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E tan e epi tas |
Don't you think the cruise ship would divert or stay at sea if this monster is that close on Sunday? Take Care, Shoot Safe, Chris | |||
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Nullus Anxietas |
Free extended cruise. "America is at that awkward stage. It's too late to work within the system,,,, but too early to shoot the bastards." -- Claire Wolfe "If we let things terrify us, life will not be worth living." -- Seneca the Younger, Roman Stoic philosopher | |||
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Tinker Sailor Soldier Pie |
They'll be fine. Can't say about the car though. ~Alan Acta Non Verba NRA Life Member (Patron) God, Family, Guns, Country Men will fight and die to protect women... because women protect everything else. ~Andrew Klavan | |||
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Member |
Open the water tap in your kitchen and get all the free water you want. You can always fill your tub if you have one or get some 2 gal. zip lock bags and fill those. | |||
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Funny Man |
That's an ugly forecast track for sure. If the leading edge of the eye wall of a category 4 or 5 storm rakes the entire eastern shore of Florida from Miami to the Georgia line the destruction will massive. ______________________________ “I'd like to know why well-educated idiots keep apologizing for lazy and complaining people who think the world owes them a living.” ― John Wayne | |||
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Just for the hell of it |
Max sustained winds still 185mph. That's ugly. Looks like the eye will miss Haiti and the DR. Good for them but their mountains may have slowed it down just a bit. _____________________________________ Because in the end, you won’t remember the time you spent working in the office or mowing your lawn. Climb that goddamn mountain. Jack Kerouac | |||
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Conductor in Residence |
I get the privilege of running security at the shelter for the school where I work, in one of the worst neighborhoods in the country. That's going to be eye-opening. But I have 8 city cops on staff to deal with the major stuff. We are expecting 4000-6000 folks with a staff of 15 plus 8 cops, for at least 48 hours. Wow. | |||
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Peace through superior firepower |
Armed security? | |||
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Member |
It better be. Sounds understaffed to me. Hope the toilets and air conditioning stay working. Hopefully there will be volunteers that have experience in dealing with the mentally ill and homeless. Some people think they will be having a party. The crowd from Walmart is a picnic compared to this crowd. Good luck. Hoping you have medical personnel as well. I would specifically ask about having mental health folks there. In addition to the usual, there are people who have severe anxiety disorder that you will be dealing with. Good luck. Hopefully you will have backup from the Florida National Guard. They can help a lot. | |||
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Ethics, antics, and ballistics |
We took advantage this afternoon that the weather was good and took care of shuttering up the house, bringing in whatever might be a projectile hazard or get damaged from the yard and have room in the garage for both of our vehicles that are still full of fuel with some extra in cans. We are fully supplied for weeks if necessary and I have a few more items arriving via shipping carrier over the next two days so we will be as prepared as we can be. As for underground utilities, they may not be indestructible, but the power definitely gets back on faster when the power company only has to mostly worry about the main transmission lines and transformers as opposed to neighborhood power poles and wiring, especially in newer suburbs like ours, if the power even goes out at all that is. I'm still thinking the average of the computer models give or take a few miles will come to pass and that the eye will not make landfall in South Florida. They were saying earlier that although the storm is powerful, the hurricane force winds only extend 50 miles from the center so the area with the strongest winds is very narrow around the eye. Keeping everyone in our prayers and hoping for the best. -Dtech __________________________ "I've got a life to live, people to love, and a God to serve!" - sigmonkey "Strive not to be a success, but rather to be of value." - Albert Einstein "A man can never have too much red wine, too many books, or too much ammunition" ― Rudyard Kipling | |||
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Nullus Anxietas |
Problem with that thinking is the European model usually ends up being the most accurate. I hope, for your sake, that of our other members, a friend of mine who lives just south of Daytona, and the rest of the residents of Florida that you're right, but, if I lived in that area I think I'd be outta there if I could be. "America is at that awkward stage. It's too late to work within the system,,,, but too early to shoot the bastards." -- Claire Wolfe "If we let things terrify us, life will not be worth living." -- Seneca the Younger, Roman Stoic philosopher | |||
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Member |
You better HOPE they don't get into Miami on Sunday, the storm is due to hit 8am, seas 51', yes FEET. So hopefully the ship diverts. If the car is in the parking garage, it's probably the safest place for it. | |||
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Member |
Yeah the cruise lines have all diverted. They are staying out to sea, and if it is feasible going to another port. | |||
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Member |
Well over the past 36 hours they have gradually kept shifting the track eastward. First it was landfall at Key West, then Marathon, then Key Largo, now Miami......So hopefully it keeps turning more eastward..... | |||
