quote:

Originally posted by stickman428:
The average American with no reason to have any interest in Taiwan will have zero stomach for any war. The only wild card I see is if it comes out that the virus was intentional by the CCP or avoidable and negligence caused it to be a world wide issue. In that case whooo boy hang on because the entire world would turn on China and all bets are off.

I agree and think it probably goes beyond this. If PRC attacks TWN, then any response likely means WWIII, not just a limited party war.

It seems like the decision will be - do we let PRC have TWN or do we start WWIII.... How palatable would that be for the average American, let alone the rest of the world? How would the UN / NATO react? War? Fines and stern warnings, maybe a sanction or two? I'm guessing the latter. Not until the US or EU is attacked directly will any action be taken.... And PRC won't due that unless they have a way to neutralize our nukes.

Just speculating....

The whole world might turn on China if the 60% of the world's semiconductors produced by Taiwan are no longer available. That would devastate global economies. And can you imagine the reaction to no more iPhones?

Agree. But are we talking sanctions or nuclear war?