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Picture of vthoky
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by egregore:

Isn't this a $100K+ car? Who's got that kind of money?


Looks like $55k to start (Polestar 4), $73k for the SUV (Polestar 3), and a $349/month lease (Polestar 2).

https://www.polestar.com/us/

I don't have that kind of money....




God bless America.
 
Posts: 13517 | Location: The mountainous part of Hokie Nation! | Registered: July 15, 2007Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Drill Here, Drill Now
Picture of tatortodd
posted Hide Post
Former Hertz CEO went all in on EVs
quote:
Hertz Reports $392 Million Loss
Company Continues to Sell Off Tesla Fleet

Hertz Global Holdings Inc. reported a loss that was nearly three times worse than analysts expected as it accelerated sales of electric vehicles to reduce its fleet of Tesla Inc. models that have weighed on profits for the past year.

The company said it lost $1.28 a share, or $392 million, against analyst expectation for a loss of 44 cents a share. The car rental company took a $195 million charge for the depreciation of an additional 10,000 EVs that Hertz is now holding for sale. While the company met revenue expectations, it is trying to quickly work past its failed bet on electric vehicles that resulted in lower rental rates and higher costs.

Shares fell 2.4% at 8:19 a.m. in New York before the start of regular trading. Hertz had dropped 44% this year through the April 24 close.

New CEO Gil West appears to be willing to take bitter medicine in the near term to get the right number of EVs in Hertz’s fleet and reduce the damage the cars are doing to the company’s profits. EVs have higher repair costs than traditional gas-powered vehicles and the values have fallen after Tesla cut prices last year and continued to do so this year.

“Fleet and direct operating costs weighed on this quarter’s performance,” West said in a statement. “We’re tackling both issues.”

“We’ve put the right strategy in place, and I see a clear path for Hertz to generate sustainable and higher earnings for our shareholders,” he said.

That will take time, which means Hertz will spend much of this year unwinding its big bet on electric cars made over the past two years at the behest of controlling shareholder Knighthead Capital Management. Hertz ordered 100,000 Teslas in October 2021 expecting prices to hold steady and for renters to snap them up. The opposite happened.

The company never bought that many and is now trying to sell 30,000 EVs by the end of the year.

Hertz said its monthly depreciation costs soared to $592 per vehicle, an unusually high amount in the rental business. Part of that is because used-vehicle prices rose so much in the comparable period last year when the company made money on some sales. Hertz said that $119 of the monthly per vehicle depreciation was related to the additional EVs that are held for sale.

Collision costs are still an issue. The company’s direct vehicle operating expenses rose 3% to $1.4 billion. If not for collision and repair expenses it would have been flat, the company said.

Besides the company’s EV problems, Hertz performance slumped in other areas. Revenue per day fell 7% to $56.68 and vehicle utilization dropped fell slightly to 76%. Rental companies like to be at 80% or better.

The CEO who doubled down on EVs, Stephen Scherr, stepped down last month. West, the former chief operating officer of General Motors Co.’s Cruise robotaxi unit, has held the top job at Hertz since April 1.



Ego is the anesthesia that deadens the pain of stupidity

DISCLAIMER: These are the author's own personal views and do not represent the views of the author's employer.
 
Posts: 23308 | Location: Northern Suburbs of Houston | Registered: November 14, 2005Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Peace through
superior firepower
Picture of parabellum
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Funny, isn't it, that all these supposed high-power, ultra-wise executives sometime behave as if they don't have a lick of sense, and can't see the obvious?

I'm not impressed. A corporation doesn't need to pay some guy 18 million a year to tank their stock. They can get someone off the street for less than 50K to do the same thing.

And just maybe, the 50,000 thou a year nobody might manage to make sensible decisions, like holding off on technologies which are not yet mature.
 
Posts: 107697 | Registered: January 20, 2000Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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To Para's point, the entire auto industry has gone full retard for EV's. I've worked in the industry for most of the last 30 years, with the last 21 years in IC engines.

Now Ford is losing a ton of money on EV's, Rivian and others like them will probably go bankrupt, and Tesla is laying off 10% of their people.

