Liberal Data Analyst Nate Silver Says Trump Favored to Win, Accuses Pollsters of ‘Putting Finger on the Scale’ to Make Election Seem Closer Than it is (VIDEO)
Liberal data analyst Nate Silver believes Trump will win the election. His forecast puts Trump somewhere in the mid-50s and Harris in the mid-40s.
During a recent appearance on the Risky Business podcast, he accused pollsters of cheating and putting their fingers on the scale in order to make the race appear closer than it actually is.
He says that the race has gradually drifted to Trump over a long period of time and notes that Harris has been regularly losing ground.
Polling expert Nate Silver criticized other pollsters for manipulating survey results in the lead-up to the 2024 presidential election. He accused them of recycling past results to keep the race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris appearing close. Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight, called out pollsters for “herding” their numbers, specifically mentioning Emerson College in his criticism.
“I kind of trust pollsters less,” Silver said during an episode of his weekly podcast, Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova. “They all, every time a pollster [says] ‘Oh, every state is just plus-one, every single state’s a tie,’ no! You’re f–king herding! You’re cheating! You’re cheating!”
Silver’s own model shows Trump ahead of Harris, 55% to 45%, as the election nears. He expressed frustration with pollsters showing close races consistently, arguing they were trying not to stand out. He suggested, “Your numbers aren’t all going to come out at exactly one-point leads when you’re sampling 800 people over dozens of surveys. You are lying! You’re putting your f–king finger on the scale!”
The "polling" in the next couple of days is pure 100% gaslighting, just ridiculous. This is the end game and they have nothing. Like this poll that is the lead in for the NYT, as if intelligent voters will believe that Harris leads Trump in IOWA. Other more reasonable polls and Trump's own internal polling has him at +10.
"I’m not going to read Time Magazine, I’m not going to read Newsweek, I’m not going to read any of these magazines; I mean, because they have too much to lose by printing the truth"- Bob Dylan, 1965
November 03, 2024, 03:47 PM
Balzé Halzé
quote:
Originally posted by oddball: The "polling" in the next couple of days is pure 100% gaslighting, just ridiculous. This is the end game and they have nothing. Like this poll that is the lead in for the NYT, as if intelligent voters will believe that Harris leads Trump in IOWA. Other more reasonable polls and Trump's own internal polling has him at +10.
My final prediction based on that poll.
~Alan Acta Non Verba NRA Life Member (Patron) God, Family, Guns, Country
Men will fight and die to protect women... because women protect everything else. ~Andrew Klavan
November 03, 2024, 04:11 PM
Tuckerrnr1
Works for me.
_____________________________________________ I may be a bad person, but at least I use my turn signal.
November 03, 2024, 04:30 PM
slosig
I’d be shocked and delighted to see Kommiefornia get that right. Bring it baby!!!
November 03, 2024, 04:44 PM
TigerDore
quote:
Originally posted by oddball: The "polling" in the next couple of days is pure 100% gaslighting, just ridiculous...
Even the leftwing polls cared more about their credibility at one time. Rush Limbaugh used point out how the polls would show Democrat advantage 30-60 days out, in order to try to drive votes for the Left, but that they would adjust their polls, slowly, in the final weeks to accurately reflect voter sentiment in order to preserve their professional reputations.
Interesting that they no longer care about their credibility.
.
November 03, 2024, 05:40 PM
nhtagmember
They don’t care about credibility because they’ve never had any. You cannot miss something you’ve never had.
Liberals hate America and everything it stands for.
They hate the MAGA tagline. Why do they despise America and Americans wanting to be great?
November 03, 2024, 05:44 PM
nhracecraft
quote:
Originally posted by nhtagmember: They hate the MAGA tagline. Why do they despise America, AND Americans wanting to be great?
If Some is Good, and More is Better.....then Too Much, is Just Enough !! Trump 47....Make America Great Again! "May Almighty God bless the United States of America" - parabellum 7/26/20 Live Free or Die!
