SIGforum
The SCOTUS confirmation circus has begun....

This topic can be found at:
https://sigforum.com/eve/forums/a/tpc/f/320601935/m/8340026644

September 17, 2018, 01:11 AM
bigdeal
The SCOTUS confirmation circus has begun....
Let me put this as bluntly as possible. If this woman didn't given enough of a damn over 35 years to report this 'so called' incident, why should I (or anyone else) give a damn about it now. Go the hell away.

Next up...Let's vote.


-----------------------------
Guns are awesome because they shoot solid lead freedom. Every man should have several guns. And several dogs, because a man with a cat is a woman. Kurt Schlichter
September 17, 2018, 01:34 AM
flashguy
quote:
Originally posted by Gustofer:
This is just a bunch of horseshit.

I do not believe that anyone would remember who an overly frisky drunk teenager (weren't we all) was after 35 fucking years.
No, Gustofer, we weren't ALL like that. I was a "goody two shoes" all through school, and never took a drink; I didn't actually "party", either. My social activities were with my extended family, usually, and they didn't use alcohol.

However, I agree that the matter is BS and should be ignored. Kavanaugh has denied the event, and the witness identified by the accuser has also denied it--what more should anyone want?

flashguy




Texan by choice, not accident of birth
September 17, 2018, 02:05 AM
KevinCW
quote:
Originally posted by bigdeal:
Let me put this as bluntly as possible. If this woman didn't given enough of a damn over 35 years to report this 'so called' incident, why should I (or anyone else) give a damn about it now. Go the hell away.

Next up...Let's vote.


This.

#Lookatmetoo





Strive to live your life so when you wake up in the morning and your feet hit the floor, the devil says "Oh crap, he's up."
September 17, 2018, 02:23 AM
911Boss
And I’ll Just add this as well...

Polygraphs rely on on stress to indicate deception, and that stress in large part is the result of facing some sort of consequences (not getting the job, losing the job, etc. ) for not being truthful. As well as the inherent stress of being “caught” in a lie.

I would be stressed if I say “No I didn’t do heroin in high school” when I have a sealed juvenile record that proved otherwise or there were a lot of people who could refute my claim. The chance of being found out increases the stress.

If I only did it once, by myself with some horse I found in the basement of a deserted house and no one else was around and I never told anyone about it, then I could lie with impunity knowing nothing could be presented to contradict my story.

No consequences to be faced with her story, and if she is a righteous believer in “anything for the cause” or “the ends justify the means” then I imagine that would greatly improves ones odds of “successfully” passing the test.

Especially when it is being administered by a person (former FBI or not) being paid by a party who has a particular expected outcome in mind.






What part of "...Shall not be infringed" don't you understand???


September 17, 2018, 03:44 AM
grumpy1
Interesting article about what might happen next with the Brett Kavanaugh confirmation. I was not aware about this part assuming the article is accurate.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/fe...ughs-nomination-now/

"What do the Republicans on the Senate Judiciary Committee, particularly Sens. Ben Sasse of Nebraska and Jeff Flake of Arizona, do? The Senate Judiciary Committee has a 11-10 Republican majority. So one Republican refusing to back Kavanaugh would at least briefly stall the nomination. Flake and Sasse are regular Trump critics. The Arizona senator has already indicated that he is no longer comfortable backing Kavanaugh — at least for now — and wants a scheduled committee vote on Sept. 20 delayed. That is big. McConnell could still bring the nomination to the full Senate if it fails in the Judiciary Committee. But if Flake is a “no,” I think that might have a real impact on other potential swing senators in this process."
September 17, 2018, 06:20 AM
Seayall
quote:
Originally posted by bigdeal:
Let me put this as bluntly as possible. If this woman didn't given enough of a damn over 35 years to report this 'so called' incident, why should I (or anyone else) give a damn about it now. Go the hell away.

Next up...Let's vote.


I agree 100 percent. I was just thinking the same thing.
September 17, 2018, 06:29 AM
parabellum
And you guys are STILL talking about this nonsense!! You are allowing yourselves to be lead around by the nose, guys. Wake up.
September 17, 2018, 06:42 AM
JDSigManiac
quote:
Originally posted by 911Boss:
And I’ll Just add this as well...