The executives are kowtowing to climate ideology, ESG, DEI, LGBTQWERTY+!@$# and every other leftist virtue signal they can think of. They refuse to stand up against Biden and the EPA and defend their shareholder's interest. Probably because the large institutional shareholders like Blackrock are calling the shots.

I'm waiting for shareholder class actions against Blackrock and their ilk. They might know how to manage money (maybe), but they are not product designers or manufacturers, or even reasonably technically capable, and have no clue about what they are insisting on.

This message has been edited. Last edited by: Lefty Sig,
 
Posts: 4727 | Location: Indiana | Registered: December 28, 2004Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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quote:
Originally posted by Lefty Sig:
To Para's point, the entire auto industry has gone full retard for EV's. I've worked in the industry for most of the last 30 years, with the last 21 years in IC engines.

Now Ford is losing a ton of money on EV's, Rivian and others like them will probably go bankrupt, and Tesla is laying off 10% of their people.

The executives aren’t kow towing to climate ideology, ESG, DEI, LGBTQWERTY+!@$# and every other leftist virtue signal they can think of. They refuse to stand up against Biden and the EPA and defend their shareholder's interest. Probably because the large institutional shareholders like Blackrock are calling the shots.

I'm waiting for shareholder class actions against Blackrock and their ilk. They might know how to manage money (maybe), but they are not product designers or manufacturers, or even reasonably technically capable, and have no clue about what they are insisting on.


I don’t think they are cowtowing to any of the people you suggested. Battery prices are something like 1/5 the cost they were when this craze first started and all of the executives are seeing green. I’m not talking about environmental green either. The entire EV is way simpler and much cheaper to produce other than the batteries. Once the batteries drop in half again these cars are going to be way cheaper and much simpler to produce and they won’t be passing all of that savings on to us. The batteries are assembled by robots the engines are like 5 major parts. A gas engine is over 500 parts that mostly gets assembled by humans.


Then you have the government (us) footing the extra bill until the batteries are that much cheaper. It’s a win win for the manufacturers. The problem is they didn’t realize the visceral reaction the American people would have to mandates and they screwed up by starting with very expensive models first.


In just about every developed country other than the U.S. the EV is taking over very quickly and the typical S curve on technology is about a 10% adoption rate. After that the tech just takes off incredibly fast. The U.S. is at something near 8% and climbing despite what the media is now trying to portray because they turned on Elon.


It’s going to happen there’s no doubt about it but it will take longer in the U.S. than anywhere else. If a company would put their money where their mouth is and give a 15 year 300,000 or so battery warranty they would take off way faster. Seventy percent of Americans do not have $800 to fix an emergency repair on their car so a battery failure scares the crap out of people. Take that away and it’s over for 70% of car sales. The manufacturers claim the new batteries are good for a minimum of 500,000 miles so if that’s true a 3 or 400 thousand mile warranty shouldn’t be a big deal.
 
Posts: 3930 | Registered: January 25, 2013Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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How uncommon is it for the American public to not know what's good for us ?

And,

How uncommon is it for the American public to know exactly what is best for us but do something different, any dam way ?

America is not this screwed up as it is because Americans are brilliant decision makers.





Safety, Situational Awareness and proficiency.



Neck Ties, Hats and ammo brass, Never ,ever touch'em w/o asking first
 
Posts: 54682 | Location: Henry County , Il | Registered: February 10, 2004Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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Picture of sourdough44
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Often I put choices in the category of a ‘statement vehicle’. The owner is trying to make a statement, not that anyone needs to listen.

One just has to sit at the table a while with paper and a calculator to see what makes financial sense. Take that $70k+ EV, gas at $3.78 a gallon and compare it to that $37k vehicle getting 34 mpg.

One can go deeper asking, ‘am I really saving the planet with my EV?

Not all, but many people are stupid.
 
Posts: 6176 | Location: WI | Registered: February 29, 2012Reply With QuoteReport This Post
I swear I had
something for this
posted Hide Post
Over the last few months, there's been promising updates on hydrogen or ammonia engines showing that the battery pack EV is proving to be "Compact Florescent Bulb" phase of technology.

https://www.ecoticias.com/en/4...n-engine-water/1118/

quote:
The latest 400 hp water engine: better than all hydrogen and the end of electricity
hydrogen engine

Electric cars have hit the brakes across the U.S., with brands like Tesla sinking in sales figures. However, this situation has ceased to be a mystery since we learned about the new water engine, the first of its kind in history. You know what makes it special? Not only its 400 hp, but also that it is a more efficient option than hydrogen in any environment.

