Possibly the last Donald Trump rally, ever .

https://theconservativetreehou...estream/#more-203257

Take a breath and enjoy this moment. Here we go folks…. the final President Trump campaign rally of the 2020 election; and possibly the final Donald J Trump rally of his entire career in politics (unless he rallies in term two). For the closing rally our president has chosen Grand Rapids, Michigan.

The venue is the Gerald R. Ford International Airport in Grand Rapids and the anticipated start time is approximately 11:30pm ET

video at link

Pence doing intro

Why am I still up (other than still feeling under the weather) and feeling like when I wake up it will be Christmas morning!!!

Let's roll.

Fucking A, it’s time to take our country back!

Longest line and more cars at my voting precinct than I have ever seen.

The 6 foot apart chalk markings on the ground were respected until the line started moving.

I'm heading to the polling place about 10:30. I may have to run a gauntlet of Dems hawking sample ballots marked up the way they want, but will blow on by them.

Happy Trump Re-Election Day, freedom lovers!

Just voted. The line was epic!

I got my beer. I got my guns. I got my TP.

It's gonna be a rockin' good time!

quote:

Originally posted by rat2306:
I'm heading to the polling place about 10:30. I may have to run a gauntlet of Dems hawking sample ballots marked up the way they want, but will blow on by them.

Electioneering at a Polling Place....Illegal Activity in most (all?) states!

quote:

Electioneering at a Polling Place....Illegal Activity in most (all?) states!

Here in MO it must be at least 25' from entrance.

My wife just got back from our polling place and said there was no line. She worked at the hospital overnight and was planning to get up at 10 or 10:30 to go vote but saw no one in line as she drove past the church, so she pulled in and was done in just a few minutes.

With such high numbers of early votes cast, we need to be sure to encourage all of our Republican-leaning friends to get to the polls to vote for President Trump and our Republican Senate and House candidates today. This is our chance! We can win this thing!

I voted about a week and a half ago. I didn’t sleep particularly well last night. Just got to work, hopefully I can get into the zone and have a productive day. I’m just not as confident as the rest of you seem to be. Good luck to us all.

My wife and I got up early to vote on way into work and at our polling place which usually never has much of a line, the line was the length of the parking lot and I had to find a spot to even park. I think its a great sign if anything that far more people are participating in voting this election year. As long as the line was, it moved pretty quickly.

Donald Trump Jr:

Vote like your freedoms, your livelihood, and our future depends on it… Because they do!

Checking in from Huntington Woods, MI. No line to speak of as the polls opened; I was maybe 4th in line? Lots of party-of-stupid signs on the walk in, ratio-wise, but plenty (*plenty*) of signless yards which I choose to interpret as hopeful.

Here's hoping Parabellum has reasons for a night similar to the last time Trump was elected- those were fun posts, that was a fun night.

Well... In Ohio there are voting machine issues, at least in the Columbus area. Got to the polls at 5:45 (they open at 6:30) and I was about 30th in line. Got inside and was told the machines did not have my precinct in them. I waited. Took 1.5 hours, but they figured it out.

It is already being reported on the radio of "polling issues and irregularities" in central Ohio.

And, just to let you know what kind of people are around me/voting at the same place, the entire polling place wreaked of marijuana...

But I voted and the sticker is on my MAGA hat.

My wife and I got in line at our polling place at 6:45am, already a dozen people ahead of us. By the time the polls opened at 7:02am, there were approx. 70 folks in line through roped sections of the city hall lobby. When we left the polling room, there were more people in line. A couple of poll workers were saying "it is going to be a busy day".

Coming Spring, 2021, to a book store near you.


This one is a coloring book, though. . .

No such luck for me. I showed up at the polling place a 0600 and didn't get finished until 0704. The assholes at the state level also jammed another Precinct into the building which was about 30% of the line. It was easily the longest line I've stood in to vote.