Polygraphs rely on on stress to indicate deception, and that stress in large part is the result of facing some sort of consequences (not getting the job, losing the job, etc. ) for not being truthful. As well as the inherent stress of being “caught” in a lie.

I would be stressed if I say “No I didn’t do heroin in high school” when I have a sealed juvenile record that proved otherwise or there were a lot of people who could refute my claim. The chance of being found out increases the stress.

If I only did it once, by myself with some horse I found in the basement of a deserted house and no one else was around and I never told anyone about it, then I could lie with impunity knowing nothing could be presented to contradict my story.

No consequences to be faced with her story, and if she is a righteous believer in “anything for the cause” or “the ends justify the means” then I imagine that would greatly improves ones odds of “successfully” passing the test.

Especially when it is being administered by a person (former FBI or not) being paid by a party who has a particular expected outcome in mind.


This is absolutely correct. Add to it that many within the FBI have shown their true colors as of late and the fact that the examiner can assist the examinee by artfully crafting the questions, really renders the test questionable. Also, under circumstances where the examinee is paying the examiner, there is a financial motivation to get to the desired result. This can be accomplished by asking the same questions over and over until the examinee becomes desensitized to any perceived stress of getting caught. For example, the test could be administered 3, 10 or 20 times, and even one version with no deception indicated will “prove” the examinee passed. These are not admissible for a reason because the science does not stand up under scrutiny.
September 17, 2018, 06:44 AM
Cookster
Looks like Kavanaugh's mother, Martha, was the presiding judge in a foreclosure case in 1996 involving the accuser's parents.

Credit the link above to a 'comment' posted to this article on The Conservative Treehouse.
__________


__________
"I'd rather have a bottle in front of me than a frontal labotomy."
September 17, 2018, 07:04 AM
justjoe
Grassley says the vote on Kavanaugh will go forward without delay.

https://townhall.com/tipsheet/...t-kavanaugh-n2519528


______________________________________________________

"You get much farther with a kind word and a gun than with a kind word alone."
September 17, 2018, 07:07 AM
sigfreund
quote:
Originally posted by JDSigManiac:
These are not admissible for a reason because the science does not stand up under scrutiny.


Even without test manipulation shenanigans, anyone with extensive experience observing the results of criminal investigation polygraphs should know they are not infallible, and despite the fact that the exams under such circumstances should be the most reliable. The CIA officer Aldrich Ames passed a poly at the height of his activities in revealing some of the most sensitive CIA secrets to his Soviet handlers. On the other hand, an examiner told me that a suspect in the theft of military machine guns had highest “deception indicated” score he’d ever gotten. Later investigation conclusively proved that the examinee (and several others who also “failed”) had absolutely no involvement in the crime. I have personally observed other innocent suspects fail polygraph exams and demonstrably guilty ones pass.

I don’t recall the details now, but a few years ago a Federal government organization even recommended that they not be used in conjunction with security clearance background investigations.

Even assuming that an exam was conducted properly, the results in a case like this are meaningless.




6.4/93.6

“Wise men talk because they have something to say; fools, because they have to say something.”
— Plato
September 20, 2018, 10:23 AM
parabellum
Reopened, since we seem to be coming to the end of this ridiculous, shameful attempt to derail a qualified candidate.
September 20, 2018, 10:53 AM
chellim1
Yay!
Big Grin

Chuck Grassley has essentially told the Democrats and their Lying Stooge Ford to either shit or get off the pot. With everything that has happened and the facts as we know them, such as they are, the Dems seem to have stepped on a rake. Instead of torpedoing Trump's SCOTUS nominee and energizing their base, they have done exactly the opposite as we head into the home stretch towards the Midterms.