New water engine: EVs and conventional hydrogen will be soon replaced

AVL, an Austrian automotive engineering company, has developed an innovative hydrogen combustion engine that could revolutionize motorsports and transportation. Their 400 horsepower prototype engine can run on hydrogen fuel with zero CO2 emissions, providing performance comparable to tradicional ICE.

Unlike other hydrogen engines that run on fuel cells, AVL’s technology utilizes direct hydrogen injection into the combustion chamber. This allows the engine to operate much like a conventional petrol or diesel engine, but fueled by hydrogen. The technology builds upon AVL’s decades of experience in high-performance powertrain.

Early testing shows tremendous promise for racing applications. Motorsports provide an ideal testing ground for developing hydrogen engine technology that could eventually make its way to road cars. AVL’s hydrogen engine offers drivers the sound, emotion and excitement of combustion engines.

This breakthrough demonstrates that high-performance vehicles do not need to sacrifice driving experience in the transition to cleaner energy. AVL’s hydrogen engine technology could pave the way for the motorsport and automotive industries to reduce their carbon footprint dramatically.

The AVL hydrogen engine is based on internal combustion engine (ICE) technology, but with key differences compared to conventional gasoline or diesel engines. Whereas normal ICEs burn gasoline or diesel fuel, AVL’s engine burns hydrogen gas to generate power.

Hydrogen gas is injected into the combustion chamber, then compressed and ignited by a spark plug, just like in a gasoline engine. This combustion of hydrogen and air drives the pistons up and down to produce rotational power. The main byproduct emitted from the exhaust is water vapor rather than carbon dioxide.

There are challenges associated with burning pure hydrogen gas in an ICE. Hydrogen’s flammability range in air and the combustion speed are different than gasoline. This requires adaptations to the fuel injection system, ignition timing, combustion chamber design, and cooling systems compared to a conventional ICE.

AVL’s engineers optimized the hydrogen engine’s design for efficiency and power output. This includes running the engine at a higher compression ratio to take advantage of hydrogen’s faster burn rate. The prototype achieves a thermal efficiency over 50% – significantly higher than an equivalent gasoline engine.

AVL’s prototype hydrogen combustion engine delivers 400 horsepower and was specifically designed and optimized to run on hydrogen fuel. The engine is based on a 2.0 liter 4-cylinder that has been modified to handle the unique properties of hydrogen combustion.

Some key details about the prototype:

It uses direct hydrogen injection into the cylinders for optimal combustion. This allows precise control of the hydrogen-air mixture.

The compression ratio was increased to 14:1, higher than a normal gasoline engine. This takes advantage of hydrogen’s higher autoignition temperature.

Dedicated engine control software was developed to account for hydrogen’s faster burning speed and wider flammability range compared to gasoline.

The cylinder head, pistons, valves and injectors were redesigned to withstand the higher temperatures and pressures of hydrogen combustion.

Lightweight materials like aluminum and titanium were used to offset the lower energy density of hydrogen fuel.

Overall, AVL’s 400hp prototype demonstrates the performance potential of hydrogen in an optimized internal combustion engine. It serves as a platform for further development and is a significant achievement in hydrogen engine technology.

A 400 hp hydrogen engine is not an invention we see every day, and it is certainly set to revolutionize the roads. In this sense, the only question that remains to be clarified is whether it will work as well in icy environments such as Alaska, where it is difficult to perform the combustion mechanism of this fuel. However, it already leaves electric cars far behind, no doubt about it.
 
Posts: 4204 | Location: Kansas City, MO | Registered: May 28, 2004Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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quote:
Originally posted by 1s1k:
I don’t think they are cowtowing to any of the people you suggested. Battery prices are something like 1/5 the cost they were when this craze first started and all of the executives are seeing green. I’m not talking about environmental green either. The entire EV is way simpler and much cheaper to produce other than the batteries. Once the batteries drop in half again these cars are going to be way cheaper and much simpler to produce and they won’t be passing all of that savings on to us. The batteries are assembled by robots the engines are like 5 major parts. A gas engine is over 500 parts that mostly gets assembled by humans.

