SIGforum
When will the coronavirus arrive in the US? (Disease: COVID-19; Virus: SARS-CoV-2)

This topic can be found at:
https://sigforum.com/eve/forums/a/tpc/f/320601935/m/9320007564

March 11, 2020, 08:11 PM
corsair
When will the coronavirus arrive in the US? (Disease: COVID-19; Virus: SARS-CoV-2)
quote:
Originally posted by Graniteguy:
So I understand - the Chinese discovered this virus was "in the wild" in late November, 2019.

In Mid December 2019 - tens of thousand of Chinese college students in America returned home to China.

In January - millions of Chinese traveled to Las Vegas, a huge destination point during the Chinese New year.

In mid-January 2020 - those same tens of thousands of Chinese students returned to the US to resume college.

So this virus has been here in the US since mid-January?

I don't have a science degree or predictive model to illustrate the logic above - but shouldn't the spread here in the US be much further ahead than where we are being told it is after being here in the US for the past 8-weeks?

#1 Chinese New Year or, Lunar New Year, has people traveling to where ever their families are, Vegas isn't very high on the list of destinations. Vegas in-general is a top-3 destination for overseas travelers to the US, talk to most first timers visiting the US: NYC, Orlando and Vegas, along with Los Angeles and pick a major national park round-out, the top-5. Throw-in Miami for some.

#2 Can't get a predictive spread model unless you have an accurate count. Can't get an accurate count if people don't report in when they get a fever/cough. Most epidemiologist have said, end of Feb / beginning Mar will be when it blooms in the US; here we are. This is a moderate burn virus. Keep in mind health care in the US is not centralized, like much of gov, it's decentralized and focused at the state-level. Some states are better at managing emergencies than others...we'll see how this plays out.
March 11, 2020, 08:14 PM
kkina
quote:
Originally posted by Balzé Halzé:
All travel between the US and Europe suspended. Jesus.

In both directions, or just from Europe to the U.S.?



ACCU-STRUT FOR MINI-14
"Pen & Sword as one."
March 11, 2020, 08:18 PM
Balzé Halzé
quote:
Originally posted by kkina:
quote:
Originally posted by Balzé Halzé:
All travel between the US and Europe suspended. Jesus.

In both directions, or just from Europe to the U.S.?


I'm not 100% sure. I think it was both ways though with some exceptions for Americans who are properly screened.

The UK is exempt.


~Alan

Acta Non Verba
NRA Life Member (Patron)
God, Family, Guns, Country

Men will fight and die to protect women... because women protect everything else. ~Andrew Klavan

March 11, 2020, 08:19 PM
mk689
While it can come across as alarmist (and that alarm may well be well founded...) I found this article a pretty thorough analysis.

https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo...ill-die-f4d3d9cd99ca

In the above article is a link to this graphic on Reuters that shows "Case-31" in Korea who spread it to thousands of people.

https://graphics.reuters.com/C...00B5G33SB/index.html
March 11, 2020, 08:20 PM
Pyker
quote:
Originally posted by kkina:
quote:
Originally posted by Balzé Halzé:
All travel between the US and Europe suspended. Jesus.

In both directions, or just from Europe to the U.S.?


Only (so far) for 30 days
March 11, 2020, 08:21 PM
snwghst
John Hopkins GIS interactive map


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March 11, 2020, 08:24 PM
kkina
quote:
Originally posted by Pyker:
quote:
Originally posted by kkina:
quote:
Originally posted by Balzé Halzé:
All travel between the US and Europe suspended. Jesus.

In both directions, or just from Europe to the U.S.?


Only (so far) for 30 days

Yes, but is the ban in both directions? I'm seeing it is only Europe to US.



ACCU-STRUT FOR MINI-14
"Pen & Sword as one."
March 11, 2020, 08:25 PM
Balzé Halzé
quote:
Originally posted by Pyker:
quote:
Originally posted by kkina:
quote:
Originally posted by Balzé Halzé:
All travel between the US and Europe suspended. Jesus.

In both directions, or just from Europe to the U.S.?


Only (so far) for 30 days


The wording I'm seeing is FROM Europe. So perhaps it's just one way for now.


~Alan

Acta Non Verba
NRA Life Member (Patron)
God, Family, Guns, Country

Men will fight and die to protect women... because women protect everything else. ~Andrew Klavan

March 11, 2020, 08:26 PM
Pyker
quote:
Originally posted by kkina:
quote:
Originally posted by Pyker:
quote:
Originally posted by kkina:
quote:
Originally posted by Balzé Halzé:
All travel between the US and Europe suspended. Jesus.

