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When will the coronavirus arrive in the US? (Disease: COVID-19; Virus: SARS-CoV-2)

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March 26, 2020, 09:36 AM
roberth
When will the coronavirus arrive in the US? (Disease: COVID-19; Virus: SARS-CoV-2)

March 26, 2020, 10:51 AM
jimmy123x
ERJ- The John Hopkins site is showing 69.210 confirmed cases in U.S. right now and around 920 deaths. I think the CDC's website isn't updated as quickly.

https://www.arcgis.com/apps/op...40299423467b48e9ecf6

Here's the other problem. The tests are very painful. A swab (like a Q-tip) has to be stuck extremely far up your naval cavity. And, the tests are $35-51 (that's COST for the lab) Each to do. I was talking to the owner of the lab that is doing just under 1800 tests a day for over 10% of the states. He has been a very good customer and friend of mine since 2011. The swab has to be tested by molecular testing and only 25 labs in the country are capable of doing the tests aside from Government labs.
March 26, 2020, 11:06 AM
MNSIG
quote:
Originally posted by jimmy123x:
Here's the other problem. The tests are very painful. A swab (like a Q-tip) has to be stuck extremely far up your naval cavity. And, the tests are $35-51 (that's COST for the lab) Each to do. I was talking to the owner of the lab that is doing just under 1800 tests a day for over 10% of the states. He has been a very good customer and friend of mine since 2011. The swab has to be tested by molecular testing and only 25 labs in the country are capable of doing the tests aside from Government labs.



Working on that:

https://www.startribune.com/un...d-19-test/569111292/
March 26, 2020, 11:14 AM
Pipe Smoker
The Coronavirus has greatly reduced auto traffic. I walk 4-5 miles most days here in metropolitan San Diego. Much easier to get across the intersections now.

I jaywalk. But I’m very cautious about auto traffic, and think that I’m safer than pedestrians that do observe the “Don’t Walk” signals, but then proceed across the street staring at their phone, oblivious of potential red light runners.



Serious about crackers
March 26, 2020, 11:18 AM
f2
that's not my field.

medical v economic
March 26, 2020, 11:29 AM
parabellum
quote:
Originally posted by Pipe Smoker:
The Coronavirus has greatly reduced auto traffic.
That's because the fear mongers and the know-nothing sensationlists have managed to screw up the economy over a big bunch of nothing. You heard me- a big bunch of nothing. Don't believe me? Read the stats in the Ann Coulter article on this page.
quote:
We’ll get no BREAKING NEWS alerts for the regular flu deaths (so far this season, more than 23,000, compared to 533 from the coronavirus).

Nor for the more than 3,000 people who die every day of heart disease or cancer. No alerts for the hundreds who die each day from car accidents, illegal aliens and suicide.

Only coronavirus deaths are considered newsworthy.
Every day- EVERY DAY that you have been on this planet- every day, from the moment you popped out of the womb, you have been exposed to all sorts of microbes and viruses and bacteria and all manner of invisible bugs- a trillion trillion squared are on your body right now, and on the surfaces you touch and even the food you eat. Countless little beasties live in and on your body.

23,000 flu deaths, and not a peep from any of the alarmists- because it's normal. Day in, day out, for as long as Man has walked on this rock, influenza has killed a percentage of the human population. Normal. Unfortunate, but normal. Now, here comes a bug that has killed a fraction of a fraction of a fraction of a percent of that, and OHMYGOD!!!!!!!!!1111111 Roll Eyes

A big bunch of nothing, but, oh, all the "experts" are soooooo smart. Right? And people on TV are telling you it's bad. If they're on TV, they're smarter than you and have no personal or corporate-driven agenda. You can believe everything they say. So, the economy is fucked up flatter than hammered shit, but if it saves one life...

I'm so tired of hearing that stupid fucking shit. One life? This country has sent men to war at intervals throughout its entire existence. The very founding of this nation was built on human sacrifice, in the Revolutionary War.

Sorry, no. Wait, I'm not sorry- Just no. No, this "if it saves one life" horse shit is simply not true. No, it is not worth fucking up the lives of 300 million Americans in order to save "one life" so just cut the shit. It sounds great, but it's nothing but horse shit. It's just not true. There are days in American history when we sacrified thousands of lives in just one day. The larger American Civil War battles were murderous affairs- Shiloh, Antietam, et al. So, no, it's not worth it to screw up this entire nation if it saves just one life. Just stop spewing that nonsense.

