How well are your retirement accounts performing?

April 02, 2018, 09:29 PM

quote:
Originally posted by soncorn:
quote:
Originally posted by JALLEN:
I was a subscriber to Investors Business Daily for years.

It wasn’t my cup of tea, but I often looked at their CANSLIP technique and wondered if it could produce acceptable results with appropriate risks.

Does anyone follow it? I see they have local meetings around the country, so it must be reasnably popular.

Any impressions, experience, etc?

Do you mean CANSLIM?

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/canslim.asp

Of course. Sorry for the typo.

Luckily, I have enough willpower to control the driving ambition that rages within me.

When you had the votes, we did things your way. Now, we have the votes and you will be doing things our way. This lesson in political reality from Lyndon B. Johnson

"Some things are apparent. Where government moves in, community retreats, civil society disintegrates and our ability to control our own destiny atrophies. The result is: families under siege; war in the streets; unapologetic expropriation of property; the precipitous decline of the rule of law; the rapid rise of corruption; the loss of civility and the triumph of deceit. The result is a debased, debauched culture which finds moral depravity entertaining and virtue contemptible." - Justice Janice Rogers Brown

October 11, 2018, 01:49 PM

chellim1

Time to take out the old 25K hats...

"Some things are apparent. Where government moves in, community retreats, civil society disintegrates and our ability to control our own destiny atrophies. The result is: families under siege; war in the streets; unapologetic expropriation of property; the precipitous decline of the rule of law; the rapid rise of corruption; the loss of civility and the triumph of deceit. The result is a debased, debauched culture which finds moral depravity entertaining and virtue contemptible."
-- Justice Janice Rogers Brown

"The United States government is the largest criminal enterprise on earth."
-rduckwor

May 28, 2019, 02:56 PM

FishOn

I'm out of the market today . It's been a hell of a 10 year run, since the March '09 666 S&P lows.

Taught CAMSLIM back in the early 90s. IBD is a good source for data. Just have to know how to read their charts.

For those who say you can not time the markets---that is correct day to day. It is not correct, if you follow the Fed and the interest rate cycles. Those are 7-12 year cycles. Overlay the historical Fed-funds rate cycles with the S&P, and you will see.

May 28, 2019, 03:55 PM

FishOn

All I am saying, is this is a good time to review your risk profile. Be careful IMO.

May 29, 2019, 07:51 AM

radioman

quote:
Originally posted by FishOn:
I'm out of the market today .

where is your money now? money market, CD's? what interest rate are you getting?

quote:
Overlay the historical Fed-funds rate cycles with the S&P, and you will see.

Do you have a chart you can post or a link to such a chart?

May 30, 2019, 11:51 AM

FishOn

I can not link to my subscription charting service. But you can look at this historical chart of the Fed Funds rate, and note the recessions after the peaks in the Fed Funds cycle. You can print a long term chart of the S&P and note the declines shortly after peaks in the Fed Funds. Highly correlated. This is not a short term market timing strategy. But it is a statistically reliable long term strategy to manage risk. I should mention I have no affiliation with this linked site. I just did a search for a Fed Funds historical chart. I am only studying data since ~1970, even though these charts go back further. My concern is how will the Fed fight the next recession, given that interest rates will be declining from a much lower peak than previous cycles. They'll be using Cali mags?

It is better to be early than late imo, when it comes to the market. Things happen fast. I am glad to leave some returns on the table for those more able to carry risk.

https://www.macrotrends.net/20...ate-historical-chart

https://www.macrotrends.net/25...rical-annual-returns