SIGforum.com Main Page The Lounge When will the coronavirus arrive in the US? (Disease: COVID-19; Virus: SARS-CoV-2)
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goodheart |
Maladat: Thanks for posting the Worldometer graphs. Right now we are looking more like Italy a couple of weeks ago than South Korea now. The South Korea graph shows flattening of total cases, and reversal of deaths vs recovery. It will be a week or two before we see any improvement, most likely. _________________________ “ What all the wise men promised has not happened, and what all the damned fools said would happen has come to pass.”— Lord Melbourne | |||
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Quit staring at my wife's Butt |
last month I was at MCT San Diego watching the marines Graduate. 2 days later when we were at Disneyland, I had a sore thought followed by fever, chills, hacking like nothing I had before, wife daughter and Marine boyfriend all had it within days of each other. We went to the doctor tested negative for the flu, this went on for a full month, after the first few days it felt like it was going to go away they it came back. had to sleep sitting up it was pretty bad. His parents and grandparents were there but never got sick to my knowledge. The wife and I are wondering if we had it and never knew it? doctors did not seem to worried about it and we were never tested for it. Now there are confirmed cases of corona at MCT, daughters boyfriend since has gone to Pendleton for combat training and now is in north Carolina for the final leg of being a marine reserve, he still has a nasty cough, we have told him he needs to go see a medic and let them know. We are wondering what we could do at this point? | |||
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Seeker of Clarity |
It's obvious some won't even consider that the outcome of failing at social distancing is an unspeakable disaster. It's a perspective that's hard to break. I was there until I had the gravity of it weigh upon me as we began preparations to receive patients in great numbers. I desperately hope you are all 100% correct. I don't want to be right. I don't want to be close to right. I wan't to be spectacularly unfathomably wrong. So... in that way, we are aligned. Either way, please pray for those who work at the hospitals. Pray you're right too. I will as well. In two weeks, I think we'll know.  | |||
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| Seeker of Clarity |
Commercial lab tests will be more widely available soon (two days where we are). Rationing of them for some time to only people with fever. I too wonder if it's been on a rip earlier. I know people with pneumonia this year (my teenage daughter, and a heathy 40ish man) , and I never had in the past. We'll see. So hard to understand in these early days. In 6 months to a year we'll look back and know so much that is opaque now. | |||
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Member |
https://www.breitbart.com/nati...tm_campaign=20200314 China Pushes Propaganda that U.S. Created the Coronavirus | |||
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Member |
^^^. Not worth commenting on. ——————————————— The fool hath said in his heart, There is no God. Psalm 14:1 | |||
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| Gracie Allen is my personal savior! |
I've gotta admit, I'm curious as to how local conditions are helping or hindering the potential spread. When the weather starts warming up or cooling down between "seasons" in Texas, incidents of allergies often go 'way up. If immune systems are taking a greater-than-normal beating this year independent of the spread of the corona virus, maybe it's making that spread easier. At the same time weather patterns, how moist the air is, etc., could make a difference. If someone does a sort of methodical forensic exam of this in the future it might make for some downright interesting reading. | |||
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Nullus Anxietas |
Indeed. I hope the asshole chokes on that stuff. He and everybody like him. Hope Craig's List and Facebook Marketplace likewise show them the door. If the damn gun show operators had had as much class as Amazon and eBay, we might not have had the same problem with ammo a few years ago. "America is at that awkward stage. It's too late to work within the system,,,, but too early to shoot the bastards." -- Claire Wolfe "If we let things terrify us, life will not be worth living." -- Seneca the Younger, Roman Stoic philosopher | |||
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| goodheart |
From Powerlineblog.com, a quote from an article in the Times of London (Times requires registration)
Link _________________________ “ What all the wise men promised has not happened, and what all the damned fools said would happen has come to pass.”— Lord Melbourne | |||
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Member |
And that is EXACTLY why people have been advocating taking immediate, significant measures to slow the spread. We don't KNOW that things will get that bad (and then worse, as it will get in Italy before it gets better - today was another day of exponential growth in number of cases) here. It's possible that for some reason it just wouldn't be that bad here. But if you wait to take steps until it's really obvious there's a big problem, your big problem is going to turn into a horrific one before it gets better. | |||
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| wishing we were congress |
