quote:

Originally posted by HayesGreener:
Yes, skeet should be especially sporty!

you shoot it and the guy 2 stations down ate a facefull of #8 pellets.

quote:

Originally posted by braillediver:
It'll be amazing if any of us are left alive by tomorrow.

No kidding. The Miami mayor just called this storm a "nuclear hurricane."

Hurricane Irma Discussion Number 43
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
500 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2017

Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter plane sampling Irma indicate
that the hurricane has not recovered yet from its interaction
with Cuba. It is estimated that the maximum winds are 110 kt. Given
the excellent satellite presentation, the lower pressure just
reported by the NOAA plane, and the fact that the hurricane will
move over the warm waters of the Straits of Florida, some
intensification is anticipated during the next 24 hours. Irma is
expected to remain a very dangerous hurricane while it moves near or
over the Florida Keys and near or over the Florida Peninsula. After
48 hours, Irma will be moving farther inland and weakening.

Radar data indicate that Irma is moving toward the west-northwest
at about 8 kt. The turn toward the northwest and north-northwest is
about to begin since the hurricane is already at the western edge of
the subtropical ridge. The track guidance continues to be tightly
packed, and the bulk of the models take the hurricane over the
Florida Keys and near or over the Florida Peninsula. The NHC
forecast is in the middle of the guidance envelope, and given the
good agreement among models, the confidence in the track forecast is
high.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. Irma is expected bring life-threatening wind and storm surge to
the Florida Keys and southwestern Florida as an extremely dangerous
major hurricane tonight through Saturday. Preparations in southwest
Florida should be completed within the next few hours, as
tropical-storm-force winds are expected to begin tonight.

2. There is an imminent danger of life-threatening storm surge
flooding in portions of central and southern Florida, including the
Florida Keys, where a Storm Surge Warning is in effect. The threat
of catastrophic storm surge flooding is highest along the southwest
coast of Florida, where 10 to 15 feet of inundation above ground
level is expected. This is a life-threatening situation, and
everyone in these areas should immediately follow any evacuation
instructions from local officials.

3. Irma will bring life-threatening wind impacts to much of Florida
regardless of the exact track of the center. Wind hazards from Irma
are also expected to spread northward through much of Georgia
and portions of South Carolina and Alabama.

4. Irma is expected to produce very heavy rain and inland flooding.
Total rain accumulations of 10 to 20 inches, with isolated amounts
of between 20 and 25 inches, are expected over the Florida Keys, the
Florida peninsula, and southeast Georgia from Saturday through
Monday. Significant river flooding is possible in these areas. Early
next week Irma will also bring periods of heavy rain to much of the
southeast United States where an average of 2 to 6 inches is
forecast, with isolated higher amounts, from North and South
Carolina to Tennessee and eastern Alabama. This includes some
mountainous areas which are more prone to flash flooding. Residents
throughout the southeast states should remain aware of the flood
threat and stay tuned to forecasts and warnings.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 09/2100Z 23.4N 80.5W 110 KT 125 MPH
12H 10/0600Z 24.1N 81.3W 115 KT 130 MPH
24H 10/1800Z 25.7N 82.0W 120 KT 140 MPH
36H 11/0600Z 28.3N 82.6W 100 KT 115 MPH
48H 11/1800Z 31.2N 83.8W 65 KT 75 MPH...INLAND
72H 12/1800Z 35.5N 88.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
96H 13/1800Z 36.1N 89.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
120H 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Avila

quote:

Originally posted by Sig2340:

To our Floridian friends, I truly wish I was there (riding out a major hurricane is a bucket list item). I pray you and yours stay safe and are left with tales of remarkable things like flying gators and generous people.

Come on down! You can stay with me. We are due to get the eye wall late Sunday night/ early Min morning. If you leave now, you should make it. Traffic south shoukd be light.

Can't forget about the cars...

quote:

Originally posted by Balzé Halzé:
No kidding. The Miami mayor just called this storm a "nuclear hurricane."

[NANCYPELOSI]"Well it has a nucleus, that's what the eye is![/NANCYPELOSI]

quote:

Can't forget about the cars..

Sadly some people are that stupid. It always amazes me that more people do not die during these events, considering their behavior.

I was finishing boarding up my house when the neighbor came over to ask how to do it, as he decided it was time. Trouble is, plywood was sold out for miles around yesterday, and Home Depot didn't even open today. Obviously, he must not have been a Boy Scout.

That Jeep should have an interesting paint job, after a little wind whistles through those tie down straps.

Some humor here from Hialeah. I dont speak Spanish but it is funny if you like Three Stooges stuff:

http://www.miamiherald.com/new...rticle172321407.html

Scroll down to the video and watch this idiot. They ought to put him on the Weather Channel.

quote:

Originally posted by Balzé Halzé:

quote:

Originally posted by braillediver:
It'll be amazing if any of us are left alive by tomorrow.

No kidding. The Miami mayor just called this storm a "nuclear hurricane."

And the Governor has given the impression, in no uncertain terms, that if you don't evacuate you are going to die.

Someone coined the phrase "journalistic terrorism" a few pages back. I think that is an appropriate name for it.

NOAA 8pm forecast

^^^Well thank God Virginia's moronic governor declared a state of emergency. It's obviously heading straight for them. They might see some showers!

This area will be innundated by ten feet of water under current forecasts. Some very expensive real estate. Most of the owners are gone, since it is a winter home and they have another residence.

link:

http://www.premiersothebysreal...ita-springs-fl-34134

I wonder how the storm surge responds with the off shore wind direction being it'll be on the west coast? It's spinning counter clockwise.

quote:

Originally posted by Gustofer:

quote:

Originally posted by Balzé Halzé:

quote:

Originally posted by braillediver:
It'll be amazing if any of us are left alive by tomorrow.

No kidding. The Miami mayor just called this storm a "nuclear hurricane."

And the Governor has given the impression, in no uncertain terms, that if you don't evacuate you are going to die.

Someone coined the phrase "journalistic terrorism" a few pages back. I think that is an appropriate name for it.

I didn't evacuate during mandatory evacuation in my area...I'm already dead and will be cremated after the storm

According to these ststs, here on the east coast won't be spared at all from hurricane force winds

Irma has already missed the right turn for Miami, what are the odds she misses the turn for Tampa and just goes straight on in to Houston?

quote:

Originally posted by Scuba Steve Sig:
Irma has already missed the right turn for Miami, what are the odds she misses the turn for Tampa and just goes straight on in to Houston?

Bite your tongue. I don't wish a hurricane on my Florida friends, but we (Houston) can't handle a hurricane right now.

Here are the ensemble models: