Pledge allegiance or pack your bag!
The problem with Socialism is that eventually you run out of other people's money. - Margaret Thatcher
Spread my work ethic, not my wealth
|Gracie Allen is my |
^^ TP, not TV.
|Tinker Sailor Soldier Pie|
bendable, you're a true mensch.
Acta Non Verba Trump Stands Alone...but he fights
NRA Life Member (Patron)
God, Family, Guns, Country
"My guns are always loaded."
What whiskey will not cure, there is no cure.
|Happiness is |
It depends on the level of accuracy you want. I don't need my weight calculated to the tenth of a gram.
So "scientists" are calculating numbers about this virus that are, at best, an educated guess based on historical information. The issue is that these "best guesses" are being taken as gospel as if Moses himself brought the casualty numbers down from the mountain.
People and governments aren't determining the lives and welfare of millions based on the numbers of my bathroom scale. However, the are using these scientific WAGs - and that's all they are, wild ass guesses gathered from using some "science" and statistics - to control the lives of millions both physically and economically.
So please, don't equate the numbers on a bathroom scale to the mass hysteria being perpetuated by these so called scientists.
Icarus flew too close to the sun, but at least he flew.
Not exactly, it's more like they've developed an equation, and the equation has variables for things like how many people each infected person infects, and after how many days, and how long it takes someone to get sick, and how long they stay sick, and things like that.
The estimated values of those variables are taken from observations of the current pandemic, and in general can be very different for epidemics or pandemics of different diseases (or even in different locations, or at different times of year, etc.).
It's the model itself - the equation without the variables filled in - that is validated against past epidemics and pandemics, by entering the estimates for those variables in those past epidemics and pandemics, and seeing how well the model matches up with what actually happened.
Then you can take your estimate of the uncertainty in your estimates for the variables, and work them through the equation, and figure out how much uncertainty there is in the result based on that degree of uncertainty in the inputs.
There are also simpler observational models like "we're seeing the number of cases double every X days."
If Some is Good, and More is Better.....then Too Much, is Just Enough !!
That part is just basic science... error or uncertainty propagation is a part of huge swaths of science and engineering.
|God will always provide|
You're missing the point. You're wearing people down with this stuff. No matter what anyone says to you, you keep coming back with stuff like what I quoted. "Here's some figures, here's some more figures, here's the projection of the framastat in the doohickey..." You should give it a rest.
Go outside and get some fresh air...
Are ya ?!?! There are spooky wee virus thingies out there!
"America is at that awkward stage. It's too late to work within the system,,,, but too early to shoot the bastards." -- Claire Wolfe
"If we let things terrify us, life will not be worth living." -- Seneca the Younger, Roman Stoic philosopher
"The dominant media is no more ``mainstream`` than leftists are liberals." -- me
|Go ahead punk, make my day|
This reminds me of this thread sometimes...
|thin skin can't win|
Maybe a little levity should go right here? (pretty sure I didn't miss this earlier)
Link to original video: https://youtu.be/Z89Q7rFGm8Y
You only have integrity once. - imprezaguy02
|Nosce te ipsum|
The best version ...
My life ambition is to be as cool as Alan Bibey
Skynet went back in time and released the corona virus to soften us up before judgment day. Be afraid, not of the virus, but of the machines that are the virus's masters.
Or it could be that the corona virus is the one that is supposed to kill off all the dogs and cats, reduce humans to a bunch of screaming savages, and make the apes the rightful rulers of this world.
It's got to be one of those two.
NRA Life Member - "Fear God and Dreadnaught"
|Step by step walk the thousand mile road|
For fucks sake, Seattle. Its not enough the fed.gov, state.gov, and local.gov think they've suspended key parts of the First, Second, Fourth, Fifth, and Fourteenth Amendments, now we have the police investigating non-crimes?
To what end, besides intimidation by jackbooted thugs?
Where is AirSoftGuy... I want him to go to Seattle and file a police complaint that someone in a group of homeless people called him "honky" and see what response he gets.
Nice is overrated
"It's every freedom-loving individual's duty to lie to the government."
Airsoftguy, June 29, 2018
|I can't think of|
Is this before or after crying to mom and dad about it?
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