We don't need to be quarantined and we certainly didn't need to shut the economy down. All these leftist state governors are all but climaxing over fucking up the lives of most people in their states. Hang a few of these assholes in front of the courthouse and the rest will get the idea. Short of that, they're just going to keep screwing with our lives.

Go where you want to go. Shake hands with people. Hug your friends. Eat out at restaurants when they reopen. Stop buying the metric ton of shit and lies that the news media is trying to force feed you. Nothing is wrong.

Nothing

is

wrong

Look at the Coulter article if you don't believe me. Go live your life and stop letting these politicians and reporters frighten you and your family. Imagine what kids must be thinking right now. This is simply, flat-out wrong and we have to stop this shit ASAP.
March 26, 2020, 11:38 AM
Ryanp225
Thanks Para.
I was starting to feel like I was the only one thinking this as I find that everyone around me is fully on board the panic train.
March 26, 2020, 11:39 AM
chellim1
quote:
Only coronavirus deaths are considered newsworthy....
How about the doctors who keep pointing out that the coronavirus is mainly a problem for people over 70 and those with specific health problems?

What if many of those people would have died anyway. What if the coronavirus doesn't meaningfully raise the overall death rate?
But we kill the economy anyway and borrow/print massive amounts of fiat dollars that causes further long-term damage?



"Some things are apparent. Where government moves in, community retreats, civil society disintegrates and our ability to control our own destiny atrophies. The result is: families under siege; war in the streets; unapologetic expropriation of property; the precipitous decline of the rule of law; the rapid rise of corruption; the loss of civility and the triumph of deceit. The result is a debased, debauched culture which finds moral depravity entertaining and virtue contemptible."
-- Justice Janice Rogers Brown

"The United States government is the largest criminal enterprise on earth."
-rduckwor
March 26, 2020, 11:46 AM
Keystoner
I was really looking forward to Barr tearing the Democrats a new one on 3/31 at the judiciary hearing. I put it on my calendar weeks ago before all this shit. Now it's postponed, dammit.



Year V
March 26, 2020, 11:46 AM
DJ_Boston
We live in Naples FL, and it has been a ghost town on the roads here the past few mornings, though for some reason, this morning, it almost seemed normal with regards to traffic. It reminds me of a summer/off season day without the schools being open.

My wife and I both work from home anyway, so we are minimally impacted by the hysteria (so far).

I am glad to see the roads busy today. People want to work and have a life. We are doing take-away tomorrow night to support a local business.


There is something good and motherly about Washington, the grand old benevolent National Asylum for the helpless.
- Mark Twain The Gilded Age

#CNNblackmail #CNNmemewar
March 26, 2020, 11:47 AM
BigNC
I get shit every day from someone because my office is open and running like normal. I tell them that we are taking the same precautions that we take every year during Flu season. Deep cleaning, hand washing and sanitizing.

The other companies in town that do what I do are CLOSED. Not the lobby. The whole business. I'm ramping up efforts to earn their customers' business and it is working.

I'll admit to buying in to the early zombie apocalypse predictions- not that it would but that it could. And I know mutations occur. I assume that the common cold or seasonal influenza could mutate also. I am more worried about a prion like "mad cow" or rabies coming to get me and reanimate the dead.


*****************

Those who would give up essential liberty to purchase a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety. - Ben Franklin
March 26, 2020, 11:53 AM
sigalert
When the book is written a decade from now, Para will be proven right. I think there are lessons to be learned. Like perhaps King Cuomo should have spent 530 million on ventilators in 2015 when he had the chance instead of giving 750 million dollars in credits for solar panels.





