SIGforum.com    Main Page  Hop To Forum Categories  The Lounge    Donald Trump is a first-rate ass clown, but...
Page 1 ... 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 ... 1312

Closed Topic Closed
Go
New
Find
Notify
Tools
Donald Trump is a first-rate ass clown, but... Login/Join 
Essayons
Picture of SapperSteel
posted Hide Post
Hot Air publishes Ed Morrissey report stating NBC and WSJ polls show Trump cannot defeat Mrs. Clinton: LINK.

quote:
NBC/WSJ poll: Clinton, Sanders demolish Trump in general election
POSTED AT 12:41 PM ON MARCH 9, 2016 BY ED MORRISSEY

Update: It’s worth noting that this isn’t an outlier. The RCP average of head-to-head polling between Trump and Clinton has Hillary up 6 points, 47.3/41. Over the last six months, Trump has only led in four polls out of thirty, and in his most recent two wins, his lead was within the margin of error.

Original post follows:

Last night, Donald Trump called on Republicans to unite behind him and declared that only he could defeat Hillary Clinton. A new NBC/WSJ poll out this morning disputes that claim — although the general election is still a long way off. Trump loses to both Hillary and Bernie Sanders by double-digit margins in this sample of 1200 registered voters, but Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz look much more competitive:

Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders would handily defeat Donald Trump in a general election match-up, while a clash between Clinton and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz or Florida Sen. Marco Rubio would be a toss-up, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.

The poll shows that Trump, who frequently boasts in interviews and campaign appearances that he would beat Clinton in November, would lose a one-on-one contest against her by double digits. In a head-to-head fight, Clinton gets the support of 51 percent of registered voters compared to 38 percent for the real estate mogul.

For Sanders, the margin of victory would be even greater, the poll shows.

The Vermont senator gets 55 percent support in a hypothetical two-person race against Trump, while the GOP front-runner would get just 37 percent.

For the record, Rubio ties Hillary at 46%. while Cruz trails within the margin of error, 45/47. The pollsters didn’t ask about head-to-head matchups against Sanders for either of the two Republican Senators, which is too bad, as a Sanders nomination is still not out of the realm of possibility.

Readers should consider a couple of caveats in this poll. First, the sample leans toward desiring a Democratic president, 46/42, asked prior to the candidate questions (the sample overall is D+6). Second, head-to-head polling at this stage still carries a lot of emotional freight that may well disappear after the conventions, or at least diminish significantly. If Trump wins the nomination, he will have months to shift his approach for the general election and test whether he’s right about building a large coalition of disaffected non-Republicans.

However, the favorability numbers show why Trump struggles against the two Democrats, at least at this stage. Hillary gets a 38/51, or -13 favorability rating, in this poll; Sanders has a +7 at 43/36. Rubio has a -11 at 28/39, likely the product of his fierce and personal attacks on Trump, but Cruz does worse with -18 at 27/45. Trump, however, gets only 25/64 for a -39 rating, by far the worst in the field. Trump also does worst among all candidates for potential support in a general election at 32/67 (although not that far behind Cruz and Rubio), and also worst among Republican primary voters for support for the nomination at 56/43.

Given that, it’s hardly surprising that Trump does poorly in a general pool of registered voters — now, anyway. Would that change once the GOP infighting stops and Republicans accept Trump as the nominee? Maybe, but at that point the media will likely become entirely hostile to Trump and probably a lot less generous about air time, too. If Trump didn’t adjust by organizing effectively on the ground — and there’s still time to do that, especially with the RNC’s efforts already in place — then those negatives would likely drive Trump’s chances into the slim or none category.


Thanks,

Sap
 
Posts: 3452 | Location: Arimo, Idaho | Registered: February 03, 2006Report This Post
Member
posted Hide Post
And your point?
 
Posts: 621 | Location: WA  | Registered: June 26, 2010Report This Post
Member
Picture of Tubetone
posted Hide Post
Sap,

These ultimate polls at this time in the primary are hard to trust. I heard a poll today that 63% of non-Trump Republicans want a brokered convention. Those folks want another bite at the apple because they know their candidate is out or the ones likely to succeed are not their favorite flavor. After over 100 million dollars of negative ads against Trump, it seems a lot of likely voters want a chance to get a different result than the primary is producing. This group of people is presumably represented in the poll you cite.

