quote:

Originally posted by ChicagoSigMan:
For the first time this year, FiveThirtyEight has given Trump a better chance of winning than Hillary.

Likelihood of a Trump victory: 57.5%
Likelihood of a Clinton victory: 42.5%

Link

Your link shows trump 46% vs 53%. Perhaps it changed again.

ChicagoSigMan's numbers are correct.

The data was just updated

(see plot above)

quote:

I said the same thing 2 months ago Trump will win in a Landslide!

Beware the "landslide" thing. If that opinion becomes widespread, it can depress the turnout for Trump. And never underestimate the corruption of the Clinton machine.

I think it's better to anticipate a close election, and go all out to win it. Then, landslide is a nice surprise.

quote:

Originally posted by sdy:
ChicagoSigMan's numbers are correct.

The data was just updated

(see plot above)

Yup. After it updates, this is what you get:

I haven't had this good of a Monday in a LONG time!

Tony.

This really is a fabulous Monday. I am addicted to this and the Danky thread. I really should do some work but this is too interesting.

just one more note about the fivethirtyeight poll

in the picture posted by Balze, it says the projected popular vote is very close (45.4% to 45.1%). Don't Forget to Vote! Don't vote for Johnson.

But they do a state by state analysis and then estimate the electoral vote. In this particular snapshot (which will change many times between now and November), the electoral vote estimate is

Trump 283.8
Clinton 253.8

Then they do some more arithmetic to come up w the estimates for winning the election.

quote:

Originally posted by Balzé Halzé:

quote:

Originally posted by sdy:
ChicagoSigMan's numbers are correct.

The data was just updated

(see plot above)

Yup. After it updates, this is what you get:

With three months to go, I wonder how much more red the map will get. What will be the "November Surprise?"

Tony.

Excellent point. Do not think for one minute that the Clinton crime family is not thinking of ways to steal this election and they are preparing to do everything in their power to do so. Nothing can be taken for granted with them.

Everyone must get out the vote for Trump. A vote for Trump is the best thing we can do for ourselves, our families and the future of this country. Trump voters must dominate the voting booths!

quote:

Originally posted by justjoe:

quote:

I said the same thing 2 months ago Trump will win in a Landslide!

Beware the "landslide" thing. If that opinion becomes widespread, it can depress the turnout for Trump. And never underestimate the corruption of the Clinton machine.

I think it's better to anticipate a close election, and go all out to win it. Then, landslide is a nice surprise.

quote:

Originally posted by justjoe:

quote:

I said the same thing 2 months ago Trump will win in a Landslide!

Beware the "landslide" thing. If that opinion becomes widespread, it can depress the turnout for Trump. And never underestimate the corruption of the Clinton machine.

I think it's better to anticipate a close election, and go all out to win it. Then, landslide is a nice surprise.

You are absolutely right.

Voter fraud will be RAMPANT, with many Democrat precincts not reporting until they know how many fraudulent Democrat votes they have to come up with. As an example of how bad the fraud is, consider that Romney won 55% of the verifiable vote, carrying over 2/3 of precincts nation wide. Yet, due to voter fraud in precincts in which over 100% of potentially eligible voters cast 100% of their votes for Obama, Romney lost the election.

If it's close, we will lose due to this rampant voter fraud. To win, we must win big. Real big. We have to do everything we can do to get out the pro-Trump vote.

Consider the content at this link.

quote:

Originally posted by SapperSteel:


Voter fraud will be RAMPANT, with many Democrat precincts not reporting until they know how many fraudulent Democrat votes they have to come up with. As an example of how bad the fraud is, consider that Romney won 55% of the verifiable vote, carrying over 2/3 of precincts nation wide. Yet, due to voter fraud in precincts in which over 100% of potentially eligible voters cast 100% of their votes for Obama, Romney lost the election.

If it's close, we will lose due to this rampant voter fraud. To win, we must win big. Real big. We have to do everything we can do to get out the pro-Trump vote.

Consider the content at this link.

What was done in those precincts? Did they just shrug and say, "oh, well!" Did someone raise hell about it?

Getting 100% of the votes is fairly uncommon. Getting 103% means something stinks.

