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wishing we were congress |
predictions from The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent global health research center at the University of Washington. http://www.healthdata.org/ For NY, Peak resource use will be 9 Apr 2020 Peak Resources predicted to be needed: hospital beds 71,574 ICU beds 11,070 Ventilators 8,855 These projections are lower than what Cuomo projected on 24 Mar 2020 Total deaths projected for NY : 15,546 (projected thru 4 Aug 2020) (NY deaths right now at 1026) Two doctors have said that for people who go on the ventilators, about half die. | |||
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As Extraordinary as Everyone Else |
My first thought when reading the article was...”I wonder if PHPaul was involved...?” ------------------ Eddie Our Founding Fathers were men who understood that the right thing is not necessarily the written thing. -kkina | |||
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Thank you Very little |
Well the dude was from Noo Joisey, shoulda probably blocked him in long ago...
Thought the same, but no mention of a bulldozer... | |||
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Drill Here, Drill Now |
I looked at this for Texas and they project: Thanks for posting. Ego is the anesthesia that deadens the pain of stupidity DISCLAIMER: These are the author's own personal views and do not represent the views of the author's employer. | |||
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Peripheral Visionary |
Good info. | |||
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So let it be written, so let it be done... |
Seattle, Wash. sees slowdown in COVID-19 cases OAN Newsroom UPDATED 6:42 AM PT — Monday, March 30, 2020 According to a new report, the number of coronavirus cases in Seattle, Washington has decelerated as a result of the state’s containment efforts. An article published in The New York Times Sunday claimed the Seattle-area, which was the location of the first known COVID-19 case in the U.S., has shown a significant slowdown in the spread of the virus. That’s according to data from the Institute for Disease Modeling, which is a private research group that has been monitoring the outbreak as it progresses. Its data showed that in early March each infected person in the state was spreading the virus to an average of 2.7 other people. Following recently enacted guidelines and the statewide stay-at-home order, however, that number has dropped to less than 1.4 people. During a recent press conference, Gov. Jay Inslee also touched on how strict containment strategies enacted during the early days of the outbreak are now beginning to pay off. “We know that this is still a dire challenge, we know this is a fateful disease, we know that we have not turned the corner and we are not even close to the end of this battle, but we do think there is some evidence that our community mitigation strategies — the things we’ve done already to close schools, close restaurants and theaters, to prohibit gatherings — we think these things have been able to slow the rate of increase,” Gov. Inslee stated. Report Ad While officials said overall progress against the virus is still being analyzed, they also added that expansive social distancing policies will remain a key part of daily life for residents in Seattle for weeks to come. Link 'veritas non verba magistri' | |||
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Tinker Sailor Soldier Pie |
You think, eh? Simpleton. ~Alan Acta Non Verba NRA Life Member (Patron) God, Family, Guns, Country Men will fight and die to protect women... because women protect everything else. ~Andrew Klavan | |||
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I have a very particular set of skills |
State rep quoted from the article: "Except for in the most extreme circumstances, we do not have the authority to control the movement of US citizens within our borders, and frankly, I'm concerned about the number of people who are eager to hand their rights over to the government." Boss A real life Sisyphus... "It's not the critic who counts..." TR Exodus 23.2: Do not follow the crowd in doing wrong... Despite some people's claims to the contrary, 5 lbs. is actually different than 12 lbs. It's never simple/easy. | |||
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Lawyers, Guns and Money |
So, Balzé, what do you think slows the rate of increase? If not keeping people apart or 'social distancing'? "Some things are apparent. Where government moves in, community retreats, civil society disintegrates and our ability to control our own destiny atrophies. The result is: families under siege; war in the streets; unapologetic expropriation of property; the precipitous decline of the rule of law; the rapid rise of corruption; the loss of civility and the triumph of deceit. The result is a debased, debauched culture which finds moral depravity entertaining and virtue contemptible." -- Justice Janice Rogers Brown "The United States government is the largest criminal enterprise on earth." -rduckwor | |||
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Nullus Anxietas |
Ambiguous response. Do you not agree that social distancing measures slows the rapid rise in infection rates or do you believe it stupidly obvious they do? "America is at that awkward stage. It's too late to work within the system,,,, but too early to shoot the bastards." -- Claire Wolfe "If we let things terrify us, life will not be worth living." -- Seneca the Younger, Roman Stoic philosopher | |||
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Member |
Two things that are pissing me off - I know we have the data but it's not being shared: 1) County specific data. In a large state, it's not good enough to say there are 1000 cases. I want to know prevalence by county - # of cases in each county. 2) Severity -- I ready an article where they found a handful of new cases. But they said that the symptoms were mild and each person fully recovered. So, out of 1000 cases, how many are severe vs moderate vs mild? IOW, how likely is it that I'm going to get it based on where I am. And if I get it, how likely is it that it will be mild/moderate (basically just like catching they typical cold/flu annually) vs something severe? The data seems like it would be available. Just not being released to stir the panic? "Wrong does not cease to be wrong because the majority share in it." L.Tolstoy "A government is just a body of people, usually, notably, ungoverned." Shepherd Book | |||
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Tinker Sailor Soldier Pie |
I was simply saying that he's stating the blatantly obvious. Of course closing schools, closing restaurants, shutting down the entire economy would slow the spread of the Wuhan. The spread of every single disease on the entire planet has been slowed down in the past three weeks. Who the hell would think otherwise? ~Alan Acta Non Verba NRA Life Member (Patron) God, Family, Guns, Country Men will fight and die to protect women... because women protect everything else. ~Andrew Klavan | |||
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thin skin can't win |
Check your state Dept. of Health site. We do have that piece at least in MS. Link to MSDH You only have integrity once. - imprezaguy02 | |||
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Member |
Thanks. Yes checked. They have county presence but no additional granularity. Presence could be 1 case or 1000 cases. MS seems smarter. And that data seems to show gradients expanding from dense metro centers as one might expect. Just curious - why is gender being tracked? Is that typical? Do we expect some sort of gender based bias? "Wrong does not cease to be wrong because the majority share in it." L.Tolstoy "A government is just a body of people, usually, notably, ungoverned." Shepherd Book | |||
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thin skin can't win |
Said nobody ever. You only have integrity once. - imprezaguy02 | |||
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wishing we were congress |
https://coronavirus.1point3acres.com/en provides county data when it first comes up, there is a map of the U.S. click on your state then scroll over the counties it displays confirmed and deaths | |||
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Member |
The clap? Year V | |||
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Freethinker |
This is a useful site although its data, not surprisingly, lags other sources a bit. Click on your state to see the breakout by county. https://coronavirus.1point3acres.com/#map Added: sdy beat me to it. “I can’t give you brains, but I can give you a diploma.” — The Wizard of Oz This life is a drill. It is only a drill. If it had been a real life, you would have been given instructions about where to go and what to do. | |||
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Member |
I think you might be trying to oversimplify things. How accurately can they predict when it’s going to rain 12 mm/hr where you are in 3 weeks? 2 weeks? Probably not very accurately. And, what would you do different if they told you you had a 50% chance of getting Covid with whatever margin of error? Nobody knows. Is the media hyping things up? That I think we can predict with certainty. it’s how they make money. We are all more likely to die of something other than Covid. | |||
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Member |
Thanks SDY, SF. Interesting data. Chinese site? Still, interesting data. Seems consistent w/ high level state data. "Wrong does not cease to be wrong because the majority share in it." L.Tolstoy "A government is just a body of people, usually, notably, ungoverned." Shepherd Book | |||
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