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A swing through the best/worst realistic scenarios for both parties. Weekly Standard David Byler Since we launched SwingSeat, THE WEEKLY STANDARD's stats-powered Senate forecast, I’ve been periodically writing “SwingSeat Update” pieces to explain why the model is coming up with the predictions it’s coming up with. But today, I want to give readers a more detailed sense of the spread of plausible outcomes and get a handle on some of the unlikely-but-not-quite-worst-case-scenarios for both parties. The basic goal here is to emphasize the uncertainty of the forecast and show readers that they need to be looking at the error around every forecast, not just the most likely outcome. [Here an interesting analysis of the potetial Senate outcomes this fall, too lengthy and chart filled to cut and paste here.] https://www.weeklystandard.com...est-expect-the-worst Luckily, I have enough willpower to control the driving ambition that rages within me. When you had the votes, we did things your way. Now, we have the votes and you will be doing things our way. This lesson in political reality from Lyndon B. Johnson "Some things are apparent. Where government moves in, community retreats, civil society disintegrates and our ability to control our own destiny atrophies. The result is: families under siege; war in the streets; unapologetic expropriation of property; the precipitous decline of the rule of law; the rapid rise of corruption; the loss of civility and the triumph of deceit. The result is a debased, debauched culture which finds moral depravity entertaining and virtue contemptible." - Justice Janice Rogers Brown | ||
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