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When will the coronavirus arrive in the US? (Disease: COVID-19; Virus: SARS-CoV-2) Login/Join 
Something wild
is loose
Picture of Doc H.
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by ChicagoSigMan:
quote:
Originally posted by Doc H.:
I'll use a SIG analogy, since this is SIGforum.  You're standing on the trail, your .40 S&W P229 on your hip (yeah, I'd have picked something else in grizzly country too).  Around the next bend, a large grizzly appears.  Could be a male, could be a female, could be a mad momma guarding cubs, could be a big yearling out for a stroll.  You can't tell.  It sees you, and starts a moderate shamble toward you.  Not particularly threatening, not particularly fast, and it doesn't look particularly mad.  But close, and getting closer. What you don't know, is that it just attacked and killed, and partially ate a couple of hikers further down the trail.  Or maybe it didn't. 


You could jump up and down and yell, and maybe confuse it, and then take off down the trail to your Jeep, close by, and you might make it.  Or it might turn or take off, and nobody gets hurt.  You know if you shoot it, you might just piss it off, .40 S&W being what it is and all, and it will rip your legs off before it eats you, too.  Or you might be able to empty a magazine in its head and kill it (you're a pretty good shot), or at least mightily discourage it so it doesn't rip your legs off and just gives you a swat in passing.  You only have a few seconds, and only time for one option.


As your spirit rises above the trees and looks down at your mangled corpse being consumed, you fleetingly think, "If I had only made the other choice...."


Many pandemics have come along in recent times - Avian flu, swine flu, SARS, etc. They all killed thousands. Yet, this is the first time we have seen this kind of response. No one was clamoring for the nuclear option back then, and no one that I'm aware of has looked back in hindsight at the thousands of deaths and said "If only we had made a different choice."

Is this going to be the new normal for any new virus? How long will the country survive if we flip the off switch on the economy every few years?


You'll notice I didn't describe which choice you made.... Smile I would point out that all of those events are in the past. We know how it worked out. From an economic standpoint, deaths vs economy, you could argue "good choice." Except from the standpoint of those who died, who may even have agreed from the standpoint of public good, although their survivors might object. But I can pretty much guarantee that any citizen of 14th century London in retrospect would say "Shut the harbors down, profit be damned!" It's all a matter of perspective. And I can tell you with some authority that no one knows where this virus will end up. Probably like most recent pandemics historically. Probably. Right now that's a bet. And obviously, not a bet that most countries are willing to make right now, including the US



"And gentlemen in England now abed, shall think themselves accursed they were not here, and hold their manhoods cheap whiles any speaks that fought with us upon Saint Crispin's Day"
 
Posts: 2746 | Location: The Shire | Registered: October 22, 2011Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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Picture of PowerSurge
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quote:
Originally posted by was0311:
quote:
Originally posted by PowerSurge:
I know what the “intent” is. I’m talking about the damage to the economy that could be exacerbated. They say the road to hell is paved with good intentions.

There’s a lot of very bad things that can happen with extended periods of very high unemployment due to their actions. And that’s all I’m going to say.


The economy will recover, dead people don't.

True. But more Americans might die from suicide or dying because of a lack of being able to afford healthcare after losing health coverage due to being unemployed than because of da virus.

Nobody gets out of here alive.


———————————————
The fool hath said in his heart, There is no God. Psalm 14:1
 
Posts: 3969 | Location: Northeast Georgia | Registered: November 18, 2017Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Nullus Anxietas
Picture of ensigmatic
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I wish some people would learn how to quote.

quote:
Originally posted by 6guns:
quote:
Originally posted by ChicagoSigMan:
Is this going to be the new normal for any new virus?

Only if the president is name Donald Trump.

Ah, it's Trump's fault. I knew it!



"America is at that awkward stage. It's too late to work within the system,,,, but too early to shoot the bastards." -- Claire Wolfe
"If we let things terrify us, life will not be worth living." -- Seneca the Younger, Roman Stoic philosopher
 
Posts: 26009 | Location: S.E. Michigan | Registered: January 06, 2008Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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Picture of PowerSurge
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quote:
Originally posted by 6guns:
quote:
Is this going to be the new normal for any new virus?


Only if the president is name Donald Trump.

DA VIRUS!! ITS TRUMPS FAULT!!

Educate yourself, please.


