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Now in Florida |
Democrat Karen Berg beat Republican Bill Ferko in a special election to fill the seat held by Republican Ernie Harris. And it wasn't even close. Any locals have any insight here? Is this an outlier or something unique going on, or is this a bad sign for November? Link | ||
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Info Guru |
Jefferson County KY is blue. One of only two blue counties in 2016. “Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passions, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence.” - John Adams | |||
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Member |
It is in Jefferson County, part of Louisville Jefferson metro area, not exactly a place that has been republican friendly for the last few years. The fact it was Republican held for so long should be a bigger part of the story, not that the Republicans lost it. | |||
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Now in Florida |
Apparently the Senate district also includes Oldham County, which is as red as Jefferson is blue. And the GOP held the seat for 25 years, so something is going on here... | |||
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Info Guru |
The district also voted for the democrat governor in the 2018 governor election. https://www.kentucky.com/news/...rticle243096481.html
I don't think it's any kind of harbinger for 2020. It was a special election and the dems got more of their voters out in a roughly equal district - the reps have more registered voters but not by a lot. The assessment going in was that it was a dead heat. https://louisvillefuture.com/a...ng-louisville-seats/
“Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passions, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence.” - John Adams | |||
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Member |
KY26 Senate is the far NE portion of dense metro JeffCo and NuLu/Butchertown (all heavily Dem), while that portion of Oldham Co is more Republican but widely dispersed in population (rural). The “white privileged guilt” is heavy in that portion of JeffCo. The KY Senate is still heavy Repub. What is currently going on in Metro Louisville/JeffCo broke out after many of the mail-in ballots had already been cast. Dems couldn’t even steal their own primary for US Senate nominee for the BLM candidate. Kentucky remains heavy Trump country, and McConnell will have no problem retaining his seat in November. Kentucky Legislature will remain Republican, as the outlining portions of the State are watching the metro areas of a Louisville and Lexington and are appalled at what’s happening. The Congress 3rd District is currently represented by Dem John Yarmuth, who has been suspiciously quiet as to the events in the Metro Lou/JeffCo. The entire 3rd Congressional District Is PISSED OFF at Dems. Could even flip, as Yarmuth has been in Congress since 2007. --------------------- DJT-45/47 MAGA !!!!! "Sometimes I wonder whether the world is being run by smart people who are putting us on, or by imbeciles who really mean it." — Mark Twain “Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard.” — H. L. Mencken | |||
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Member |
I hate polls. But.....according to an OAN poll Trump is up 4 points in Arizona. He won Arizona by four points in 2016. Tells me he’ll be in good shape if we all do our part in Nov. https://www.oann.com/oan-gravi...-biden-by-4-in-ariz/ ——————————————— The fool hath said in his heart, There is no God. Psalm 14:1 | |||
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Member |
2BobTanner - excellent, cogent analysis. __________________________ "Sooner or later, wherever people go, there's the law. And sooner or later, they find out that God's already been there." -- John Wayne as Chisum | |||
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