 Italy's numbers esp look bad 1441 / 21157 = 7 % (same death rate as above sjtill post) 1518 / 17750 = 9 % serious cases of the 17,750 active cases still's post above indicates Italy had 17,660 cases Friday. above chart shows 3497 new cases in one day 17660 + 3497 = 21,157 cases | |||
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Tinker Sailor Soldier Pie |
My county, Summit County, just announced ALL restaurants will be closed starting Monday. I'm sorry, but stuff like this just doesn't come across as reasonable to me. ~Alan Acta Non Verba NRA Life Member (Patron) God, Family, Guns, Country Men will fight and die to protect women... because women protect everything else. ~Andrew Klavan "Once there was only dark. If you ask me, light is winning." ~Rust Cohle | |||
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| Member |
I believe the comment has been made previously in this thread that we were following Italy's exponential curve, 10-11 days behind. So far, that had continued to be true, the curves are almost identical, although over the last two days we've accelerated a bit compared to Italy. (Note, though, that these are confirmed cases - obviously, no one knows exactly how many cases there are that haven't been tested, in either country.)  | |||
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| california tumbles into the sea |
This business will get out of control. It will get out of control and we'll be lucky to live through it. | |||
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Member |
God bless business folks like you. I am also grateful that the local businesses that I’ve shown loyalty to behave similarly. “It is not the critic who counts; not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles, or where the doer of deeds could have done them better. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood; who strives valiantly; who errs, who comes short again and again, because there is no effort without error and shortcoming; but who does actually strive to do the deeds; who knows great enthusiasms, the great devotions; who spends himself in a worthy cause; who at the best knows in the end the triumph of high achievement, and who at the worst, if he fails, at least fails while daring greatly, so that his place shall never be with those cold and timid souls who neither know victory nor defeat.” | |||
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Member |
No catfish fishermen in your area huh? | |||
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Official Space Nerd |
Noble sentiment, but not a good long range business strategy. I know that if I were turned away because I couldn't prove I was a 'loyal customer,' I would certainly remember the experience and never shop there again. On the era of social media, word would get around really quick. And unless you are a very small business, who would know who the 'regulars' are? Fear God and Dread Nought Admiral of the Fleet Sir Jacky Fisher | |||
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| california tumbles into the sea |
Our County Public Communications Specialist put out an announcement a couple days ago: 8 cases in _____ County – 7 presumptive positives and 1 that has been confirmed by the CDC. There are now a total of 11 statewide. Then I read that testing kits (the only way to confirm a positive covid19) are like hen's teeth. And since they are so scarce, in one state, they will not test unless you have a 101.4F temperature. So in my mind: due to the lack of testing kits, cases seem low..., so: 1 - you can't report a positive unless it's verified with an authentic testing kit. 2 - due to the lack of testing kits, you can't test for it.  | |||
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| Peace through superior firepower  |
As the President said, we've learned a lot- for instance, always cook your bat to an internal temperature of at least 160 degrees. And perhaps we have fewer people in the country who believe in gun control than we did last week. The coming Zombie Apocalypse has aided these people in achieving universal clarity. Suddenly, those inexpensive Chinese meds no longer seem like a bargain. Lots of eyes are being opened, and some people are actually beginning to consider the matter. Survival prepping, our formerly secure relationship to food, and so forth- definitely a socially significant event, this bug. | |||
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| Member |
That's how it is being reported virtually everywhere, but from what I have read, we have hundreds of thousands of not millions of test kits - the real problem is capacity to process kits. Until the CDC opened test processing to private labs about a week ago, across the entire United States we only had the capacity to process a few hundred test kits per day. According to this ( http://twitter.com/COVID2019tests ), we have the capacity to process up to 26,000 or so kits a day now (up from ~8000 on March 9), but nowhere near that many are being done. According to this ( https://www.cdc.gov/coronaviru...s/testing-in-us.html ) fewer than 20,000 tests have been performed in the US, total, since the beginning of the outbreak. From what my wife is hearing from her network of doctor friends, the people tasked with distributing kits (mostly county public health offices) are still sticking to old protocols and refusing to distribute kits, although I have no idea how serious a problem that actually is. | |||
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SIGforum.com Main Page The Lounge When will the coronavirus arrive in the US? (Disease: COVID-19; Virus: SARS-CoV-2)
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