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| The problem with large amalgamations of stats is they become useless in looking at any given incident. I tried to track the same data in my own investigations of people shot and quickly learned there are so many variables it becomes difficult to draw any meaningful conclusion.
1) Shot placement matters. A lot. No matter what handgun caliber, if you don't hit the right gibbly bits, it's a psychological stop. Even wounds that prove fatal later, such as shots to the heart, don't always stop someone immediately (Even heart shot in an ambush, we had an officer fire over half of his magazine and hit his attacker before going down
2) Bullet construction matters. Common thug calibers will be over represented with cheap ball ammo. Whatever the local cops carry will be over represented with quality hollow points. Nobody with any sense is claiming Winchester White Box is the same as Federal HST.
3) "Incapacitated" is difficult to tell, even with a case file. People take awhile to decide to stop shooting, and some people panic fire. Just because someone shot 4 times doesn't mean the 4th shot is the one that incapacitated their opponent, it just means that's when they decided they didn't have to shoot any more.
For me, the most valid stats are those that track a given unit or department after an ammo change. Preferably one that shoots a lot of people. The training is the same so shot placement shouldn't vary much from "old ammo" to "new ammo". Engagements are the same, often even the type of gun is the same. The only variable becomes the caliber and/or bullet construction itself.
We have information on several duty loads with a lot of shootings behind them. The differences between the common duty calibers are even lower than what's presented in that article. |
| Posts: 139 | Location: Indiana | Registered: June 19, 2015 |
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Big Stack
| I've seen this before. It seems like a riff on the old Marshall / Sanow statistical analysis that was widely discredited. |
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Let's be careful out there
| c'mon. It's a pistol. Most people have unrealistic expectations. Pistols are handy, that's about it. When you shoot people with pistols, funny things happen. |
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| That article bears up my understanding of the matter; the author's conclusions are for the most part, accurate (I think). The cartridge doesn't matter that much so far as caliber, but shot placement does. His statistics don't show a lot of difference between any of the cartridges.
The truth is that unless the same people were hit in the same place under the same circumstance, then comparisons between shootings are still always very subjective and not repeatable, which makes them far less than scientific. |
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| There is so much that goes into shootings you cant just say this gun with this caliber = 1 shot stop. I say dont count on a 1 shot stop with anything. Its all shot placement with adequate penetration to hit whatever vitals are in the area. |
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| Can’t debate the effectiveness of the magnum calibers. 357 Magnum > making fast dirt sandwiches for over 83 years...
______________________________________________ Life is short. It’s shorter with the wrong gun…
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Let's be careful out there
| I personally know of a former Detroit PD street crimes guy who was posing as a passed out drunk. A guy tried to cut open his jacket for whatever reason. cop dumped 6 rounds of .44 mag into the guy and it didn't kill him. I also have a preference for .357 mag, but given the choice, I'll take a 870 |
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We gonna get some oojima in this house!
| The problem with this is that technically, a Federal HST 124 +P gets lumped in the same category as a WWB 115 target load. A torso shot can go clean through without hitting anything of note, or it could plow through the heart and strike the spinal column. This may be the most meaningless compilation of incomplete data ever accumulated. We are all now dumber for reading it.
----------------------------------------------------------- TCB all the time...
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| Posts: 6501 | Location: Cantonment/Perdido Key, Florida | Registered: September 28, 2009 |
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Member
| quote: Originally posted by BBMW: I've seen this before. It seems like a riff on the old Marshall / Sanow statistical analysis that was widely discredited.
That's what I am thinking too. It looks eerily similar, almost like he copied and took credit for that work as his.
Sig P220 Elite Dark, W. German 220/226 Navy/226 Tac Ops/226R Stainless/228/229 Legion/229R/M11-A1D Glocks, HK, Walther, XDs, etc, etc...
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Go ahead punk, make my day
| You lost me at “Stopping power”... |
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Sigforum K9 handler
| To simplify, pistols suck for shooting people. If you are going to do it, do it a lot. Switches and Timers. |
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| The Tpr. Mark Coates video is an eye opener. Tpr. Coates dumps five rounds of 357 magnum into the suspect's chest at point blank range. Tpr. Coates creates distance and the suspect pulls out a .22lr derringer and shoots Coates through the arm, into the chest between the vest panels and kills him. The suspect lived. There are no wonder bullets.
DPR
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| quote: Originally posted by RHINOWSO: You lost me at “Stopping power”...
Yes. |
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