It is no secret at this point that Cruz, Romney, Kasich, Bush and etc. are in favor of a contested convention. They are all also arguing that Trump could not possibly beat Clinton. So, a Fox-owned/entwined NBC/WSJ poll comes out that says that Trump can’t win. It causes some skepticism in me.

Admittedly, I discount Fox polls because of what appears to be their agenda at times. But, even if the selection of respondents and questions are deemed O.K., the poll respondents themselves know that one way to derail Trump is to convince others that he cannot win the general election. I’m not sure a respondent wouldn’t think in those terms – almost everyone that I know talks about messing with polls if asked to be a respondent.

The 1980 polls showed that the Carter-Reagan election was a dead heat but Reagan won in a landslide. The Romney-Obama election polls showed a dead heat but Obama won in large numbers. Carl Rove even had to nearly get the hook to drag him off stage after the handwriting was on the wall as he clicked his red slippers together to insist that Romney will still win. Uhmm. Not even close. Oddly enough, Rove did a similar thing live on Fox during the primaries this year when after the race was called, Rove claimed that Trump would still lose because of some incomplete precincts. Uhmm. Not even close again.

Given the ultimate question of whether Trump can win is being used as a campaign strategy against Trump by those who are still in the race and those who have already lost, your poll seems less than convincing. I, by the way, feel this way about the other ultimate polls as well.

If Trump wins the primary and the Republican machine goes to work for him, I believe polls will sing a clearer tune about Republican attitudes.

BTW, Ed Morrissey, the editor of Hot Air, the source you cite, said in 2011 that Trump running for president would be a "political freak show." That adroit analysis sounds kind of familiar.


_______________________________
NRA Life Member
NRA Certified Range Safety Officer
 
Posts: 3078 | Registered: January 06, 2010Report This Post
Official forum
SIG Pro
enthusiast
Picture of stickman428
posted Hide Post
Those polls are meant to manipulate you. Look at which candidate has energized the Republican Party. Next ask yourself, what if the poll is bullshit, what would the pollster gain by lying?

One need only look at the chronically dishonest media's support of Hitllary ESPECIALLY the polling in Michigan to understand polls DO NOT MEAN SHIT.


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

The price of liberty and even of common humanity is eternal vigilance
 
Posts: 21262 | Location: San Dimas CA, The Old Dominion or the Tar Heel State.  | Registered: April 16, 2007Report This Post
Peace through
superior firepower
Picture of parabellum
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by SapperSteel:
Hot Air publishes Ed Morrissey report stating NBC and WSJ polls show Trump cannot defeat Mrs. Clinton: LINK.
Keep that stupid crap out of this thread. Good God.

If you're easily swayed by propaganda, or if the propaganda simply suits your purposes, its still nothing but propaganda.

I have the Broooklyn Bridge for sale, by the way. I'll sell it to you cheap, Sapper.
 
Posts: 110412 | Registered: January 20, 2000Report This Post
Member
posted Hide Post
I'm gonna go with "nobody has demolished Trump yet" and nobody is within reach. So fuck off NBC/WSJ. And your massive group of the most intelligent readers on this planet.
 
Posts: 1214 | Registered: May 02, 2005Report This Post
Peace through
superior firepower
Picture of parabellum
posted Hide Post
But the commies issued a poll. We should just believe anything they tell us, right?

So, I guess we're toast. Gosh, and here I thought we had a real chance. But hey, can't argue with NBC telling us they have a poll. How can you argue with solid, reliable, unbiased evidence like that? I mean, as we know, polls are never wrong and polls are never manipulated.
 
Posts: 110412 | Registered: January 20, 2000Report This Post
Member
Picture of Leemur
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by parabellum:
quote:
Originally posted by PR64:
Did any of you catch the CAIR news conference today demanding that Trump apologize to Muslims?
For anything in particular, or do they just think he should kiss their ass?


Well he's white and running for president of the great Satan as a republican.
 