———————————————
The fool hath said in his heart, There is no God. Psalm 14:1
 
Posts: 3969 | Location: Northeast Georgia | Registered: November 18, 2017Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Partial dichotomy
posted Hide Post
quote:
Educate yourself, please.


Was that directed to me?




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Posts: 38681 | Location: SC Lowcountry/Cape Cod | Registered: November 22, 2002Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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Picture of PowerSurge
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by maladat:
quote:


quote:
If it is indeed true that American hospitals are soon to be overwhelmed by virus patients, it is not a recommendation for more central planning, enforced by redirecting scant law enforcement resources to enforcing martial law.

It is a damning indictment of just how socialist—and hence sclerotic, rigid, and brittle—our healthcare industry has been forced to become under the degree of socialized medicine that we already have. We are not fully socialist yet. Hence, we are not Cuba yet.


To put it bluntly, bullshit.

Hospitals and our healthcare system operate with just a little bit of excess capacity because to do otherwise is to incur a lot of extra expense with no offsetting revenue (you know... capitalism).

If a huge surge in demand occurs in a very short amount of time, capitalism can't magically make more hospitals and doctors and nurses and medical supplies appear instantly. Neither can anything else.


There isn’t much left of healthcare that isn’t socialized. It’s much, much closer to socialism than it is to capitalism. If we had a healthcare system based on capitalism there would be a higher surplus of capacity and our healthcare system would be quicker to adapt to surges in patients.


———————————————
The fool hath said in his heart, There is no God. Psalm 14:1
 
Posts: 3969 | Location: Northeast Georgia | Registered: November 18, 2017Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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Picture of PowerSurge
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by 6guns:
quote:
Educate yourself, please.


Was that directed to me?

If you think this mess is Trump’s fault, absolutely.


———————————————
The fool hath said in his heart, There is no God. Psalm 14:1
 
Posts: 3969 | Location: Northeast Georgia | Registered: November 18, 2017Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Nullus Anxietas
Picture of ensigmatic
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quote:
Originally posted by PowerSurge:
If you think this mess is Trump’s fault, absolutely.

I think he's blaming Trump "only" for the shutdown mania.



"America is at that awkward stage. It's too late to work within the system,,,, but too early to shoot the bastards." -- Claire Wolfe
"If we let things terrify us, life will not be worth living." -- Seneca the Younger, Roman Stoic philosopher
 
Posts: 26009 | Location: S.E. Michigan | Registered: January 06, 2008Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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Picture of maladat
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quote:
Originally posted by ChicagoSigMan:
Many pandemics have come along in recent times - Avian flu, swine flu, SARS, etc. They all killed thousands.


Avian flu has a very high mortality rate but is rare and not very transmissible between humans. From February 2013 to June 2019, there were 1568 confirmed cases in humans with 616 deaths. http://www.fao.org/ag/againfo/...date_2019_06_05.html

Swine flu is extremely transmissible, but if anything, less deadly even than seasonal flu. In 2009, about 60 million Americans contracted swine flu and about 12,000 died. This is somewhat more cases and somewhat fewer deaths than a typical seasonal flu. https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandem...9-h1n1-pandemic.html

During the 2003 outbreak, worldwide, there were 8,098 confirmed cases of SARS with 774 deaths. There were eight confirmed cases in the US, all imported (no confirmed community spread in the US). https://www.cdc.gov/sars/about/fs-sars.html

To summarize: avian flu doesn't spread through human populations, swine flu isn't very deadly, and SARS was contained early.

COVID-19 obviously spreads through human populations and hasn't been contained. Current data suggests it is much more deadly (and, equally concerning, results in many more hospitalizations) than swine flu.
 
Posts: 6319 | Location: CA | Registered: January 24, 2011Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Nullus Anxietas
Picture of ensigmatic
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by maladat:
COVID-19 obviously spreads through human populations and hasn't been contained. Current data suggests it is much more deadly (and, equally concerning, results in many more hospitalizations) than swine flu.

People keep comparing SARS-CoV-2/Covid-19 to this and that other thing, pointing out "that wasn't such a big deal, so...?" And others of us keep pointing out that, based on current data, it's not like that other thing, and here's why.

Yet people keep asking "that other thing wasn't such a big deal, so...?"

