The Trump Presidency : Year IV

November 03, 2020, 08:10 PM

quote:
Originally posted by ensigmatic:

Current numbers reported by OAN.

More good news: John James currently leads incumbent Gary Peters 60:40 for the Michigan US Senate seat.

I hope you are right. Big Biden areas are probably left though. Didn't they call something wrong in 2016 though? I may be remembering that wrong.

November 03, 2020, 08:10 PM

vthoky

Fox still showing "the weirdness:"

From Virginia's own site:

November 03, 2020, 08:12 PM

entropy

They’re prolly not counting the beltway swamp vote yet.

--------------------------------------
"There are things we know. There are things we dont know. Then there are the things we dont know that we dont know."

November 03, 2020, 08:13 PM

Deqlyn

quote:
Originally posted by vthoky:
Fox still showing "the weirdness:"

From Virginia's own site:

The biggest cities are left to report in VA and biden is +50 and +64 in arlington co. I felt VA could be close so ifnit is a trump win itll be at 11 or later.

November 03, 2020, 08:13 PM

rat2306

quote:
Originally posted by entropy:
They’re prolly not counting the beltway swamp vote yet.

I was about to say something similar, may still have NoVA to report.

November 03, 2020, 08:15 PM

spunk639

NoVA May have been counted first.

November 03, 2020, 08:18 PM

ensigmatic

quote:
Originally posted by rat2306:
quote:
Originally posted by entropy:
They’re prolly not counting the beltway swamp vote yet.

I was about to say something similar, may still have NoVA to report.

Same problem in Michigan. Right now James leads Peters and Trump leads Biden, by similar margins, but the big urban areas are always slow to report. So fingers crossed.

"America is at that awkward stage. It's too late to work within the system,,,, but too early to shoot the bastards." -- Claire Wolfe
"If we let things terrify us, life will not be worth living." -- Seneca the Younger, Roman Stoic philosopher

November 03, 2020, 08:20 PM

vthoky

Local station works the "funny math, too," showing Warner as a winner while Gade has higher numbers.

November 03, 2020, 08:23 PM

dewhorse

Ok, here's a funny

Mrs. Dewhorse is such a geek, she works on the data/analytics side in telecom.

All she is focused on is the quality of the graphs and data on the NYT website.

she is like a 15yo boy looking at a new Ferrari .."ooooooh did you see this graph....wow, look at how they map out the paths to victory"

November 03, 2020, 08:27 PM

RogB

Higher numbers for Gade must be viewed in terms of the precincts that are reporting. Once northern VA comes in Warner will easily win.

VA is a lost cause.

_______________________________________

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Member Isaac Walton League

I wouldn't let anyone do to me what I've done to myself

November 03, 2020, 08:27 PM

TXJIM

The way they call these things for someone who is mathematically behind in vote count is by knowing which areas lean which way that have or have not been counted. Let's say Biden has a few thousand vote lead in Texas with Austin, San Antonio, Dallas and Houtson all reported but none of the rural vote is in yet. Pretty solid bet that Trump would erase that lead as the rural vote breaks very hard toward Trump. Is it still a guess, sure. Do some outlets get it wrong sometimes, absolutely. Do other outlets outright lie to discourage the other side, you but your ass.....

______________________________
“I'd like to know why well-educated idiots keep apologizing for lazy and complaining people who think the world owes them a living.”
― John Wayne

November 03, 2020, 08:31 PM

oddball

^^^^^^^^^

Austin/Dallas/Houston has a total population of 4.3 million folks.

Texas total population is almost 30 million. Vast majority are rural counties. And the early reporting seems to be the cities I have listed.

_{"I’m not going to read Time Magazine, I’m not going to read Newsweek, I’m not going to read any of these magazines; I mean, because they have too much to lose by printing the truth"- Bob Dylan, 1965}

November 03, 2020, 08:32 PM

sdy

The northern VA massive DEM vote traditionally always comes in late. Still surprising Fox called it so fast in Virginia.

Some good news though regarding VA and House of Representatives

VA has 11 House seats, 7 DEM and 4 REP.

If the current vote counts hold up, VA will switch to 3 DEM and 8 REP

Not final yet

November 03, 2020, 08:32 PM

MikeGLI

The fact that Texas is 7X% reported and a dead heat breaks my heart.

November 03, 2020, 08:33 PM

rat2306

quote:
Originally posted by sdy:
The northern VA massive DEM vote traditionally always comes in late. Still surprising Fox called it so fast in Virginia.

Some good news though regarding VA and House of Representatives

VA has 11 House seats, 7 DEM and 4 REP.

If the current vote counts hold up, VA will switch to 3 DEM and 8 REP

Not final yet

Just heard/saw it on Steve Bannon's site; VA is too close to call given delays in reporting from NoVA per one pundit scrolling on the screen.

November 03, 2020, 08:37 PM

TXJIM

quote:
Originally posted by oddball:
^^^^^^^^^

Austin/Dallas/Houston has a total population of 4.3 million folks.

Texas total population is almost 30 million. Vast majority are rural counties. And the early reporting seems to be the cities I have listed.

Exactly why I used that example. Most of the left leaning areas of Texas, the urban areas, have been counted and Biden has a .6% lead, about 50k votes. The rural areas are a lot slower to report and have a lot of unreported votes yet to roll in. Not looking good for Biden in Texas.

ETA. Trump just flipped almost a 1.5% and is now almost 1% ahead and should pull away as the night goes on.

______________________________
“I'd like to know why well-educated idiots keep apologizing for lazy and complaining people who think the world owes them a living.”
― John Wayne

November 03, 2020, 08:40 PM

TXJIM

quote:
Originally posted by MikeGLI:
The fact that Texas is 7X% reported and a dead heat breaks my heart.

Our economy has attracted carpet bagger commies in droves over the last 4 years. The trend sucks but I think we squeeze out one more win for the good guys at least.

______________________________
“I'd like to know why well-educated idiots keep apologizing for lazy and complaining people who think the world owes them a living.”
― John Wayne

November 03, 2020, 08:41 PM

MikeGLI

quote:
Originally posted by TXJIM:
quote:
Originally posted by MikeGLI:
The fact that Texas is 7X% reported and a dead heat breaks my heart.

Our economy has attracted carpet bagger commies in droves over the last 4 years. The trend sucks but I think we squeeze out one more win for the good guys at least.

Miserable FUCKS.

November 03, 2020, 08:42 PM

18DAI

I just saw on Fox where the betting odds - which were 60% Biden - 40% Trump, this AM -just flipped.

Now - 60% Trump - 30% Biden. Its Deja vu all over again!

November 03, 2020, 08:42 PM

ensigmatic

quote:
Originally posted by RogB:
VA is a lost cause.

Perhaps he's being optimistic, but OAN's analyst suggests Trump may hold his lead in VA. He also suggested he believes Trump may win Michigan again.

Meanwhile, looks like NC is trending Biden, when Trump had had a solid lead