November 03, 2024, 06:08 PM
sigmonkey
quote:
Originally posted by Balzé Halzé:... My final prediction based on that poll.
...
Sherwin-Williams poll is in...
(We have American citizens around the entire world who can vote)
"the meaning of life, is to give life meaning" ✡ Ani Yehudi אני יהודי Le'olam lo shuv לעולם לא שוב!
November 03, 2024, 06:25 PM
Balzé Halzé
quote:
Originally posted by oddball: The "polling" in the next couple of days is pure 100% gaslighting, just ridiculous. This is the end game and they have nothing. Like this poll that is the lead in for the NYT, as if intelligent voters will believe that Harris leads Trump in IOWA. Other more reasonable polls and Trump's own internal polling has him at +10.
Haha, Gold-standard poll indeed. Get a load of this genius, the woman who put together that poll. Selzer herself.
~Alan Acta Non Verba NRA Life Member (Patron) God, Family, Guns, Country
Men will fight and die to protect women... because women protect everything else. ~Andrew Klavan
November 03, 2024, 06:56 PM
12131
quote:
Originally posted by oddball: The "polling" in the next couple of days is pure 100% gaslighting, just ridiculous.
Nah! It's been bullshitting for a long time, now. They're just playing us. One day, Trump is up, the next it's the Kackle. One day it's razor thin, the next it's a blow out. A gazillion of pollsters out there to pick and choose from. All of them are trustworthy. Yeah, not really. Don't give a damn. Only care about the final poll on election day.
Nov 01 2024 Mast, Huizenga, Waltz Demand Pentagon Mobilize Resources To Ensure Active Duty Service Members Can Vote
WASHINGTON, D.C. - Today, Reps. Brian Mast (FL-21), Bill Huizenga (MI-04), and Michael Waltz (FL-06) blew the whistle on the Pentagon’s negligence in facilitating the ability of every active duty armed service member across the nation and overseas to vote this election cycle. As such, the congressmen are demanding Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin mobilize the Pentagon’s resources to ensure eligible active duty service members are afforded the opportunity to vote if they so choose.
“Joe Biden and Kamala Harris have mobilized federal manpower, resources, and tax dollars to block state-level election integrity measures, including in Georgia and Virginia, through lawsuits and smears,” said Rep. Mast. “They claim to care about democracy and the right to vote, yet they’ve failed to plan accordingly to facilitate the right to vote for every single one of our nation’s brave men and women in uniform. This is absolutely unacceptable. Our nation’s elite warriors deserve to have every opportunity to vote for the next commander-in-chief, especially since that person will be making life-and-death decisions for our troops.”
“Both Joe Biden & Kamala Harris have dismissed our warfighters serving in combat zones by either falsely claiming the U.S. has suffered no casualties under this administration or by claiming thousands of these service members aren’t in active combat zones,” said Rep. Waltz. “We need assurances these service members who are putting their lives on the line for our country have the information and tools they need to cast their ballot to vote.”
“It is completely unacceptable that our men and women serving overseas are not receiving the proper information and resources necessary to cast their ballot,” said Rep. Huizenga. “Sadly, this is the latest example of the Biden-Harris Administration failing to stand up for our servicemembers.”
During recent visits with active duty service members, concerns were raised about the Pentagon’s inadequate education at the administrative level on voter registration, absentee ballot requests, and the use of a federal write-in absentee ballot when state-issued ballots do not arrive in time. Some service members have even reported that requests for federal write-in absentee ballots were sometimes met with the response that the base's stockpile of these ballots was depleted and had not been replenished.
Reps. Mast, Huizenga, and Waltz raised these concerns in a letter to Secretary Austin urging him to make every resource available to facilitate voting by American armed service members, pursuant to federal and state regulations governing elections. He also asked that Congress be made aware of what preparedness and planning initiatives the Pentagon has undertaken to facilitate voting.
