WAGD - We're All Gonna Die!

1 million Florida buildings will be overrun by sea-level rise by 2100, study shows Story by Jim Waymer, USA TODAY NETWORK • 5h ago

Storms that ride in on seas rising due to global warming will displace millions of Floridians in low-lying areas by century's end, according to a new analysis by a flood-risk research group.

Well before then, a higher ocean will force many to elevate their homes, similar to stilted homes on North Carolina's Outer Banks, or else endure deadly surging floodwaters and sky-high insurance costs.

The lure of living beachside has long been Florida's biggest draw. But with sea levels expected to rise one foot by 2030 and another three feet by the end of the century, many dream homes could become nightmares.

"If nobody acts, if nothing changes, by the end of the century there are approximately 1 million buildings that will be inundated in Florida," said Adrian Santiago Tate, CEO/cofounder of HighTide Intelligence, a flood-risk data company that spun out of a research group at Stanford University. About 90% of those buildings are single-family homes. "We wanted to make this abstract idea of flooding mean something to people."

Don't believe it? Search your address on HighTide Intelligence's platform Arkly.com and see for yourself. The site's a work in progress, so not every home is there but if your home is, and at low elevation, it likely will pop up as at "high-risk" of flooding and property damages.

Floridians already are feeling the pain. After last year's hurricane season, Florida homeowners watched their premiums double or triple or got letters cancelling their policies. More than a dozen insurance companies either went belly up or just bailed on Florida altogether.

Satellite Beach and other coastal cities for years have been warning residents in the most vulnerable spots to start planning countermeasures now. To bring concrete data to those warnings, Satellite Beach hired HighTide Intelligence to do a $295,000, three-year study to assess flood risk from rising seas. The analysis was paid for in part by a $275,000 grant the city received from the Florida Department of Environmental Protection (DEP) to study ways to make the city more resilient to flooding and sea-level rise. The city chipped in $20,000.

Sparked in part by the Satellite Beach project, HighTide decided to make its statewide dataset of building-level flood risk available to the public in a new user-friendly website, Arkly.com.

Insurers and risk managers use the term "hundred-year storms" when assessing flooding risk. Such storms have about a 1% chance of striking in any given year based on historical data.

But don't think such storms only roll around every 100 years. With global warming, such storms are striking with increasing frequency.

Statewide, HighTide found that within Florida's 35 coastal counties, a once-in-a-century storm would:

Flood at least 1.28 million buildings, with potential for $261 billion in losses (2020 dollars).
By 2030, as the sea levels rise, it's 1.3 million buildings and $270 billion.
By 2050, it's 1.6 million buildings and $321 billion in losses.
Then by 2100, it's 2.4 million buildings and whopping $624.5 billion in losses.
"Satellite Beach gets some credit for this," Santiago Tate, CEO/cofounder of HighTide Intelligence, said of the city's proactive stance on planning for sea-level rise. "They really wanted us to focus on the element of communicating risk."

And for thousands in this small city of just 11,200 residents, that risk is mounting. Unless the city prepares, rising seas and powerful storms will put 2,200 households in Satellite Beach — half the city's total — at risk and could inflict $142 million in flood damages to buildings by 2050, according to HighTide's study.

Local governments can get insurance discounts for residents from Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) by conducting floodplain management activities that qualify for points in what's called the Community Rating System (CRS). Part of Satellite Beach's effort is to improve the city's rating.

Most of the vulnerable homes and infrastructure are on the city's west side, along the low-lying banks of the Indian River Lagoon.

More at Link

Sure thing Greta.

There is one thing about the quoted story that makes me doubt the whole thing. Nowhere in it does HighTide, Inc. CEO Adrian Santiago call for "more research into the matter" (meaning more funding for his group). Without that proviso, his credentials as a researcher have to be questioned.

Sounds like the real estate people are trying to sell more penthouses.

I thought Miami, AND New York were ALREADY supposed to be under water! Didn't Al Gore tell us so? The Arctic Ice Cap was going to melt and the Sea Level was going to rise like 20 feet!