Posts: 13902 | Location: Shenandoah Valley, VA | Registered: October 16, 2008Report This Post
Bad dog!
Picture of justjoe
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by 46and2:
I've no love for Salon, but sources aside - this part is spot on:

quote:
Nevertheless, Trump’s fearless candor and brash energy feel like a great gust of fresh air, sweeping the tedious clichés and constant guilt-tripping of political correctness out to sea. Unlike Hillary Clinton, whose every word and policy statement on the campaign trail are spoon-fed to her by a giant paid staff and army of shadowy advisors, Trump is his own man, with a steely “damn the torpedoes” attitude. He has a swaggering retro machismo that will give hives to the Steinem cabal. He lives large, with the urban flash and bling of a Frank Sinatra. But Trump is a workaholic who doesn’t drink and who has an interesting penchant for sophisticated, strong-willed European women. As for a debasement of the presidency by Trump’s slanging matches about penis size, that sorry process was initiated by a Democrat, Bill Clinton, who chatted about his underwear on TV, let Hollywood pals jump up and down on the bed in the Lincoln Bedroom, and played lewd cigar games with an intern in the White House offices."


That was my point-- not that I enjoy Salon. C'mon, Czechvar, I know you know better than that. Smile


______________________________________________________

"You get much farther with a kind word and a gun than with a kind word alone."
 
Posts: 11324 | Location: pennsylvania | Registered: June 05, 2011Report This Post
Member
Picture of Loganspawn
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by parabellum:
quote:
Originally posted by SapperSteel:
Hot Air publishes Ed Morrissey report stating NBC and WSJ polls show Trump cannot defeat Mrs. Clinton: LINK.
Keep that stupid crap out of this thread. Good God.

If you're easily swayed by propaganda, or if the propaganda simply suits your purposes, its still nothing but propaganda.

I have the Broooklyn Bridge for sale, by the way. I'll sell it to you cheap, Sapper.


I can't find the like button!


------------------------------
Knowing is half the battle!

"When governments fear the people, there is liberty. When the people fear the government, there is tyranny. The strongest reason for the people to retain the right to keep and bear arms is, as a last resort, to protect themselves against tyranny in government."

Thomas Jefferson
 
Posts: 6696 | Location: FederalWay WA. Ocupied territory | Registered: April 23, 2009Report This Post
Bad dog!
Picture of justjoe
posted Hide Post
BLM is apparently planning some major disruptions of Trump events. This could get pretty ugly, very fast. About 300 have, according to this article, promised to make some serious trouble.

http://www.thegatewaypundit.co...-at-trump-stl-rally/


______________________________________________________

"You get much farther with a kind word and a gun than with a kind word alone."
 
Posts: 11324 | Location: pennsylvania | Registered: June 05, 2011Report This Post
Member
Picture of Loganspawn
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by justjoe:
BLM is apparently planning some major disruptions of Trump events. This could get pretty ugly, very fast. About 300 have, according to this article, promised to make some serious trouble.

http://www.thegatewaypundit.co...-at-trump-stl-rally/


LOL they will get their ass kicked if they get stupid.

Oh good times, need to get more popcorn.


------------------------------
Knowing is half the battle!

"When governments fear the people, there is liberty. When the people fear the government, there is tyranny. The strongest reason for the people to retain the right to keep and bear arms is, as a last resort, to protect themselves against tyranny in government."

Thomas Jefferson
 
Posts: 6696 | Location: FederalWay WA. Ocupied territory | Registered: April 23, 2009Report This Post
Bad dog!
Picture of justjoe
posted Hide Post
Trump is not going to step back from the mike, like Sanders, and give some moron a chance to talk. So, yes-- asses will be kicked, and they won't include The Donald's.


______________________________________________________

"You get much farther with a kind word and a gun than with a kind word alone."
 
Posts: 11324 | Location: pennsylvania | Registered: June 05, 2011Report This Post
Knows too little
about too much
Picture of rduckwor
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by justjoe:
BLM is apparently planning some major disruptions of Trump events. This could get pretty ugly, very fast. About 300 have, according to this article, promised to make some serious trouble.

http://www.thegatewaypundit.co...-at-trump-stl-rally/


Good! This is our chance to stomp their radical asses into mud puddles. They're no different than the radical muzzies. Let's stomp them both.

