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Picture of Tonyny
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Poll: Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton lead in Pennsylvania, Indiana

Donald Trump heads into Tuesday's slate of primaries maintaining his large lead in Pennsylvania, and has a lead in Indiana, which holds its primary the following week.

Together this would keep Trump on a path to securing the nomination: If he does manage to win the bulk of delegates in Tuesday's round of primaries, and follows that up by a solid showing in Indiana -- which has been touted as the better chance for Cruz and Kasich to try to stop him -- then Trump would remain on pace to eventually clear the majority of 1,237 delegates later in June.

Trump leads Pennsylvania 49 percent to 26 percent for Cruz and 22 percent for Kasich. Trump leads Indiana 40 percent to 35 percent for Cruz, and 20 percent for Kasich.

Hillary Clinton, the frontrunner on the Democratic side, also has the edge in Pennsylvania as she looks to increase her already-formidable delegate lead over Bernie Sanders.

Clinton is up in Pennsylvania 51 percent to 43 percent and Clinton leads Sanders in Indiana 49 percent to 44 percent. Sanders continues to do well among younger voters but older voters choose Clinton by similar margins.

On the Republican side, voters continue to split on whether their nomination process is fair, and Trump's backers in Pennsylvania believe it is not, even as their candidate leads the state and the delegate chase overall. And Pennsylvania Republicans believe their delegates -- many of whom are unbound -- should support the statewide winner at the convention.

Voters backing Ted Cruz and John Kasich are aware that their candidates might face an uphill climb, as many of them think Trump is likely to be the nominee. In Indiana, 64 percent of Republican voters describe Trump's chances of being the nominee as "very likely," and just over half of Ted Cruz's own voters concur. Both Cruz and Kasich would need to prevail at a contested convention to get the nomination. But for many Cruz and Kasich voters, at least part of their decision includes an explicit attempt to stop Trump from becoming the nominee.

Ted Cruz does well among Indiana Republicans who first and foremost want conservative economic policies, but a larger group says do whatever it takes to fix the economy, whether it was the most conservative policy choice or not. Among that larger, latter group, Trump leads.

On the Democratic side, Sanders is trailing in these two races but his backers are sticking with him, despite also voicing some doubts about his ability to win the nomination. Seventy-eight percent of Democrats in Indiana and 79 percent in Pennsylvania think Clinton is very likely to be the nominee.

Sanders backers say it is "somewhat" likely that he can get the nomination but only 17 percent of his own Pennsylvania backers describe Sanders' chances as "very" likely. Still, a large majority is firmly decided on their vote. And half of Sanders voters in Pennsylvania say they'll be "dissatisfied" or even "upset" with having Clinton as the nominee.

But Democrats do think Sanders is at least having a positive effect on Hilary Clinton even if he doesn't win. In Pennsylvania 47 percent of Democrats, and most of Sanders' supporters, say that Sanders has successfully moved Clinton to more progressive positions. Very few -- only one in ten -- think the influence has been negative.

To Pennsylvania Democratic voters, Sanders is seen more as the candidate who authentic, honest, and understands people like them. But Clinton is seen as more electable, more effective, and more specific about her policies. When asked to choose, Democratic voters in Pennsylvania tend to look first for a candidate who agrees with them on the details of policy before they look for one they like personally.

Enthusiasm for both candidates is about equal. About a third of Pennsylvania Democratic voters would be enthusiastic for either Clinton or Sanders if either Clinton or Sanders if either became the nominee, and three in four would at least be satisfied. And Pennsylvania Democrats are more likely to say their opinions of both candidates have gotten better than gotten worse.

You can find the survey's methodology at this link or below.


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Posts: 4135 | Location: Central Florida | Registered: October 14, 2005Report This Post
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quote:
Originally posted by SIG4EVA:
quote:
Originally posted by maximus_flavius:
Just wait. I gotta feeling Cruz & Kasich are fixin to come to an agreement about P/VP.

Then Cruz's conversion to the dark side will be complete.


You guys were just fine with a Trump/Kasich alliance. When did this attitude change?


The hell I was. I'm not ok with Kasich at all. He can ES&D.
 
Posts: 1801 | Location: Possum Kingdom, TX | Registered: April 11, 2005Report This Post
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How To Move To Canada (If Trump Becomes President)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zIH-J3uLN3E
This is funny.
 
Posts: 621 | Location: WA  | Registered: June 26, 2010Report This Post
posting without pants
Picture of KevinCW
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This whole thing has moved beyond a side show... now a shit show.

