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Jack of All Trades,
Master of Nothing
Picture of 2000Z-71
posted
Somehow I don't think the proponents of California's open primary system ever considered this scenario, democrats being forced out of the primaries.

From the article:

“There's definitely a possibility of two Republicans” winning Tuesday’s primary, he says. “We have a very weird system here in California. It makes no sense at all.”

https://www.usatoday.com/story...win-house/663173002/

California primary holds promise and peril for Democrats as they seek to win House majority
Deirdre Shesgreen, USA TODAY Published 7:00 a.m. ET June 4, 2018 | Updated 6:39 p.m. ET June 4, 2018

WASHINGTON – Andy Thorburn may seem like a dream candidate for Democrats in liberal California.

The former insurance executive campaigns on a promise to impeach President Trump and promote universal health care — a message he says is revving up voters across the 39th Congressional District before Tuesday’s high-stakes primary in that state.

But Thorburn’s bid is a bit of a nightmare for Democrats, who see California as the linchpin in their push to win control of the House of Representatives this fall.

The problem: Under California’s top-two open primary system, only the first-place and second-place finishers — no matter their party affiliation — can advance to the general election.

In the 39th district, Thorburn is one of a cornucopia of Democratic candidates — sparking fears that Democratic voters may spread their support so thin that the top two slots on the general election ballot will go to Republican candidates. Democrats have a similar glut of candidates in at least two other California districts.

“Getting shut out of the general election is a problem that isn’t fixable,” says Nathan Gonzales, editor of Inside Elections, a non-partisan publication that tracks House and Senate races.

Democrats need to pick up at least 23 seats to win the House gavel, and they count on California to provide a significant slice of that total. The reason California is so important: There are eight Republicans retiring from House seats that Hillary Clinton carried in her 2016 presidential campaign — making them ripe takeover targets, if Democrats can make it to November’s balloting.

While eight states hold primary elections Tuesday — including critical contests from Iowa to New Jersey — most eyes will be on the Golden State’s peculiar system and its results.

“California’s June 5 is the single highest-stakes primary of the year,” David Wasserman, who tracks congressional races for The Cook Political Report, wrote in an analysis of the battle for control of the House.

If Democrats get “locked out” of the general election in California, Wasserman and others say, their path to a House majority will narrow significantly.

Thorburn agrees the risks are nerve-wracking.

“There's definitely a possibility of two Republicans” winning Tuesday’s primary, he says. “We have a very weird system here in California. It makes no sense at all.”

In addition to the 39th district, Democrats are worried about getting shut out of two other congressional races in Southern California.

In the coastal 49th district anchored by San Diego, Rep. Darrell Issa is retiring after narrowly winning re-election in 2016 and seeing Clinton carry the district by 7 percentage points in her presidential bid. There are about a dozen candidates, Republicans and Democrats combined, battling it out for the top two slots in Tuesday’s primary.

In the beach-lined 48th district just to the north, the GOP incumbent Rep. Dana Rohrabacher is not retiring, but Democrats and Republicans alike see him as vulnerable, in part because of his affinity for Russian President Vladimir Putin. On a ballot that has six Republicans and eight Democrats, a splintered vote is nearly assured.

Democrats note that many of these districts were once GOP strongholds, but demographic and political shifts — plus Trump — have made them highly competitive. The slate of strong Democratic candidates lining up to run across California, party strategists say, is evidence of the enthusiasm among party activists for winning control of the House.

“It’s our intention to have a Democrat in the general election in all of these races in California,” New Mexico Rep. Ben Ray Luján, chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, said in April. “We owe that to these grass-roots organizations that have been putting in the work.”

Luján and other party leaders have had to tread carefully for fear of sparking a backlash if the Washington establishment is seen as supporting one candidate over others.

In the 39th district, the DCCC touted the candidacy of one of Thorburn’s Democratic foes — Gil Cisneros, a lottery-winner-turned-philanthropist and former Navy officer.

“Cisneros has a strong record of service and message that connect with voters in California’s 39th Congressional District and deep ties to the community he aims to serve,” the DCCC said in April in a statement that announced it had put him on its coveted “Red to Blue” list of preferred candidates.

Despite that designation, the wealthy Thorburn has remained competitive, in part by self-funding a TV blitz highlighting his opposition to Trump, while two other Democrats have remained in contention. Cisneros' campaign did not return a call seeking comment on the race.

Thorburn says he wasn't too disgruntled about the party support for his leading rival.

“It’s a very close race,” he says. “And I think I’m right there at the top.”




My daughter can deflate your daughter's soccer ball.
 
Posts: 11769 | Location: Eagle River, AK | Registered: September 12, 2006Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Enjoy Computer Living
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Possible, but not probable.


-Loungechair
 
Posts: 676 | Registered: October 07, 2012Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Wait, what?
Picture of gearhounds
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quote:
Originally posted by LoungeChair:
Possible, but not probable.

Yup. The leftist plan is built on a base of dishonesty and subterfuge. They’ll get around this in the end.




“Remember to get vaccinated or a vaccinated person might get sick from a virus they got vaccinated against because you’re not vaccinated.” - author unknown
 
Posts: 15598 | Location: Martinsburg WV | Registered: April 02, 2011Reply With QuoteReport This Post
I believe in the
principle of
Due Process
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Remember the God Damned Commie mantra.

“If you don’t care enough to cheat, you don’t care enough to win.”




Luckily, I have enough willpower to control the driving ambition that rages within me.

When you had the votes, we did things your way. Now, we have the votes and you will be doing things our way. This lesson in political reality from Lyndon B. Johnson

"Some things are apparent. Where government moves in, community retreats, civil society disintegrates and our ability to control our own destiny atrophies. The result is: families under siege; war in the streets; unapologetic expropriation of property; the precipitous decline of the rule of law; the rapid rise of corruption; the loss of civility and the triumph of deceit. The result is a debased, debauched culture which finds moral depravity entertaining and virtue contemptible." - Justice Janice Rogers Brown
 
Posts: 48369 | Location: Texas hill country | Registered: July 04, 2005Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Nullus Anxietas
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quote:
Originally posted by 2000Z-71:
Thorburn agrees the risks are nerve-wracking.

“There's definitely a possibility of two Republicans” winning Tuesday’s primary, he says. “We have a very weird system here in California. It makes no sense at all.”

Most of what leftists do makes no sense at all. In this case it's almost like somebody read about Instant Runoff Voting, only kinda sorta half-understood the concept, then tried to implement something that sounded almost, but not quite completely unlike what they'd read.

Of course that didn't make sense. It's impossible to make sense of the senseless.

I don't even ask myself "What the hell is the matter with these people, anyway?" any more. I've given up on them.

I've given up on the entire west coast. I wish it'd secede. Seriously.



"America is at that awkward stage. It's too late to work within the system,,,, but too early to shoot the bastards." -- Claire Wolfe
"If we let things terrify us, life will not be worth living." -- Seneca the Younger, Roman Stoic philosopher
 
Posts: 26009 | Location: S.E. Michigan | Registered: January 06, 2008Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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