"Some things are apparent. Where government moves in, community retreats, civil society disintegrates and our ability to control our own destiny atrophies. The result is: families under siege; war in the streets; unapologetic expropriation of property; the precipitous decline of the rule of law; the rapid rise of corruption; the loss of civility and the triumph of deceit. The result is a debased, debauched culture which finds moral depravity entertaining and virtue contemptible."
-- Justice Janice Rogers Brown

"The United States government is the largest criminal enterprise on earth."
-rduckwor
September 20, 2018, 11:05 AM
darthfuster
Welcome to the court Mr. Cavanaugh. Next up RBG. Swing low sweet chariot...



You’re a lying dog-faced pony soldier
September 20, 2018, 11:22 AM
sdy
Grassley sent the DEMs a smoking letter

"This is but the latest - and most serious - of your side's abuse of this confirmation process"







September 20, 2018, 11:31 AM
PASig
I pray to God the Republicans keep their spines about this whole BS affair, but I fear they may puss out at the last second.

Rush Limbaugh had something the other day about the lawyer who Kavanaugh has hired, she apparently specializes in defamation and is a real bulldog. It would be ideal to see HER question this Christine Ford and not a bunch of "old white men attacking a defenseless woman" as the Democrats will screech about I'm sure.
Roll Eyes


September 20, 2018, 11:44 AM
synthplayer
Grassley's letter is epic! I LOVE it! Thanks for posting, sdy.



I found what you said riveting.
September 20, 2018, 11:46 AM
ChicagoSigMan
Got to hand to to the Republicans this time. Normally they do their best to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory, but they have played this one very well. It seems Feinstein screwed the pooch by bringing this allegation as a last minute ambush. Not only did it taint the accusation, but it looks like it was perhaps the straw that broke the camel's back in terms of the GOPs patience for Democratic abuse of the process. Even Sen. Collins is pissed off.

And an interesting bit just posted on PowerLine PowerLine:

"But as to Dr. Ford’s polygraph, did she in fact “pass” it? Buried way down in the original Washington Post story is the only reference to the matter, worded this way:

On the advice of Katz, who said she believed Ford would be attacked as a liar if she came forward, Ford took a polygraph test administered by a former FBI agent in early August. The results, which Katz provided to The Post, concluded that Ford was being truthful when she said a statement summarizing her allegations was accurate.

Let the end of that sentence sink in slowly, for the wording is strange indeed. This sounds like the polygraph measured a tautology. “Is this your statement?” “Yes.” “Congratulations: You passed!” Perhaps the Post reporter, Emma Brown, is merely sloppy, but note that the story doesn’t literally claim that Ford “passed” a polygraph.

A Power Line reader with a background in sex crimes prosecution flagged this detail:

As a sex crimes/homicide prosecutor for many years, to my ears, this wording was purposefully written to mislead. Look at what it does not say. The reporter does not say that the polygraph found the accuser credible when she said that Kavanaugh committed this act. And from my experience that would be because the accuser was either not asked that question, the result of her response was inconclusive, or that she was found deceptive to that question."
September 20, 2018, 11:54 AM
Balzé Halzé
quote:
Originally posted by ChicagoSigMan:
Got to hand to to the Republicans this time. Normally they do their best to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory, but they have played this one very well. It seems Feinstein screwed the pooch by bringing this allegation as a last minute ambush. Not only did it taint the accusation, but it looks like it was perhaps the straw that broke the camel's back in terms of the GOPs patience for Democratic abuse of the process. Even Sen. Collins is pissed off.


Yes, i agree.

And I don't think the Republicans will cave on this. The Supreme Court is too important, and they know it. It's no time to be weak kneed jelly bellies.

The dems have way overplayed this. The nonsense they are spewing on tv is so contrived and simply absurd on its face. They're calling this woman a "survivor" for chrissakes. Roll Eyes


~Alan

Acta Non Verba
NRA Life Member (Patron)
God, Family, Guns, Country

Men will fight and die to protect women... because women protect everything else. ~Andrew Klavan

"Once there was only dark. If you ask me, light is winning." ~Rust Cohle
September 20, 2018, 11:56 AM
PASig
quote:
Originally posted by Balzé Halzé:


The dems have way overplayed this.



They nearly ALWAYS overplay their hand, it's like they can't help themselves.