We have Trump insulting the way people eat, and other physical attributes in addition to the rabid defense of some of his fanatics who think he can do no wrong.

We have the idiot Kasich screaming to still matter despite winning the smallest percentage of the vote like a true "it is my ball and I'm going home" child...

And we have Cruz (who I initially supported) who has run on his absurd hard core right wing hard Christian morals who is apparently willing to sell his soul to win

And that is just OUR side....

On the other is a multi time criminal with actual American blood on her hands, and a hippie/commie idiot who thinks that standing in Soviet style bread lines is better than what we have now...

This is really the best we can come up with in 2016?... We have had shit candidates since 1988.... Nearly 30 years of looser after looser running for the highest office.

We need a shit load of tar and feathers gents... tar and feathers...

And a catapult for after the tar and feathers....

Once again I am going to have to choose between being kicked in the face or the balls..... how many more kicks can I take?





Strive to live your life so when you wake up in the morning and your feet hit the floor, the devil says "Oh crap, he's up."
 
Posts: 33288 | Location: St. Louis MO | Registered: February 15, 2004Report This Post
Rule #1: Use enough gun
Picture of Bigboreshooter
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Now Kasich is urging Indiana voters to support him despite his pledge to Cruz. Good....Cruz deserves to be screwed on this deal.

http://www.foxnews.com/politic...gn.html?intcmp=hpbt1

Ohio Gov. John Kasich appeared Monday to undercut his campaign's extradordinary agreement to stand aside in the key state of Indiana by urging voters in the Hoosier State to support him anyway.

"I've never told them not to vote for me," Kasich said while campaigning in Pennsylvania. "They ought to vote for me." He added that he simply agreed not to spend "resources" in Indiana.

Adding to the mixed messaging was the fact that Kasich planned to travel to Indianapolis Tuesday for a private fundraising event, despite canceling two planned public rallies in Indianapolis and Noblesville.

Kasich made the remarks approximately 13 hours after his camapign announced an arrangement to give rival Ted Cruz "a clear path" in Indiana, which holds a winner-take-all primary next week. In exchange, Cruz is to give Kasich a clear path in Oregon and New Mexico in an effort to prevent front-runner Donald Trump from attaining the necessary delegates to seal the GOP nomination before this summer's national convention.

"It's not a big deal," Kasich said of the agreement, which he described as a recognition of the realities of the campaign. Kasich has only won one primary contest, in his home state of Ohio, but has insisted he can win the Republican nomination at a contested convention.

By contrast, Cruz trumpeted the agreement during a campaign stop in Indiana Monday, saying it was "big news" that Kasich had pulled out.

"That is good for the men and women of Indiana," Cruz told reporters. "It's good for the country to have a clear and direct choice."

Cruz insisted that "there is desperation on the Trump side", arguing that the real estate mogul knows he won't be able to get enough delegates to the Republican National Convention to win the party's nomination and "is in real trouble."

Meanwhile, Kasich's campaign efforts in Oregon suffered a setback Monday, when it was revealed that his campaign never submitted the governor's biography to the Oregon secretary of state's office. The office prints out a voter pamphlet each year bearing information on each candidate.

This year, the pamphlet includes Kasich's name followed by an asterisk indicating that he didn't submit any information. Cruz and Donald Trump, meanwhile, each get a full column explaining their positions and personal histories.

Kasich's campaign late Monday sent out a statement saying their man is on the ballot in Oregon "and the campaign will do its part to educate voters about why they should vote for him the primary."



When a strong man, fully armed, guards his own house, his possessions are undisturbed. Luke 11:21


"Every nation in every region now has a decision to make.
Either you are with us, or you are with the terrorists." -- George W. Bush

 
Posts: 14826 | Location: Birmingham, Alabama | Registered: February 25, 2009Report This Post
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Picture of KJacques
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quote:
Originally posted by KevinCW:
This whole thing has moved beyond a side show... now a shit show.

This is really the best we can come up with in 2016?...

We have had shit candidates since 1988.... Nearly 30 years of looser after looser running for the highest office.



We will probably never have a stellar president because no one who would actually "deserve" to be commander in chief would ever put themselves through this lunacy. What sane person would?

I think we'll continue to get narcissists and ego maniacs whose own pursuit of power drive them to do whatever it takes to achieve that goal.

It seems like there's a lot of people wanting public office that are about the least deserving of it.
 