Assuming Trump wins and Republicans hold the house and senate one of the first things they should do is pass legislation to implement changes to clean up the voting. Include a *very* severe mandatory penalty for anyone convicted of voter fraud, multiple voting, etc.

quote:

What was done in those precincts? Did they just shrug and say, "oh, well!"

This happened in precincts around Philly. 100% of the vote for Obama. Did they just shrug? Yes, they just shrugged. It's the Republicans-- or was, anyway. Otherwise known as the Uniparty.

I agree with Sapper. We need not only to win, but to win big to overcome rampant Clinton voter fraud.

It's obvious now to everyone but those who refuse to see: The Clintons are big time criminals. In his governorship of Arkansas, and two terms as POTUS, and hers as senator from NY, and Secretary of State, they acquired enormous power and wealth. And are now a major international crime operation to be reckoned with.

She can be beaten. But it won't be easy. Dig in for a real fight.

quote:

What was done in those precincts? Did they just shrug and say, "oh, well!" Did someone raise hell about it?

Who would investigate it? The DOJ? The FBI?
They are as corrupt, if not more so, than the candidates themselves.

quote:

Originally posted by justjoe:

quote:

I said the same thing 2 months ago Trump will win in a Landslide!

Beware the "landslide" thing. If that opinion becomes widespread, it can depress the turnout for Trump. And never underestimate the corruption of the Clinton machine.

I think it's better to anticipate a close election, and go all out to win it. Then, landslide is a nice surprise.

I vaguely remember one member in particular saying that the last election would be won (in our favor) in a landslide. Let's not be overconfident again, please.

Watching Trump speak live right now in VA:

"Why did Hillary get rid of her middle name? You know, Hillary Rotton Clinton. Yea, rotten Clinton. It probably sounded too close so she dropped it."

This. Guy. Doesn't. Give. A. Shit.

quote:

Originally posted by Copefree:
Watching Trump speak live right now in VA:

"Why did Hillary get rid of her middle name? You know, Hillary Rotton Clinton. Yea, rotten Clinton. It probably sounded too close so she dropped it."

This. Guy. Doesn't. Give. A. Shit.

Roger that! He isn't the ideal candidate for me, but he is the ideal candidate to go up against her and the media.

Perhaps the hag dropped her Rodham name because it sheds additional light on her brother. The Clinton crime family must be stopped. We must vote to place Trump in the White House. Enough is enough of the Clinton's and their crime spree.


Gold Mine: Hillary Clinton’s Brother Granted Super-Rare Mining Permit from Haiti After State Dept. Sent Country Billions



http://www.breitbart.com/big-g...nt-country-billions/

quote:

Originally posted by sigmonkey:

quote:

Originally posted by mrmn50:...
I was going over my 'talk' with my wife and she suggested that I change my opening remarks from, "If you do not vote for Trump then you are a dumb ass shit bag and deserve the horror you will get, to something a little softer.
My son in law thinks I am being too soft already.

She's right. "do not" is a negative and might be a little offensive sounding to some.

Go with this:
"You should vote for Trump, or you are a dumb ass shit bag and deserve the horror you will get."

It's more positive.

Once again, you show me where the high road is.

So I did my own poll here at work (Portland, OR area). I asked three known dems what they thought of Rotten Klinton and if they were voting for her, writing in Bernie or staying home. They know I'm ultra-conservative so I prepared them for the question clear that I have no intent of starting an argument. I just wanted to know what their take was on the e-mail scandals. I said I would not challenge their choice or try to change their stance at all.

One person was a sold out for the hildebeast before and was still sold out for her. He said she was the most qualified person for the job and was ready to take over on day 1. He said he also wanted to be part of the party that elects the first female president.

The second didn't disclose who he was for, but he said he could not vote for Rotten Klinton. He'll either pencil in the name or stay home. He was clear that would not vote for Trump.

The third was a die hard Bernie supporter. While he supported Bernie, he admitted his campaign is over. Even if Bernie ran third party, he'd go out and vote for the Rotten Klinton because he hates Trump so much. He also thinks Rotten Klinton is the most experienced and qualified person for the job.

Just thought I'd share.

Tony.