Farmers' Almanac Predicting "Crisp" Fall 2024

Tired of the heat? Don't fret. Fall is just around the corner, and Farmers' Almanac is forecasting a particularly crisp and cool season ahead in their recently-released Extended Fall Forecast 2024. See below.



Starting with the Northeast, the Farmers' Almanac is forecasting a departure from the clear days the region is accustomed to experiencing in the month of October. Instead, the publication is predicting "twice as many cloudy and showery days as opposed to fair and sunny dry days."

These cooler temps and increased cloud cover could even produce a snowstorm or two by the time November rolls around. Keep an eye out for a coating of white to fall on high-altitude peaks such as Mt. Washington, New Hampshire; Mt. Mansfield, Vermont; and Mount Katahdin, Maine before Halloween.

Moving west, the Farmers' Almanac is predicting a particularly cold and wet winter for the Great Lakes and North Central regions of the country. Temperatures could be "downright frigid" with "lots of fall flakes and rain".

Could this mean ski areas such as Wild Mountain, Minnesota and Trollhaugen, Wisconsin are the first to open in North America? With advanced snowmaking, cold temperatures, and easy-to-operate surface lifts, it wouldn't be the first time that the Midwest stole Colorado's thunder as the region with the first ski area open.

Farmer's Almanac is predicting the wet and cold weather to stretch through the entirety of the West Coast, despite the 79% chance of La Niña forming between October and January. La Niña typically creates drier weather patterns for the Southwest and wetter weather for the Northwest.
The publication has identified two snow storms that could impact millions of Americans in the month of November. They are as follows:

November 8-11: An early-season heavy snowfall is expected across the North Central states.
November 16-19: A wintry mix with up to one foot of wet snow is possible over higher elevations in the Northeast and New England states.

It's important to note that these storms are entirely speculative, but the fact that significant snow could fall in less than three months is enough to get the juices of any skier flowing.

Long range weather forecasts are more than a shot in the dark these days, but don't freak out if the predictions are not in your favor. The forecast will change, and we'll make sure to keep you informed.

Stay tuned in here at POWDER Magazine for all of stories related to La Niña, Winter '24/'24 forecasts, and the Farmers' Almanac you're looking for.

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I took a avalanche safety course a number of years ago, which was jointly hosted by the Colorado Avalanche Information Center ("CAIC") and the Colorado Mountain Club. The course included hands on analysis of snow conditions at Berthoud Pass (somewhat of ground zero for avalanches in Colorado) plus lectures. The Farmers Almanac has winter forecasts that go back a really long time, however the CAIC's winter records went back only some 60 years at the time of the avalanche course that I attended.

The CAIC compared Farmers Almanac winter forecasts for the Colorado mountains to actual results over those decades. The CAIC stated that the Farmers Almanac was 51% accurate in predicting the basics -- temperature & moisture. In other words, 1% more accurate than the flip of a coin.

I don't know about predictions vs. actual for other parts of the country, but the Farmers Almanac doesn't mean much for my neck of the woods.

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The CAIC stated that weather forecasts are becoming increasing more accurate as data input and computer models improve. However, they said that anything more than a month out is pretty much a pipe dream. Even 2-3 weeks out is challenging.

It's 17:30 hrs and 96 deg outside . I just can't imagine a crisp Fall right now .

My vote is for the Farmers Almanac prediction for this Fall. So I'm assuming the Farmers Almanac is Republican.

I hope they're right. We got home from WY yesterday, and this place is a freaking sauna/jungle. I was gone for less than two weeks and vines have taken over my front porch. I'm hoping for an early fall and a good blizzard or two this winter.

It's fun, I suppose, to read the Almanac and think/hope it's accurate. But, when I let the dog out to do his business this morning he turned around three times instead of his usual two. That means it's going to be a warm fall this year. Both are equally accurate.

Between autumn equinox and winter solstice, I predict for Houston:

the first official day of fall in Houston will be a "brisk" 91 degrees

we'll get 14" of rain

we'll have about 3 weeks of 64 day / 45 night

the first frost will be Dec 10th

All of the above are averages. In other words, their brisk prediction depends on definition of brisk and shower filled is normal.

I'll wait to see just how 'wooly' the caterpillars get.

I would love that. I really wood. The wood is in the shed. Tractor is ready. I would love an epic winter of snow and cold.

Who writes the Farmers Almanac weather predictions every year?

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Originally posted by old rugged cross:
an epic winter of snow and cold.

I'm not a superfan of cold, but the last few years have ripped us off around here with respect to snow. Bring it!

Yesterday, it was 87F, felt like 92F.

Today the high was 66F

We went from Hell's front porch to fall in 12 hrs.

Yes, looking forward to the Fall as always, though, this past March, we had our HVAC system replaced and it has been a cool, worry-free summer for the wife and me.

“CAIC stated that the Farmers Almanac was 51% accurate in predicting the basics -- temperature & moisture. In other words, 1% more accurate than the flip of a coin.”

51% accurate is better than the performance of the local daily forecast here recently.

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Keep an eye out for a coating of white to fall on high-altitude peaks such as Mt. Washington, New Hampshire; Mt. Mansfield, Vermont; and Mount Katahdin, Maine before Halloween.

Anyone who’s lived in NH, or greater New England, realizes the fallacy of this statement. I’ve been on the top of Mt. Washington in JULY and been in a whiteout! Forecasting snow by the end of October is an almost certain bet and has been since the last ice age!

outside of the past couple weeks MN has been cool - this week (and throughout the 10 day) has us in the low 70s for highs and 50s overnight (normal temps are upper 80s - mid 90s this time of year). It's glorious!