Posts: 578 | Registered: June 29, 2008Report This Post
Peace through
superior firepower
Picture of parabellum
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Complaining helps. It actually changes things, and for the better.

True story
 
Posts: 110421 | Registered: January 20, 2000Report This Post
Bad dog!
Picture of justjoe
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If my voting site is any measure (and it usually is), there is a very heavy turnout in PA. Trump should win this state handily, though, again, the matter of delegates is a Byzantine shit show.

No surprise that Cruz and Kasich are reneging on each other. Two schemers making a deal. How's that gonna work out?

This should be a very good day for Trump.


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"You get much farther with a kind word and a gun than with a kind word alone."
 
Posts: 11325 | Location: pennsylvania | Registered: June 05, 2011Report This Post
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Conservative Icon, Phyllis Schlafly, restates her support for Donald Trump.

In a recent article, Schlafly says, “If you want to know why I endorsed Trump, read ‘A Choice Not An Echo.’ I’ve been fighting the kingmakers for, what is it, 40 years—since 1940 or whatever— Trump was the one willing to take on the kingmakers, and I didn’t see anyone else who was doing that.” LINK

The Republican Party platform states, " Our nation and our people cannot afford the status quo. We must begin anew, with profound changes in the way government operates . . .." So, it appears Schlafly sees Trump as our best hope for changing the way government reinforces an insider game to the detriment of the people.

If you read the article, Schlafly also describes how Cruz, his campaign and his campaign manager, Roe, have been seemingly involved in attacking Eagle Forum to depose her from her iconic conservative organization because she endorses Trump.

Schlafly's son is quoted as saying that before Iowa, “Roe had been lobbying Schlafly’s handpicked successor Ed Martin for weeks to get Eagle Forum on Cruz’s side. Martin says that by doing so, Roe “inserted himself” into this intra-organization dispute. A lot of the dispute centers around internal Eagle Forum emails that were leaked out to the Cruz campaign and made their way to Roe. In the emails, Schlafly’s son, Andy, brutally criticized the Texas Senator and his wife Heidi, even making the explosive charge that the Cruzes are “feminists.””

It appears that Cruz is not just running for President but trying to monopolize what constitutes a "conservative," ignoring a role as a change-agent for the system while enforcing his view of conservative orthodoxy. Eagle Forum has always allowed its members and volunteers to support whomever they like. During this cycle, that support included support for both Cruz and Trump. But, that freedom does not appear to be something Cruz' forces could stand.

Schlafly also turned her attention to Heidi Cruz as a political operative who wants to destroy American sovereignty. Schlafly said, “Back when she was at the Council on Foreign Relations, Heidi Cruz—Ted’s wife—signed onto a paper backing one of the most radical globalist and open borders ideas in history: The creation of a North American Union.”

Schlafly also described Heidi as "both running Ted’s campaign and dictating his policy positions.” “We already will have Hillary on the ballot in November and I don’t see why Republicans should nominate a feminist candidate on our side, too.” She stated that Ted also believed in a feminist agenda that Eagle Forum has fought against since the 70s.

In addressing how Cruz' campaign had capitalized on leaked internal memos from Eagle Forum, Schlalfly told Breitbart News that "she’s not happy about it—but she turned her attention quickly to Heidi Cruz, the would-be First Lady of the United States, for signing onto that CFR paper calling for a North American Union.”

I had previously written about how the Heidi Cruz picture was overblown for political gain and used to draw attention away from what Heidi Cruz would bring to the White house in her advisory role to the President. Could it be that the picture hullabaloo was designed to keep Heidi Cruz above scrutiny as a political operative?

If Heidi Cruz has a history with the Council on Foreign Relations, signed onto a paper calling for the loss of our sovereignty in supporting the North American Union while "backing one of the most radical globalist and open borders" policies according to Schlafly, and if, while as Schlalfly notes, "investment banker Heidi is both running Ted’s campaign and dictating his policy positions,” should these inside actions and beliefs of the Cruz team not be scrutinized?

A lot of folks have held up the shiny bobble of how wives should be left out of the campaign but if Heidi is an integral policy cog and runs policy aspects of Cruz' campaign, does that not change the analysis of whether Heidi Cruz should be scrutinized?

Again, Cruz does not have a perfect "conservative" score because of his views on TPP and trade. Perhaps this is why Trump has been getting strong support from conservatives across the country. Conservatives care about sovereignty and breaking the grip of a system that cynically concludes that voters don't matter.


