Predictions are hard, especially when they are about the future, but From what you know and what you've seen, do you think handgun prices will go up or down in the next few years?

Question:
Question: Handguns...

Choices:
Handgun prices will go up
Stay about the same
Prices will come down
I can't predict the future, could go either way

Question:
while were at it, how about ammo

Choices:
ammo will go up
ammo will stay the same
ammo will go down
I have no idea

 

Gun price one is fairly easy to answer as just about every year the major manufacturers raise their prices in January or February. For instance, Ruger had an across the board 5% increase this year.

Well...there's this concept called inflation...it's just like death and taxes.

Other than Soggy's correct point about inflation, a big driver of prices will be who gets elected in 2020.

quote:

Originally posted by BBMW:
a big driver of prices will be who gets elected in 2020.

And therefore I predict that gun and ammunition prices will go up—a lot—starting in November 2020, and perhaps sooner depending on the polls.

It’s a buyers market now so buy buy buy. That’s all that matters.

quote:

Originally posted by Dusty78:
It’s a buyers market now so buy buy buy. That’s all that matters.

I too believe this to be the case. Especially as 2020 gets closer.

Up and probably sooner than later. Once house democrats pass the new feinstein AWB it will be all over the news and probably will result in a lot more people in gun stores even though it almost assuredly will not pass in the senate.

Politics aside, things are really cheap right now. I can't see them going much lower.

quote:

Originally posted by MNSIG:
Politics aside, things are really cheap right now. I can't see them going much lower.

I agree. Now that there are a lot of other plastic guns out there by reputable makers with a good track record, prices have come down to competitive prices.
I can't help but think there will be fewer metal framed guns sold as the new gun price gap and other practical considerations keep their prices significantly higher.
Ammo? Who knows. I suspect it will fluctuate based on a whole lot of reasons. Politics, commodity prices of raw materials, and supply could go almost anywhere other than way down. Now is probably a reasonable time to hedge your bets and get a decent inventory.

With the Democrat-Socialists growing in power limits on magazines and calling most semi-automatics "assault weapons" and banning them will make revolvers and single stacks more valuable.

It depends if there are any politically incorrect mass shootings. The Aurora, IL shooting was not widely publicized (like Pulse) because the shooter was a felon who passed the background check. Publicity cannot be used to inflame gun banners. We may not always be so lucky.

Have handgun prices ever come down?

quote:

Originally posted by cas:
Have handgun prices ever come down?

Yes they have, and recently.

quote:

Originally posted by abnmacv:
With the Democrat-Socialists growing in power limits on magazines and calling most semi-automatics "assault weapons" and banning them will make revolvers and single stacks more valuable.

I dont think so, but thats judt mh opinion.

quote:

Originally posted by Dusty78:
It’s a buyers market now so buy buy buy. That’s all that matters.

^^^^^ This is the logic I’ve been living by the last few years. After the Sandy Hook scare, when it comes to guns and magazines, I feel like an old person who has lived through the Great Depression and squirrels away everything they can.

quote:

Originally posted by 220-9er:

quote:

Originally posted by cas:
Have handgun prices ever come down?

Yes they have, and recently.

Short term, because the market is flooded and no one is buying. Or inflated prices on newly released guns.

Long term, no.

Sadly on the whole, guns will never be cheaper than they are now. That's never not true in the big picture.
There's the old saying, you can't pay too much, just too soon.

I knew when I read the thread title, this would be a politically driven thread. People who will drive gun prices up in 2020 will be the same ones that bought the $10,000 SCARs the last time. They learned no lessons, and people like them will be the sole reason for any inflation beyond what's normal in the industry.

The days of the unchallenged AWB on a federal level are over. The future is buying politicians on the state level. Federal legislation will be challenged almost immediately and you can bet your bottom dollar the NRA has a judge that they've already shopped for to file a stay on any unConstitutional legislation that may make it past a lefty pResident. It likely won't make it past a SCOTUS smell test either. You replace Weekend at Bernies Ginsburg and you can damn well bet that it won't pass muster.

I know that there are a few people that don't want to hear this, as they have already signed on to the idea that the end is nigh. But, that is the truth.

And none of the above will stop panic buying and pricing. Hell, it's just the American thing to do. Last week, we had a 1-2 inch overnight snow forecast. The next day it was supposed to be 50 degrees. I went to the grocery to get stuff to make cheeseburgers. There was no bread, and very little milk. I passed one guy who was talking the phone to someone and he had five loaves of bread, and 3 gallon of milk in his cart. American's love themselves some panic buying.

Prices aren't going down. There is zero question about that.

With the passage of time, prices will go up. There is zero question about that.

The last round of panic-driven pricing was two-fold; partially the fault of ammunition manufacturers, but chiefly the fault of buyers and price gouging.

It's not an issue of politics. It's an issue of behavior. If you happen to be one of the people that hoards the ammunition then leaks it back out at 5X the price, then you're the problem. If you're the person that bares the shelves and makes the ammunition scarce, then don't blame the man in office. Supply and demand. Create the demand, lessen the supply by cleaning it out, and prices go up. It's not politics, it's economics.

Unquestionably, prices will go up, regardless of who is in office. Almost certainly if there's a sense that it's someone who isn't at the top of the NRA required voting list, then there will be panic buying, and the prices will skyrocket.

Totally agree. I have seen a few guns in the classifieds recently that I can buy new for less than what they are trying to sell them for.

quote:

Originally posted by 220-9er:

quote:

Originally posted by cas:
Have handgun prices ever come down?

Yes they have, and recently.