Turns out that's NOT an 'Inconvenient Truth' after all...

How much you wanna bet that 'Sea Levels' do NOT rise one foot (or even one inch) by 2030! It would seem that the business model of HighTide Intelligence is to target those with limited intelligence, or a lack thereof, and that the only resulting benefit will be a financial one for HighTide Intelligence themselves!

This message has been edited. Last edited by: nhracecraft,

Today CNN reported this, the hottest day ever.

https://www.cnn.com/2023/07/05...nino-intl/index.html

I guess it depends on how you define the word, ever.

Talked to a guy a week ago, the reason moose numbers are down in MI & MN is due to climate change. He saw it on TV.

This climate change supports other types of trees & vegetation in the forest(according to this show). There was no mention of timber wolves killing many of the moose calves & plenty of adults.

OBTW, logging & timber companies still operate, cutting similar trees as 50+ years ago.

This is the new religion to many.

quote:

1 million Florida buildings will be overrun by sea-level rise by 2100, study shows Story by Jim Waymer, USA TODAY NETWORK • 5h ago

Storms that ride in on seas rising due to global warming will displace millions of Floridians in low-lying areas by century's end,....

"If nobody acts... if nothing changes, by the end of the century there are approximately 1 million buildings that will be inundated in Florida"......

The old "if nobody acts" threat.

Some people are too stupid to understand the difference between sea level rise and shoreline erosion.

"Oh! I'm frightened. Hold me!"

Climate change: Formerly known as weather.

RMD

As I was told many years ago...

No one gets out of this life alive.

quote:

Originally posted by mesabi:
Some people are too stupid to understand the difference between sea level rise and shoreline erosion.

I've always wondered how one calculates an accurate sea level. Tides are variable, waves are variable. Weather systems move ocean waters creating slightly higher or lower areas. As you mentioned, shorelines erode. Tectonics and other geologic forces cause land to uplift or subside.

They say the groundwater pumped out for human use has caused about 6mm of ocean level rise. Until very recently this was not known, so any claims of measured ocean levels did not take this into consideration.

The planet has been in a post-glacial period for tens of thousands of years. There is no way to precisely identify what climate changes are due to human activity.

Roll all that together and it seems that any claim about sea level is at best a WAG.

The good news is if we just pay more in taxes and/or give up more freedoms we can make the sea level not raise right? Isn’t that always the deal.

Also good news is I’m about 5 miles inland at about 100-120 feet elevation so I’m good and my kids /grandkids will get the beachfront home !

I’m gonna need a reassuring hug after reading that.

Guess no one has told all the people moving to FL that.

I am also pretty sure according to Al Gore FL should already be underwater.

If ya'all just quit pissing in the ocean, we'll be just fine.

It's a dilemma for these con artists. If they make the fake disaster too near in the future, their claims get disproven before too long, just like angry little Greta's claim of five years ago which has now expired, and if they claim the disaster is far in the future, when almost all people old enough to comprehend their false claims will be dead, even those who are inclined to take this stupid shit seriously, don't take it all that seriously.

These 'climate change' assholes fall into to two broad categories: those who make the claims, knowing these claims are pure fabrications, put forth as a means of controlling people, and those who actually believe the bullshit being spewed. The former are evil, the latter are stupid, but both are, in their own way, dangerous.

welp,,

that is 77 or so years from now,

surely I won't be here to give a shit,

surely Greta won't be here to say her little bitchy words,


and likely Algore will be gone too,


fuckem,


meanwhile a quick googley search

this group says, global rise of 10-20 CM (centimeters) in the past 100 yrs, (almost 6 inches)



http://gps.alaska.edu/jeff/Cla...3_tides_sealevel.pdf


and this one says

1.2 millimeters, form 19oo to 1990

https://ocean.si.edu/through-t...-seas/sea-level-rise



guessing they are like most weather witches, all guesswork and conjecture?

Tell you what, if this is still a concern in 50 years and I am still around I promise I will become concerned.

Deal?