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Get Off My Lawn |
That's a lot of displaced folks in one building. Stay safe, good luck. "I’m not going to read Time Magazine, I’m not going to read Newsweek, I’m not going to read any of these magazines; I mean, because they have too much to lose by printing the truth"- Bob Dylan, 1965 | |||
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Member |
From the official source. NHC Hurricane Irma Discussion Number 32 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017 1100 PM AST Wed Sep 06 2017 Earlier radar observations from the San Juan WSR-88D showed a concentric eyewall, and observations from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft showed a secondary wind maximum over the northwest quadrant. These phenomena may be associated with some weakening, but since the central pressure hasn't risen much the intensity is held at 160 kt at this time. Moreover, the concentric eyewall has become less apparent in recent radar imagery. Considerable lightning activity has been noted in the eyewall of Irma, which research has shown to sometimes be a harbinger of weakening. Notwithstanding, low vertical wind shear and warm waters along the forecast track of Irma should allow it to remain a very powerful hurricane during the next several days. The official intensity forecast is similar to the previous one except at day 5 when stronger shear should cause more weakening. This forecast is generally above the intensity model consensus. Irma continues on a west-northwestward heading at around 14 kt. A ridge of high pressure over the western Atlantic should maintain this course for the next 48 to 72 hours. Later in the forecast period a shortwave trough moving into the southeastern United States is likely to turn the hurricane northwestward to north-northwestward. There has been a slight eastward shift in some of the track guidance models, but since the models could shift back to the west it is prudent to make little change to the official forecast at this time. In any event, users are reminded not to focus on the exact track since the average NHC track errors at days 4 and 5 are about 175 and 225 miles, respectively. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Irma is a potentially catastrophic category 5 hurricane and will bring life-threatening wind, storm surge, and rainfall hazards to Puerto Rico tonight, the northern coast of Hispaniola Thursday, and the Turks and Caicos and southeastern and central Bahamas Thursday and Friday. 2. Hurricane watches are in effect for the northwestern Bahamas and much of Cuba. Irma is likely to bring dangerous wind, storm surge, and rainfall to portions of these areas on Friday and Saturday. 3. The threat of direct hurricane impacts in Florida over the weekend and early next week has increased. Hurricane watches will likely be issued for portions of the Florida Keys and the Florida peninsula on Thursday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/0300Z 19.4N 66.8W 160 KT 185 MPH 12H 07/1200Z 20.3N 68.8W 155 KT 180 MPH 24H 08/0000Z 21.3N 71.7W 150 KT 175 MPH 36H 08/1200Z 22.1N 74.1W 145 KT 165 MPH 48H 09/0000Z 22.7N 76.3W 140 KT 160 MPH 72H 10/0000Z 24.0N 79.3W 135 KT 155 MPH 96H 11/0000Z 27.4N 80.3W 120 KT 140 MPH 120H 12/0000Z 32.0N 81.0W 95 KT 110 MPH $$ Forecaster Pasch | |||
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Member |
Haven't posted in awhile, health issues getting the best of me lately. Having went thru a direct impact during Hurricane Andrew, looks like I'll soon also be riding point with this one also. I'm located at the most southern SE coastline of Florida, just a tad north of the Entrance to the upper Keys. Early tomorrow morning my BIL and Sister are coming here on their way to their business in the morning to put up my shutters for me. I just cannot do that kind pf stuff for myself anymore . I'm certainly not looking forward to another strong storm. In the past before getting ill, I worked for Florida Power and Light Co where my service center is located less than 2mi from my door. Since having to be retired a few years back, I really can't see living so close to the water and I've wanted to move north since but my wife really likes it here and has several friends here. She's never been thru a Hurricane so maybe this experience will help change her mind about living here. I've lived here in Miami for 63 years and have seen my share of storms. I really don't need to live here anymore and really nothing to keep me here, so this may be my last storm. Looks like another strong one with Irma. I had so much damage to my previous home from Hurricane Andrew I had to leave that home and purchased this one about a mile further east that had minor damages and was repairable with no major structural damages. I paid for the repairs on this home to stay in close proximity to my FPL service center. I'm about done with strong storms, even if there about 25yrs apart, there will always be another. I just don't see staying here with my health and having to scramble from room to room as the house is coming apart and hunkering down in the bathroom again with the animals praying for my life. As an aside, due to the barometric pressure during Hurricane Andrew, both my dogs started crawling around on their bellies like snakes from the effects of the barometric pressures, what an eye opener, poor pups. I wish all fellow Floridians the best with this storm, be careful, and be prepared. Godspeed all.. Regards, Will G. | |||
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Stangosaurus Rex |
Will, I was thinking about you, I wish you the best of luck! Your in the crosshairs. Stay safe@ ___________________________ "I Get It Now" Beth Greene | |||
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Member |
I know nothing about Hurricanes. How far inland can this thing reach? Someone posted about possibly staying in Tallahassee. Assuming that would be far enough inland, to be safe? | |||
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