Some or much of what's being done to contain this thing may or may not be overreaction. Some or much of what's being done may or may not be worse than what might have occurred had we not done these things. That's open to debate, and we might really never know the answers, for sure. But comparing this pandemic to others is a false equivalence.



"America is at that awkward stage. It's too late to work within the system,,,, but too early to shoot the bastards." -- Claire Wolfe
"If we let things terrify us, life will not be worth living." -- Seneca the Younger, Roman Stoic philosopher
 
Posts: 26009 | Location: S.E. Michigan | Registered: January 06, 2008Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Member
Picture of maladat
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by PowerSurge:
quote:
Originally posted by maladat:
quote:


quote:
If it is indeed true that American hospitals are soon to be overwhelmed by virus patients, it is not a recommendation for more central planning, enforced by redirecting scant law enforcement resources to enforcing martial law.

It is a damning indictment of just how socialist—and hence sclerotic, rigid, and brittle—our healthcare industry has been forced to become under the degree of socialized medicine that we already have. We are not fully socialist yet. Hence, we are not Cuba yet.


To put it bluntly, bullshit.

Hospitals and our healthcare system operate with just a little bit of excess capacity because to do otherwise is to incur a lot of extra expense with no offsetting revenue (you know... capitalism).

If a huge surge in demand occurs in a very short amount of time, capitalism can't magically make more hospitals and doctors and nurses and medical supplies appear instantly. Neither can anything else.


There isn’t much left of healthcare that isn’t socialized. It’s much, much closer to socialism than it is to capitalism. If we had a healthcare system based on capitalism there would be a higher surplus of capacity and our healthcare system would be quicker to adapt to surges in patients.


In what possible world do a bunch of empty hospital rooms that cost money to maintain, full of unused equipment that cost money to buy, that don't generate any revenue the vast majority of the time, make ANY sense from a pure bottom-line how-much-money-can-I-make-running-this-hospital point of view?
 
Posts: 6319 | Location: CA | Registered: January 24, 2011Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Member
Picture of PowerSurge
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by maladat:
quote:
Originally posted by PowerSurge:
There isn’t much left of healthcare that isn’t socialized. It’s much, much closer to socialism than it is to capitalism. If we had a healthcare system based on capitalism there would be a higher surplus of capacity and our healthcare system would be quicker to adapt to surges in patients.


In what possible world do a bunch of empty hospital rooms that cost money to maintain, full of unused equipment that cost money to buy, that don't generate any revenue the vast majority of the time, make ANY sense from a pure bottom-line how-much-money-can-I-make-running-this-hospital point of view?


I didn’t say anything about a “bunch” of empty hospital rooms. All of the hospitals around here are at capacity during normal times. The one 10 miles away even regularly has overflow in the ER and patient rooms. That was before da virus scare.


———————————————
The fool hath said in his heart, There is no God. Psalm 14:1
 
Posts: 3969 | Location: Northeast Georgia | Registered: November 18, 2017Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Now in Florida
Picture of ChicagoSigMan
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by maladat:
quote:
Originally posted by ChicagoSigMan:
Many pandemics have come along in recent times - Avian flu, swine flu, SARS, etc. They all killed thousands.


Avian flu has a very high mortality rate but is rare and not very transmissible between humans. From February 2013 to June 2019, there were 1568 confirmed cases in humans with 616 deaths. http://www.fao.org/ag/againfo/...date_2019_06_05.html

Swine flu is extremely transmissible, but if anything, less deadly even than seasonal flu. In 2009, about 60 million Americans contracted swine flu and about 12,000 died. This is somewhat more cases and somewhat fewer deaths than a typical seasonal flu. https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandem...9-h1n1-pandemic.html

During the 2003 outbreak, worldwide, there were 8,098 confirmed cases of SARS with 774 deaths. There were eight confirmed cases in the US, all imported (no confirmed community spread in the US). https://www.cdc.gov/sars/about/fs-sars.html

To summarize: avian flu doesn't spread through human populations, swine flu isn't very deadly, and SARS was contained early.

COVID-19 obviously spreads through human populations and hasn't been contained. Current data suggests it is much more deadly (and, equally concerning, results in many more hospitalizations) than swine flu.


Your giving stats in hindsight. No one knew at the beginnings of these outbreaks how severe or deadly they would be. The early numbers on swine flu were actually quite alarming.
 
