compare a Tesla Model 3 and a Honda Civic. Check how much a body repair costs on an EV - twice as much or more - and that is now causing insurance premiums to go up for everyone. The power electronics and control systems are much more complicated and more suspect to software bugs. The bottom line is that no one would be looking at EV's at all except for the false panic over "climate change" and the demonization of CO2. We all know it's bullshit. Basing the changeover of an entire industry that comprises more than 10% of the U.S. economy on bullshit is not an efficient allocation of capital. Free markets are a lot smarter than government hacks and the free market is telling them to pound sand. | |||
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Left-Handed, NOT Left-Winged! |
Everyone is working on H2 IC engines and the industry doesn't need a prototype from a small company in Australia. For companies that already make natural gas IC engines, it's not a big stretch. The issue the hydrogen itself - it does not exist in a usable state in nature and has to be separated from water which takes a lot of power (more than you get from the H2 engine due to the laws of thermodynamics) or has to be stripped from natural gas, which is the most cost effective and energy efficient method. So if you're going spend energy to extract H2 from natural gas and then burn the H2, it is a whole lot more efficient just to burn the natural gas in the engine in the first place. But OMG CO2! We're all gonna die in hellfire! Sorry, but the laws of thermodynamics are what they are. And most of the popular press is clueless. H2 is not a fuel, it is an energy storage medium, and all uses of H2 for power will significantly increase total energy usage which has to be generated somewhere, 80% of the time with petroleum. The irrational zeal to achieve "ZERO CARBON" is absurd and the engineers that have risen to management in the industry KNOW BETTER. They are just kowtowing to politics and virtue signaling. I know this because I see it every day. | |||
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Member |
You are off base on almost everything. I have heard that S curve nonsense (if it is misapplied it becomes nonsense) spouted many times. Please enlighten us how that applies to cars that are as expensive as your first house. S curve adoption is pretty predictable when applied to technology. Standalone technology. Internet, cell phones, tablets, computers, etc. You guys are taking a fairly predictable model and just like with “climate change” wildly misapplying it. Cars aren’t phones. Sounds simple yet you step past that salient point like it was nothing. S curve models don’t include infrastructure. They don’t include city dwellers without access to power. Apartment livers. People who tow. People who drive long distance. Nothing ever has been forced down societies throat against our will more than EV’s. Nearly to your magical 10% mark and yet the market still is resisting. Most of those cars are being sold to upper middle class families with multiple cars. That’s not adoption, it’s bling. Somebody call PR64 to post another picture of his “mustang” that only works because he is retired, well off, has a garage, and doesn’t drive all that much. Ie, the typical car buyer (sarcasm). (PR64 it is a beautiful car) You guys also pretend like electric vehicles are magic. Ask any car guy what the hardest type of car malfunction there is to troubleshoot? Electrical. It will make you tear your hair out. Left to market forces the hybrid is a winner. The pure EV is a loser. Everyone betting on the EV win is banking on “surefire” tech breakthroughs. It is fucking nuts to listen to you guys telling us to “just wait, when the new batteries go 1000 miles on a 5 minute charge and use seawater in their cells it will be great”. Awesome. What exactly is the date those breakthroughs happen? This is pure fantasy fueled by greed and subsidized by the taxpayers. None of this happens this way without massive government coercion and mandate.This message has been edited. Last edited by: pedropcola, | |||
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Conservative in Nor Cal constantly swimming up stream |
OK online keyboard key test ----------------------------------- Get your guns b4 the Dems take them away Sig P-229 Sig P-220 Combat | |||
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Member |
Yup, it is a beaut. lol. | |||
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Member |
That’s why I said 70%. It will never be everyone because of extreme use vehicles and other things. Every time I see someone saying EV’s are not going to happen they come up with a list of things that are outdated and easily proven. There’s no one on this site who loves the ICE more than I do but I also follow the EV industry pretty closely because I’m a tech nerd and I have been using the same basic technology for 25 years in RC vehicles. I’m sorry to tell everyone but the EV industry is happening whether we want it to or not and most of you will be shocked how good your car will be and how much you like it. Then the reasoning and excuses why “you had to buy one” will be hilarious. We should pin this thread and come back in ten years (actually less) and see who’s right. | |||
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Member |
Pin away. I will take that bet. Once we stop MANDATING the change then the market will decide. The market has a taste for it but most of the market still prefers ICE. Pin away. I respectfully say you are nuts if you think massive change is coming inside of 10 years without a federal mandate ramming it down our throats. New administration and this all goes back to market choice. | |||
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Savor the limelight |
OMG, EXTREME use vehicles! Hertz couldn’t make them work as regular use vehicles. | |||
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Drill Here, Drill Now |
EVs are a horrible business model for the rental car market. If I return a gasoline car they fill it up, run it through the automatic car wash, vacuum quickly, and have back out for rental in under 30 minutes. I've had an electric SUV as a rental car one time and when I returned it to the airport it was on 30% life remaining so 1.5 hours to 6 hours depending on which charger they had. That's a lot of downtime between rentals. Fall 2022, the airport's (one of the big 8 cities in Can-eh-duh) rental car place was out of cars despite dozens of customers having reservations. The manager was going through the line asking customers how far they were driving, and if the answer was a short distance they offered no waiting for an electric SUV. 5 people rejected it ahead of me, and naively I said yes as it couldn't be that bad 60 km from a large city. In hindsight, dumb decision. Although, it was humorous when the checkout guy tried to sell me the fuel purchase option. Here are some of the other flaws for EVs as rental cars: Ego is the anesthesia that deadens the pain of stupidity DISCLAIMER: These are the author's own personal views and do not represent the views of the author's employer. | |||
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Savor the limelight |
I’m laughing at the idea that all the people for whom an EV wouldn’t work are somehow extreme use cases. How can 30% be considered extreme? And the reality is an EV might work for 30% of the people out there, so they must be EXTREME! The flaws as rental cars carry over as flaws for regular folks as well. I’m glad they work for some people. I know 5 people that have them: a Taycan, an Ioniq, a Model 3 (bought used), a Model X, the Kia one, and a family of 8 that has two Model 3s. Not all of these people are rich, but they are all bright and capable of making sound financial decisions. These are second, third, or fourth and fifth vehicles for them. They have garages and home chargers. For the most part, they don’t take certain normal trips with them. Some have tried with poor results. | |||
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No More Mr. Nice Guy |
How much does all the solar generation, energy storage, and charging station cost? What does it amortize to across miles driven? Without government subsidies? Around here, solar electric doesn't break even without the subsidies. In our home we do get plenty of passive solar warmth in the winter, and don't use air conditioning in the summer. There's no way to make an electric vehicle makes sense for us financially or in practice. | |||
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Member |
The (near)future is not just about electric vehicles, but autonomous electric vehicles. | |||
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