Then you have the government (us) footing the extra bill until the batteries are that much cheaper. It’s a win win for the manufacturers. The problem is they didn’t realize the visceral reaction the American people would have to mandates and they screwed up by starting with very expensive models first.

In just about every developed country other than the U.S. the EV is taking over very quickly and the typical S curve on technology is about a 10% adoption rate. After that the tech just takes off incredibly fast. The U.S. is at something near 8% and climbing despite what the media is now trying to portray because they turned on Elon.

It’s going to happen there’s no doubt about it but it will take longer in the U.S. than anywhere else. If a company would put their money where their mouth is and give a 15 year 300,000 or so battery warranty they would take off way faster. Seventy percent of Americans do not have $800 to fix an emergency repair on their car so a battery failure scares the crap out of people. Take that away and it’s over for 70% of car sales. The manufacturers claim the new batteries are good for a minimum of 500,000 miles so if that’s true a 3 or 400 thousand mile warranty shouldn’t be a big deal.


Batteries assembled by robots? Sure there is some automation but not significantly more than an IC engine. In many cases batteries are more difficult to assemble than IC engines and require more handwork. "Engines are like 5 parts"? If you mean the electric motors then you have to do the copper windings first, then assemble the major parts.

The technology S-curve applies to electronics as they move from discrete components to integrated circuits to "system on a chip". The integration reduces size, cost, and increases performance. Problem is, it does not apply to electromechanical and electrochemical things nearly as well.

EV's are not "way simpler and much cheaper to produce". Bodies, interiors, wheels, brakes, etc are the same or more than IC cars because of the weight of the battery. EV's are about 50% heavier than IC cars for the same size - compare a Tesla Model 3 and a Honda Civic. Check how much a body repair costs on an EV - twice as much or more - and that is now causing insurance premiums to go up for everyone. The power electronics and control systems are much more complicated and more suspect to software bugs.

The bottom line is that no one would be looking at EV's at all except for the false panic over "climate change" and the demonization of CO2. We all know it's bullshit. Basing the changeover of an entire industry that comprises more than 10% of the U.S. economy on bullshit is not an efficient allocation of capital. Free markets are a lot smarter than government hacks and the free market is telling them to pound sand.
 
Posts: 4727 | Location: Indiana | Registered: December 28, 2004Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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Everyone is working on H2 IC engines and the industry doesn't need a prototype from a small company in Australia. For companies that already make natural gas IC engines, it's not a big stretch. The issue the hydrogen itself - it does not exist in a usable state in nature and has to be separated from water which takes a lot of power (more than you get from the H2 engine due to the laws of thermodynamics) or has to be stripped from natural gas, which is the most cost effective and energy efficient method.

So if you're going spend energy to extract H2 from natural gas and then burn the H2, it is a whole lot more efficient just to burn the natural gas in the engine in the first place. But OMG CO2! We're all gonna die in hellfire!

Sorry, but the laws of thermodynamics are what they are. And most of the popular press is clueless. H2 is not a fuel, it is an energy storage medium, and all uses of H2 for power will significantly increase total energy usage which has to be generated somewhere, 80% of the time with petroleum.

The irrational zeal to achieve "ZERO CARBON" is absurd and the engineers that have risen to management in the industry KNOW BETTER. They are just kowtowing to politics and virtue signaling. I know this because I see it every day.
 
Posts: 4727 | Location: Indiana | Registered: December 28, 2004Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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You are off base on almost everything. I have heard that S curve nonsense (if it is misapplied it becomes nonsense) spouted many times. Please enlighten us how that applies to cars that are as expensive as your first house. S curve adoption is pretty predictable when applied to technology. Standalone technology. Internet, cell phones, tablets, computers, etc. You guys are taking a fairly predictable model and just like with “climate change” wildly misapplying it. Cars aren’t phones. Sounds simple yet you step past that salient point like it was nothing.