Posts: 6063 | Location: FL | Registered: March 09, 2009Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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Picture of Prefontaine
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quote:
Originally posted by PowerSurge:
quote:
Originally posted by Patriot:
quote:
Originally posted by Balzé Halzé:
Frankly, this crap needs to end tomorrow.


I’m in the no camp on this...

This flu is ravaging and kills in days. Left unchecked, the pace at which it would overtake us would be decimating.

It that were the case all the people that have tested positive would be dead. Most people have no symptoms or mild symptoms and then are fine.

Settle down.


No emotion, don't want to debate. 3 dead here so far. Virus is spreading every day. Good news local we had 4 positives today make a full recovery. That's great news. If everyone can hold it together we'll see positive news soon.



What am I doing? I'm talking to an empty telephone
 
Posts: 12640 | Location: Down South | Registered: January 16, 2010Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Member
Picture of was0311
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by PowerSurge:
quote:
Originally posted by maladat:
quote:
Originally posted by PowerSurge:
There isn’t much left of healthcare that isn’t socialized. It’s much, much closer to socialism than it is to capitalism. If we had a healthcare system based on capitalism there would be a higher surplus of capacity and our healthcare system would be quicker to adapt to surges in patients.


In what possible world do a bunch of empty hospital rooms that cost money to maintain, full of unused equipment that cost money to buy, that don't generate any revenue the vast majority of the time, make ANY sense from a pure bottom-line how-much-money-can-I-make-running-this-hospital point of view?


I didn’t say anything about a “bunch” of empty hospital rooms. All of the hospitals around here are at capacity during normal times. The one 10 miles away even regularly has overflow in the ER and patient rooms. That was before da virus scare.


The only beds many maintain for surge are a result of federal dollars. It analogous to grain subsidies. The would not be a higher capacity without that.
 
Posts: 2654 | Location: Eastern NE | Registered: July 12, 2011Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Now in Florida
Picture of ChicagoSigMan
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Time for a little humor?

 
Posts: 6063 | Location: FL | Registered: March 09, 2009Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Something wild
is loose
Picture of Doc H.
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quote:
Originally posted by ChicagoSigMan:
Time for a little humor?



Spent a week in the Kitchen and it was great - good food, entertainment, beautiful sunsets - highly recommended!



"And gentlemen in England now abed, shall think themselves accursed they were not here, and hold their manhoods cheap whiles any speaks that fought with us upon Saint Crispin's Day"
 
Posts: 2746 | Location: The Shire | Registered: October 22, 2011Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Partial dichotomy
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by PowerSurge:
quote:
Originally posted by 6guns:
quote:
Educate yourself, please.


Was that directed to me?

If you think this mess is Trump’s fault, absolutely.


Read the post I quoted from and think again. And I think I've been around here long enough voicing my opinions that you should know better.




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Posts: 38681 | Location: SC Lowcountry/Cape Cod | Registered: November 22, 2002Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Partial dichotomy
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by ensigmatic:
quote:
Originally posted by PowerSurge:
If you think this mess is Trump’s fault, absolutely.

I think he's blaming Trump "only" for the shutdown mania.


I don't blame President Trump for anything. I consider the best president we've ever had....in my lifetime anyway. I'm saying the leftists would create this mania again if President Trump were president. Period!




SIGforum: For all your needs!
Imagine our influence if every gun owner in America was an NRA member! Click the box>>>
 
Posts: 38681 | Location: SC Lowcountry/Cape Cod | Registered: November 22, 2002Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Tinker Sailor Soldier Pie
Picture of Balzé Halzé
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by 6guns:
quote:
Originally posted by ensigmatic:
quote:
Originally posted by PowerSurge:
If you think this mess is Trump’s fault, absolutely.

I think he's blaming Trump "only" for the shutdown mania.


I don't blame President Trump for anything. I consider the best president we've ever had....in my lifetime anyway. I'm staying the leftists would create this mania again if President Trump were president. Period!


Exactly.


~Alan

Acta Non Verba
NRA Life Member (Patron)
God, Family, Guns, Country

Men will fight and die to protect women... because women protect everything else. ~Andrew Klavan

"Once there was only dark. If you ask me, light is winning." ~Rust Cohle
 
Posts: 30410 | Location: Elv. 7,000 feet, Utah | Registered: October 29, 2012Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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