RMD




TL Davis: “The Second Amendment is special, not because it protects guns, but because its violation signals a government with the intention to oppress its people…”
Remember: After the first one, the rest are free.
 
Posts: 20436 | Location: L.A. - Lower Alabama | Registered: April 06, 2008Report This Post
Peace through
superior firepower
Picture of parabellum
posted Hide Post
It would be a mistake for BLM to attempt any sort of large disruptions inside one of these rallies. That's my understatement for the day. Smile
 
Posts: 110412 | Registered: January 20, 2000Report This Post
Member
Picture of Tubetone
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by rduckwor:
quote:
Originally posted by justjoe:
BLM is apparently planning some major disruptions of Trump events. This could get pretty ugly, very fast. About 300 have, according to this article, promised to make some serious trouble.

http://www.thegatewaypundit.co...-at-trump-stl-rally/


Good! This is our chance to stomp their radical asses into mud puddles. They're no different than the radical muzzies. Let's stomp them both.

RMD


This attitude, if followed by action, is the opposite of what we need. Trump's having success because he speaking the mind of many voters about a better direction for the country.

We have elections and the rule of law to keep violence from erupting. Elections keep people from having to act violently to have a voice.

Peaceful transition of government is one of the hallmarks of our system. While violent protest within a Trump rally would likely cause some self defense, this type of violent encounter should not be encouraged - in my view.


_______________________________
NRA Life Member
NRA Certified Range Safety Officer
 
Posts: 3078 | Registered: January 06, 2010Report This Post
Member
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by parabellum:
It would be a mistake for BLM to attempt any sort of large disruptions inside one of these rallies. That's my understatement for the day. Smile


I laughed. Big Grin

Then started googling for Trump events near me.
 
Posts: 1512 | Registered: September 11, 2009Report This Post
Peace through
superior firepower
Picture of parabellum
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by Tubetone:
Peaceful transition of government is one of the hallmarks of our system.
You mean like this?:





Watching the Carson/Trump anouncement, I'm getting the impression that there is at least a cabinet position in a Trump administration for Dr. Carson.
 
Posts: 110412 | Registered: January 20, 2000Report This Post
Member
Picture of Tubetone
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by parabellum:
quote:
Originally posted by Tubetone:
Peaceful transition of government is one of the hallmarks of our system.
You mean like this?:




No. I mean like this: "Good! This is our chance to stomp their radical asses into mud puddles." (rduckwor) Just what does "mud puddle" mean?

Your video shows me something about those fools. But, rduckwor says something about himself but, hopefully, not us.

Racism is not one of Trump's campaign plans. Indeed, turning Trump's candidacy into a race-oriented subject, hurts the cause. There are so many black leaders and neighbors who deserve better than reinforcing the media stereotype that Trump and Trump supporters have a racial animus. Violence along those lines should be rejected for the good of us all.


_______________________________
NRA Life Member
NRA Certified Range Safety Officer
 
Posts: 3078 | Registered: January 06, 2010Report This Post
Ethics, antics,
and ballistics
Picture of Dtech
posted Hide Post
I think the Ben Carson endorsement / press conference could not have gone any better. I truly think this is indeed the pivotal point for Trump's candidacy and that it is full steam ahead. Trump is already showing his unification skills and I have no doubt that not only will he get the nomination but will win against any Democratic opponent.


-Dtech
__________________________

"I've got a life to live, people to love, and a God to serve!" - sigmonkey

"Strive not to be a success, but rather to be of value." - Albert Einstein

"A man can never have too much red wine, too many books, or too much ammunition" ― Rudyard Kipling
 
Posts: 4417 | Location: Central Florida | Registered: April 03, 2006Report This Post
  Powered by Social Strata Page 1 ... 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 ... 1312 

Closed Topic Closed

SIGforum.com    Main Page  Hop To Forum Categories  The Lounge    Donald Trump is a first-rate ass clown, but...

© SIGforum 2024