S curve models don’t include infrastructure. They don’t include city dwellers without access to power. Apartment livers. People who tow. People who drive long distance.

Nothing ever has been forced down societies throat against our will more than EV’s. Nearly to your magical 10% mark and yet the market still is resisting. Most of those cars are being sold to upper middle class families with multiple cars. That’s not adoption, it’s bling. Somebody call PR64 to post another picture of his “mustang” that only works because he is retired, well off, has a garage, and doesn’t drive all that much. Ie, the typical car buyer (sarcasm). (PR64 it is a beautiful car)

You guys also pretend like electric vehicles are magic. Ask any car guy what the hardest type of car malfunction there is to troubleshoot? Electrical. It will make you tear your hair out.

Left to market forces the hybrid is a winner. The pure EV is a loser.

Everyone betting on the EV win is banking on “surefire” tech breakthroughs. It is fucking nuts to listen to you guys telling us to “just wait, when the new batteries go 1000 miles on a 5 minute charge and use seawater in their cells it will be great”. Awesome. What exactly is the date those breakthroughs happen?

This is pure fantasy fueled by greed and subsidized by the taxpayers. None of this happens this way without massive government coercion and mandate.

This message has been edited. Last edited by: pedropcola,
 
Posts: 7540 | Location: Florida | Registered: June 18, 2005Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Conservative in Nor Cal constantly swimming
up stream
Picture of PR64
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OK



online keyboard key test





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Posts: 3491 | Location: Nor Cal | Registered: January 25, 2011Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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Yup, it is a beaut. lol.
 
Posts: 7540 | Location: Florida | Registered: June 18, 2005Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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quote:
Originally posted by pedropcola:
You are off base on almost everything. I have heard that S curve nonsense (if it is misapplied it becomes nonsense) spouted many times. Please enlighten us how that applies to cars that are as expensive as your first house. S curve adoption is pretty predictable when applied to technology. Standalone technology. Internet, cell phones, tablets, computers, etc. You guys are taking a fairly predictable model and just like with “climate change” wildly misapplying it. Cars aren’t phones. Sounds simple yet you step past that salient point like it was nothing.

S curve models don’t include infrastructure. They don’t include city dwellers without access to power. Apartment livers. People who tow. People who drive long distance.

Nothing ever has been forced down societies throat against our will more than EV’s. Nearly to your magical 10% mark and yet the market still is resisting. Most of those cars are being sold to upper middle class families with multiple cars. That’s not adoption, it’s bling. Somebody call PR64 to post another picture of his “mustang” that only works because he is retired, well off, has a garage, and doesn’t drive all that much. Ie, the typical car buyer (sarcasm). (PR64 it is a beautiful car)

You guys also pretend like electric vehicles are magic. Ask any car guy what the hardest type of car malfunction there is to troubleshoot? Electrical. It will make you tear your hair out.

Left to market forces the hybrid is a winner. The pure EV is a loser.

Everyone betting on the EV win is banking on “surefire” tech breakthroughs. It is fucking nuts to listen to you guys telling us to “just wait, when the new batteries go 1000 miles on a 5 minute charge and use seawater in their cells it will be great”. Awesome. What exactly is the date those breakthroughs happen?

This is pure fantasy fueled by greed and subsidized by the taxpayers. None of this happens this way without massive government coercion and mandate.


That’s why I said 70%. It will never be everyone because of extreme use vehicles and other things. Every time I see someone saying EV’s are not going to happen they come up with a list of things that are outdated and easily proven.

There’s no one on this site who loves the ICE more than I do but I also follow the EV industry pretty closely because I’m a tech nerd and I have been using the same basic technology for 25 years in RC vehicles. I’m sorry to tell everyone but the EV industry is happening whether we want it to or not and most of you will be shocked Wink how good your car will be and how much you like it. Then the reasoning and excuses why “you had to buy one” will be hilarious.


We should pin this thread and come back in ten years (actually less) and see who’s right.
 
Posts: 3930 | Registered: January 25, 2013Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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Pin away. I will take that bet. Once we stop MANDATING the change then the market will decide. The market has a taste for it but most of the market still prefers ICE.