In both directions, or just from Europe to the U.S.?


Only (so far) for 30 days

Yes, but is the ban in both directions? I'm seeing it is only Europe to US.


From only at this stage
March 11, 2020, 08:28 PM
Balzé Halzé
I have to say, I find that action quite extreme.


~Alan

Acta Non Verba
NRA Life Member (Patron)
God, Family, Guns, Country

Men will fight and die to protect women... because women protect everything else. ~Andrew Klavan

March 11, 2020, 08:29 PM
gearhounds
quote:
Originally posted by Balzé Halzé:
quote:
Originally posted by Pyker:
quote:
Originally posted by kkina:
quote:
Originally posted by Balzé Halzé:
All travel between the US and Europe suspended. Jesus.

In both directions, or just from Europe to the U.S.?


Only (so far) for 30 days


The wording I'm seeing is FROM Europe. So perhaps it's just one way for now.

I imagine once you’re there, you’d need to pass a 14 day quarantine to get back into the states.




“Remember to get vaccinated or a vaccinated person might get sick from a virus they got vaccinated against because you’re not vaccinated.” - author unknown
March 11, 2020, 08:32 PM
Pyker
quote:
Originally posted by gearhounds:

The wording I'm seeing is FROM Europe. So perhaps it's just one way for now.
I imagine once you’re there, you’d need to pass a 14 day quarantine to get back into the states.


He said 'appropriate screening' will be required for Americans returning.
March 11, 2020, 08:32 PM
Balzé Halzé
quote:
Originally posted by gearhounds:

I imagine once you’re there, you’d need to pass a 14 day quarantine to get back into the states.


That would be ridiculous.

I'm sorry. I just find this all so pointless. The virus is here. It spans the country. Are we really helping at this point with these travel bans, quarantines, and isolation from crowds?

Airlines that were barely hanging on prior to this travel ban will likely be forced under now. Tomorrow is going to be something, especially the market. And now we're going to pay people to stay home? I think I may quarantine myself from the internet and media.


~Alan

Acta Non Verba
NRA Life Member (Patron)
God, Family, Guns, Country

Men will fight and die to protect women... because women protect everything else. ~Andrew Klavan

March 11, 2020, 08:35 PM
Pyker
The video of President Trump's speech is on C-Span.

Watch it for yourselves.
March 11, 2020, 08:36 PM
kkina
That would be a “Level 3 Health Travel Notice”, and does involve a 14-day quarantine.



ACCU-STRUT FOR MINI-14
"Pen & Sword as one."
March 11, 2020, 08:36 PM
kimber1911
quote:
Originally posted by Balzé Halzé:
quote:
Originally posted by gearhounds:

I imagine once you’re there, you’d need to pass a 14 day quarantine to get back into the states.


That would be ridiculous.

Why?
We’ve been told the incubation period is 14 days.
Seems logical that we would want to ensure someone is Coronavirus free before coming into the U.S.



“We’re in a situation where we have put together, and you guys did it for our administration…President Obama’s administration before this. We have put together, I think, the most extensive and inclusive voter fraud organization in the history of American politics,”
Pres. Select, Joe Biden

“Let’s go, Brandon” Kelli Stavast, 2 Oct. 2021
March 11, 2020, 08:39 PM
Balzé Halzé
quote:
Originally posted by kimber1911:
quote:
Originally posted by Balzé Halzé:
quote:
Originally posted by gearhounds:

I imagine once you’re there, you’d need to pass a 14 day quarantine to get back into the states.


That would be ridiculous.

Why?
We’ve been told the incubation period is 14 days.
Seems logical that we would want to ensure someone is Coronavirus free before coming into the U.S.


Can you imagine how many Americans are currently traveling overseas?


~Alan

Acta Non Verba
NRA Life Member (Patron)
God, Family, Guns, Country

Men will fight and die to protect women... because women protect everything else. ~Andrew Klavan

March 11, 2020, 08:39 PM
PASig
Tom Hanks and his wife apparently caught the Coronavirus while in Australia. Just came out.


March 11, 2020, 08:40 PM
parabellum
If it'll attack celebrities, what chance does the common man stand?

This is war
March 11, 2020, 08:42 PM
PowerSurge
quote:
Originally posted by PASig:
Tom Hanks and his wife apparently caught the Coronavirus while in Australia. Just came out.


Well that’s it. It’s all gonna end in a worldwide famine and mankind eating the peanuts out of each other’s shit.


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The fool hath said in his heart, There is no God. Psalm 14:1