Voted on the way to work. No line, 5 minutes in and out.

remember in Nov 2016 as we watched the NYT projections slowly being integrated and updated w real voting data?

We knew a couple of hours earlier than network reporting that Donald Trump had won.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/1...in-email&login=email

For many Times readers, the memory of election night in 2016 is inseparable from the image of a semicircular chart that has since become known — affectionately or not — as “the needle.”

The needle analyzes incomplete results to show who is on track to win an election.

unlike in 2016, we will not offer a single needle to tell you the overall likelihood of who will win the presidency.

Why? The short version: mail voting.

NYT will have needles for Georgia, Florida, and North Carolina

Because of the pandemic, we expect more mail-in votes than ever before. These are often not representative of the final vote totals — this year, we expect them to skew more Democratic than votes cast in person on Election Day. But to interpret results responsibly, we need to understand what has been counted. Unfortunately for the needle, most counties and precincts don’t reliably report their vote by vote method.

Specifically, why can’t you do a national needle?

A lot of it boils down to mail voting.

The needle we published in 2016 was fundamentally simple: It looked at the reported vote to make inferences about the remaining vote, based on the demographic characteristics of each county.

This works well if geography is the primary reason partial results might be unrepresentative. Let’s say, for instance, that rural Virginia has counted its votes but that Northern Virginia hasn’t. Northern Virginia’s more urban and Democratic-leaning Washington suburbs have been among the slowest to report in many recent elections. In that case, the needle would say “aha!” and realize that the rest of the vote would be very Democratic. It might predict the Democrat to be in a better position, even though the Republican led in the tabulated count.

This year, an additional reason the results will be unrepresentative is the method of vote count. Our needle needs to know not only where votes remain uncounted, but also whether they were cast mainly on Election Day, early in-person or via mail. For most states, we just won’t have that data in real time.

There are other challenges, like how we’re supposed to know whether all of the votes are counted, especially in states that accept late-arriving postmarked ballots. But the additional problem of not knowing the vote by vote type is the single biggest issue we face this year.

Will you have Senate needles? Two of these states have interesting Senate races, too.

Unfortunately, no. We’re focusing our needle attention on the presidential race. We don’t get many opportunities to test this stuff, and we’re reducing the number of moving pieces to maximize our chance of success.

Can the needle make race calls?

No. The needle does not make race calls or offer definitive statements. As always, race calls or projections will be made by organizations like The Associated Press, CNN and Fox News.

How does it work?

We start the night with a weak expectation of the final result for every precinct, by vote method. An average precinct in one of these states may have around 2,000 voters. If you’re in one of these three states, we have an estimate for how absentee, early and Election Day votes will break down in your neighborhood.

How do we make these estimates? We use our Times/Siena polls to estimate how each registered voter in these states will vote, based on demographic characteristics and whether that person voted early, according to state records. We adjust these estimates to match the pre-election polling, and then we aggregate our estimates up to the precinct, by vote method.

Next, the results. Some of our colleagues will be gathering and validating precinct results from hundreds of web pages across these states, in real time. We’ll pass those results off to the needle, which will compare the results with our pre-election expectations. If one candidate is doing better than we expect, our expectations for the remaining votes will shift accordingly. The same concept applies to turnout. If the Election Day vote is higher than expected, the needle will expect higher Election Day turnout elsewhere.

As the night goes on, the needle will start to make even more specific inferences. It might be able to glean, for instance, that Election Day turnout is higher in Black precincts than we expected, but not in white ones. Or it might figure out that Mr. Trump is doing better in mostly white working-class rural areas, but not elsewhere.

The last step is simple arithmetic: Add together the counted result and our best guess of the remaining vote to get our estimate for the final vote.

Reminder for Virginia:

The 2014 version showed Senator Mark Warner, Democrat of Virginia, on track to win for hours before the reported totals did, even though Mr. Warner trailed in the reported vote count until 99 percent of precincts had reported