Pin away. I respectfully say you are nuts if you think massive change is coming inside of 10 years without a federal mandate ramming it down our throats. New administration and this all goes back to market choice.
 
Posts: 7540 | Location: Florida | Registered: June 18, 2005Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Savor the limelight
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OMG, EXTREME use vehicles! Hertz couldn’t make them work as regular use vehicles. Big Grin
 
Posts: 10999 | Location: SWFL | Registered: October 10, 2007Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Drill Here, Drill Now
Picture of tatortodd
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EVs are a horrible business model for the rental car market. If I return a gasoline car they fill it up, run it through the automatic car wash, vacuum quickly, and have back out for rental in under 30 minutes. I've had an electric SUV as a rental car one time and when I returned it to the airport it was on 30% life remaining so 1.5 hours to 6 hours depending on which charger they had. That's a lot of downtime between rentals.

Fall 2022, the airport's (one of the big 8 cities in Can-eh-duh) rental car place was out of cars despite dozens of customers having reservations. The manager was going through the line asking customers how far they were driving, and if the answer was a short distance they offered no waiting for an electric SUV. 5 people rejected it ahead of me, and naively I said yes as it couldn't be that bad 60 km from a large city. In hindsight, dumb decision. Although, it was humorous when the checkout guy tried to sell me the fuel purchase option.

Here are some of the other flaws for EVs as rental cars:
  • I had to watch YouTube to be able to fuel it which I've never had to do for a gasoline or hybrid rental car. The 120V charger was 58 hours to full charge so I was forced to look for charging stations with 230/240 Volt. There are two kinds of 230/240 volt charging - the kind like you'd install in your garage is 8 or 9 hours for full charge, and some of the commercial fast charge ones are still ~2 hours.
  • There were no charging stations at the hotel or the office. Only one restaurant between the hotel and office had a charging station (the 8 or 9 hour version). It was in Canada and the charging station required an app to use it so I had to use international data to download the app. PITA.
  • At many airports, the rental cars are in a multistory parking garage and I'd wager a large amount of money they don't have the electricity necessary for 25%, 50%, or 75% of the fleet to be electric. Can it be fixed? Yes, but it takes a lot of money further making the business case worse.



    Ego is the anesthesia that deadens the pain of stupidity

    DISCLAIMER: These are the author's own personal views and do not represent the views of the author's employer.
  •  
    Posts: 23308 | Location: Northern Suburbs of Houston | Registered: November 14, 2005Reply With QuoteReport This Post
    Savor the limelight
    posted Hide Post
    I’m laughing at the idea that all the people for whom an EV wouldn’t work are somehow extreme use cases. How can 30% be considered extreme? And the reality is an EV might work for 30% of the people out there, so they must be EXTREME!

    The flaws as rental cars carry over as flaws for regular folks as well.

    I’m glad they work for some people. I know 5 people that have them: a Taycan, an Ioniq, a Model 3 (bought used), a Model X, the Kia one, and a family of 8 that has two Model 3s. Not all of these people are rich, but they are all bright and capable of making sound financial decisions. These are second, third, or fourth and fifth vehicles for them. They have garages and home chargers. For the most part, they don’t take certain normal trips with them. Some have tried with poor results.
     
    Posts: 10999 | Location: SWFL | Registered: October 10, 2007Reply With QuoteReport This Post
    No More
    Mr. Nice Guy
    posted Hide Post
    quote:
    Originally posted by PR64:
    I’m in a good situation for my EV.

    House with a garage.

    Solar on the roof.

    Tesla power wall.

    Charging station in the garage.


    How much does all the solar generation, energy storage, and charging station cost? What does it amortize to across miles driven? Without government subsidies?

    Around here, solar electric doesn't break even without the subsidies. In our home we do get plenty of passive solar warmth in the winter, and don't use air conditioning in the summer. There's no way to make an electric vehicle makes sense for us financially or in practice.
     
    Posts: 9471 | Location: On the mountain off the grid | Registered: February 25, 2002Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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    The (near)future is not just about electric vehicles, but autonomous electric vehicles.
     
    Posts: 343 | Location: Bardstown, Ky | Registered: December 06, 2013Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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