Here are the critical races as I see them which GOP could pick up, or in the case of OH and PA, win in a very close race where GOP incumbent has retired.
Pickup (I count Alaska because Murkowski)
1. Alaska
2. Arizona
3. Colorado (Yeah, I know, Joe)
4. Georgia
5. Nevada
6. New Hampshire
7. Washington

And these two crucial races
1. Ohio
2. Pennsylvania

Question:
How many of these 9 seats will GOP win this election?

Choices:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

 

I have no idea. But am praying that somehow Tiffany Smiley can beat the old hag in Wa. State.

post-RED TSUNAMI Congress:

Senate-54 or 55
House-250+

Many of the “lean-Dem” and “toss-up” races will break Repub, especially when the Independents and Undecideds cast their votes.

Already getting reports that SanFranNan will “retire/resign” after the “Red Wedding Election” on Tuesday, and hand-off seat to daughter. Yes, “Special Election” would be required, but no problem as it is San Francisco.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/ne...mother-Congress.html

You forgot an option

Didn't forget "0".

quote:

Originally posted by old rugged cross:
I have no idea. But am praying that somehow Tiffany Smiley can beat the old hag in Wa. State.

You and me both but I'm not holding my breath for it to happen.

Jim

I think 7 of these 9.

Colorado and Washington for the Demonrats. But, the others the GOP takes.

Seeing Fetterman lose will be particularly pleasant.

I said 8.

Call me a cock-eyed optimist.

Go on, do it.

Isn't Senator Lee's seat In Utah in play between him and a fake conservative that has vowed not to vote with the GOP? I'd think that would also be a very important battle to watch...

I think the beatdown that is coming for the Democrats is going to be even worse than 1994.


I was watching Blue Bloods and Diners, Drive-In’s and Dives last night and this Obama ad must’ve come on about seven times, warning about the end of democracy, the end of the world, if we all don’t vote Democrat. Literally at the end begs people to “vote Democrat!”

Their internal polling must be BAD, and they are in a panic

I don’t mean to be a Debbie Downer, but it ALL depends on if the Repubs can overcome the cheating. I no longer have faith in a FAIR election. It’s still FREE, however.

quote:

Isn't Senator Lee's seat In Utah in play between him and a fake conservative that has vowed not to vote with the GOP? I'd think that would also be a very important battle to watch...

I didn't include that because McMuffin is going to go down the toilet; and because Lee is the incumbent.
I only included incumbent dems where the R has a good chance to win; or in the case of Ohio and Pennsylvania, the two R incumbents (Portman and Toomey) have retired, and they are very tight races.

quote:

Originally posted by thumperfbc:
Isn't Senator Lee's seat In Utah in play between him and a fake conservative that has vowed not to vote with the GOP? I'd think that would also be a very important battle to watch...

That seat is not in play. Lee will run away with it.

^^^From your lips (or keyboard) to God's ears...

All of them, until it's officially declared otherwise.

I'm very optimistic, but now is the time to push for results and keep an eye out for shenanigans rather than count unhatched chickens.

quote:

Originally posted by Balzé Halzé:

quote:

Originally posted by thumperfbc:
Isn't Senator Lee's seat In Utah in play between him and a fake conservative that has vowed not to vote with the GOP? I'd think that would also be a very important battle to watch...

That seat is not in play. Lee will run away with it.

Good to hear. Senator Cruz has talked about it a couple times in the past 2 weeks or so and I interpreted his words to be a bit more dire.

The distribution of votes is a lovely bell curve with a slight skew rightward.
Optimistic, but not unrealistic.

Alaska probably not. With ranked choice voting now, Begich and Palin will split the conservative vote and Peltola will take the seat. She won the special election to finish out Don Young's term with only 37% of the vote. Lots of outside money flowing into her campaign and she is saturating local television and social media.

Senate, Murkowski will probably keep her seat. Again, lots of outside money flowing in. The Republican party did not endorse her, she seems to take pride in being a RINO a nd brags about her ability to, "Work across the aisle."

quote:

Originally posted by old rugged cross:
I have no idea. But am praying that somehow Tiffany Smiley can beat the old hag in Wa. State.

News pukes are saying the hag is up in the polls by portion of one percent, fluctuating day by day.

The Murray campaign is entirely aimed at trashing Smiley. I haven't seen a single ad for Murry that talks about what she's done, because she's done nothing. She does promise not to take orders from Mitch McConnell. She says Smiley will eliminate social security, in fact has promised to do so.

I know nothing of the the inside operations and the reliability of the polls but WA has been in the tank for the GDCs for a long time, no real
bright spots on the west side of the Cascades.

I'm hopeful though. There are signs up for Smiley on my Island Paradise and they've stayed up-unusual.

I predict at best, It will be 51/49 in favor of the GOP.

Most likely it will be 50/50 still, with the GOP winning the House.