“Crisis is the rallying cry of the tyrant.” – James Madison

"Keep your fears to yourself, but share your courage with others." - Robert Louis Stevenson
March 26, 2020, 11:58 AM
mrw
When I bring up that COVID-19 is just a nasty flu with a higher death rate for elderly people hose me well here are figures that support Para:

In the USA 2017 -2018 flu cases were 45,000,000, flu deaths 61,000. Flu death rate 2017- 2018 0.1% mostly all elderly over 65. Flu is also highly contagious. So far in USA COVID-19 73,500 cases, COVID-19 deaths 1,065. COVID-19 death rate 1.4% mostly all elderly over 65. In order for COVID-19 to catch flu cases we would need 161,000 COVID-19 new cases per day every day until December 31, current new cases per day is 13,555. In order for COVID-19 to catch flu deaths we would need 215 COVID-19 new deaths per day every day until December 31, current new cases per day is 241. COVID-19 is not in the same mass killing league as influenza and will be gone in a month or so. Flu R0 is around 1.3 COVID-19 is around RO 2.0, about the same.


mrw

Hand Made Custom Knives
www.sandownforge.com
March 26, 2020, 12:03 PM
holdem
quote:
Originally posted by mrw:
When I bring up that COVID-19 is just a nasty flu with a higher death rate for elderly people hose me well here are figures that support Para:

In the USA 2017 -2018 flu cases were 45,000,000, flu deaths 61,000. Flu death rate 2017- 2018 0.1% mostly all elderly over 65. Flu is also highly contagious. So far in USA COVID-19 73,500 cases, COVID-19 deaths 1,065. COVID-19 death rate 1.4% mostly all elderly over 65. In order for COVID-19 to catch flu cases we would need 161,000 COVID-19 new cases per day every day until December 31, current new cases per day is 13,555. In order for COVID-19 to catch flu deaths we would need 215 COVID-19 new deaths per day every day until December 31, current new cases per day is 241. COVID-19 is not in the same mass killing league as influenza and will be gone in a month or so. Flu R0 is around 1.3 COVID-19 is around RO 2.0, about the same.


Can you provide on where you got those numbers? I would like to use them.
March 26, 2020, 12:08 PM
parabellum
We went through this when Obama was in office- the "bird flu". Why didn't we fuck up the economy and put Americans out of work back then, huh? You know the answer.

Reuters article from 2010:

Swine flu has killed up to 17,000 in U.S.

Seventeen thousand American deaths from that virus. What did you do during that economic shutdown? Oh, wait- WE DIDN'T FUCKING HAVE ONE!!

Figure it out.
March 26, 2020, 12:08 PM
David Lee
Heck, 80 die every year from lightning strikes in the US. We need a huge media drivin panic. Maybe we'll all need to wear a ground strap that touches Mother Earth like a tail.. Big Grin. Draggin our tails around.
March 26, 2020, 12:16 PM
bdylan
History will record this as mass hysteria. I believe I understand the politics of the situation and why the President had to initially go along, but this trillion dollar socialist train wreck is a huge mistake and the country never should have pretended to go on lockdown...it simply will not work here. The stores are packed and I'm sitting in traffic just like always.
March 26, 2020, 12:18 PM
PowerSurge
quote:
Originally posted by Ryanp225:
Thanks Para.
I was starting to feel like I was the only one thinking this as I find that everyone around me is fully on board the panic train.

Not everyone. There’s a lot of us that have been calling this a panic from day 1. And I think those that are panicking watch too much news. I watched about 10 minutes yesterday and it was non stop Wuhan Flu panic.


———————————————
The fool hath said in his heart, There is no God. Psalm 14:1
March 26, 2020, 12:26 PM
David Lee
Did they use ol'fashion street lamps as space ships in War of the Worlds? They looked awful like street lamps.
March 26, 2020, 12:29 PM
mrw
quote:
Originally posted by holdem:
quote:
Originally posted by mrw:
When I bring up that COVID-19 is just a nasty flu with a higher death rate for elderly people hose me well here are figures that support Para:

In the USA 2017 -2018 flu cases were 45,000,000, flu deaths 61,000. Flu death rate 2017- 2018 0.1% mostly all elderly over 65. Flu is also highly contagious. So far in USA COVID-19 73,500 cases, COVID-19 deaths 1,065. COVID-19 death rate 1.4% mostly all elderly over 65. In order for COVID-19 to catch flu cases we would need 161,000 COVID-19 new cases per day every day until December 31, current new cases per day is 13,555. In order for COVID-19 to catch flu deaths we would need 215 COVID-19 new deaths per day every day until December 31, current new cases per day is 241. COVID-19 is not in the same mass killing league as influenza and will be gone in a month or so. Flu R0 is around 1.3 COVID-19 is around RO 2.0, about the same.


Can you provide on where you got those numbers? I would like to use them.


Mostly here.


mrw

Hand Made Custom Knives
www.sandownforge.com