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Posts: 3078 | Registered: January 06, 2010Report This Post
I believe in the
principle of
Due Process
Picture of JALLEN
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quote:
Originally posted by parabellum:
Complaining helps. It actually changes things, and for the better.

True story


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qn69wP-jD2Y&sns=em

Sorry, for some unknown reason, I can't get this to embed.




Luckily, I have enough willpower to control the driving ambition that rages within me.

When you had the votes, we did things your way. Now, we have the votes and you will be doing things our way. This lesson in political reality from Lyndon B. Johnson

"Some things are apparent. Where government moves in, community retreats, civil society disintegrates and our ability to control our own destiny atrophies. The result is: families under siege; war in the streets; unapologetic expropriation of property; the precipitous decline of the rule of law; the rapid rise of corruption; the loss of civility and the triumph of deceit. The result is a debased, debauched culture which finds moral depravity entertaining and virtue contemptible." - Justice Janice Rogers Brown
 
Posts: 48369 | Location: Texas hill country | Registered: July 04, 2005Report This Post
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Picture of ersatzknarf
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quote:

Conservative Icon, Phyllis Schlafly, restates her support for Donald Trump.



Thank you very much for posting this, TT Smile




 
Posts: 4918 | Registered: June 06, 2012Report This Post
God will always provide
Picture of Fla. Jim
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by JALLEN:
quote:
Originally posted by parabellum:
Complaining helps. It actually changes things, and for the better.

True story


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qn69wP-jD2Y&sns=em

Sorry, for some unknown reason, I can't get this to embed.


 
Posts: 4479 | Location: White City, Florida | Registered: January 11, 2009Report This Post
wishing we
were congress
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former NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani has officially endorsed Donald Trump.

http://townhall.com/tipsheet/c...orses-trump-n2153903
 
Posts: 19759 | Registered: July 21, 2002Report This Post
Tinker Sailor Soldier Pie
Picture of Balzé Halzé
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quote:
Originally posted by sdy:
former NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani has officially endorsed Donald Trump.

http://townhall.com/tipsheet/c...orses-trump-n2153903


Makes sense. He's been an unofficial advisor for him for quite a few months. Since the beginning in fact.


~Alan

Acta Non Verba
NRA Life Member (Patron)
God, Family, Guns, Country

Men will fight and die to protect women... because women protect everything else. ~Andrew Klavan

 
Posts: 31213 | Location: Elv. 7,000 feet, Utah | Registered: October 29, 2012Report This Post
I'll try to be brief
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quote:
No surprise that Cruz and Kasich are reneging on each other. Two schemers making a deal. How's that gonna work out?

Reminds me of the two guys sitting in jail, playing cards. "Sure I'm cheating. Aren't you?"
 
Posts: 14298 | Location: Heart of Texas | Registered: April 14, 2005Report This Post
Patent Pending
Picture of Tonyny
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Fuck 'em...they deserve each other. Trump will be the nominee soon enough.


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Posts: 4135 | Location: Central Florida | Registered: October 14, 2005Report This Post
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Picture of Loganspawn
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So far so good.


------------------------------
Knowing is half the battle!

"When governments fear the people, there is liberty. When the people fear the government, there is tyranny. The strongest reason for the people to retain the right to keep and bear arms is, as a last resort, to protect themselves against tyranny in government."

Thomas Jefferson
 
Posts: 6696 | Location: FederalWay WA. Ocupied territory | Registered: April 23, 2009Report This Post
Lighten up and laugh
Picture of Ackks
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quote:
Originally posted by Loganspawn:
So far so good.


The entire night will be good for you. They are liberal Northeastern states, so you could go to sleep now and know the results. Now it all comes down to Indiana and California.
 
Posts: 7934 | Registered: September 29, 2008Report This Post
In the yahd, not too
fah from the cah
Picture of ryan81986
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At this point, are there even enough delegates left for Cruz to get to obtain the nomination?




 
Posts: 6475 | Location: Just outside of Boston | Registered: March 28, 2007Report This Post
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quote:
Originally posted by ryan81986:
At this point, are there even enough delegates left for Cruz to get to obtain the nomination?


No, not before Cleveland. If Trump loses in Indiana, he also cannot get to 1237 before the convention. If Trump wins Indiana, he almost certainly will get to 1237.
 
Posts: 1562 | Location: Chester County, PA | Registered: February 12, 2016Report This Post
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