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אַרְיֵה |
Weather.com is forecasting the highest winds in the Orlando area during the coming week will reach 17 mph. הרחפת שלי מלאה בצלופחים | |||
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Member |
^^^^^^^^^^^^ Yeah. It is like the stock market. Someone will eventually be right. | |||
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Thank you Very little |
I have bolted down the tomatoes and pepper plants, all hanging baskets are under cover, we've bought up all the Claussen Garlic Dills. Should be good to go! | |||
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Member |
Have you cleaned your gutters??? We have had two days without rain. It has rained all day, every day for a week. Same after Christobal. About 20 inches of rain in a month. No longer in a drought! | |||
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Thank you Very little |
Yep Gutters have been cleaned and ready for rain! Cigar humidor checked | |||
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Ice age heat wave, cant complain. |
I'm jumping in the pool. Wait, there's a storm coming? NRA Life Member Steak: Rare. Coffee: Black. Bourbon: Neat. | |||
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Member |
You will be fine in the pool. Remember to put in your patio furniture so it wont blow around. Just get under the water when the winds pick up. | |||
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Member |
Weird??? No. Utah will get 12" snow drop a couple of times per year. 6" snow drop multiple times per year. 60-80 mph canyon winds on a regular basis. How big of pussies are Floridians? | |||
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Ice age heat wave, cant complain. |
Well, you don’t hear us bitching about our snowfall, that’s for sure. NRA Life Member Steak: Rare. Coffee: Black. Bourbon: Neat. | |||
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Member |
Mr Mike, that made me smile. Be safe my friend. Sorry, I didn't mean to downplay the possible shit storm coming your way. | |||
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Ice age heat wave, cant complain. |
All good, Man. Posted from the pool! NRA Life Member Steak: Rare. Coffee: Black. Bourbon: Neat. | |||
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Member |
From tHurricane Isaias Discussion Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020 500 PM EDT Fri Jul 31 2020 Deep convection, with occasional overshooting cloud tops of -85C to -90C just north of the center, has continued to develop during the normal diurnal convective minimum period, which is quite impressive. The most recent Air Force Reserve recon flight-level wind data, along with ASCAT surface wind data, indicate that the inner-core and outer wind field have both contracted in size. Furthermore, radar data from the Bahamas and an 1810Z AMSR-2 microwave pass also indicate that a small 10-nmi-wide mid-level eye is forming. The last recon central pressure was 991 mb and the 700 mb height had decreased by 30 meters since the earlier maximum height around 1230Z. These data indicate that Isaias is getting better organized. The initial intensity remains 65 kt based on an earlier 700-mb flight-level wind speed of 72 kt, which reduces to a 65-kt surface wind speed using a 90-percent adjustment factor. The initial motion remains northwestward or 305/12 kt. The 12Z global models have once again made a westward shift due to the ridge to the north of Isaias not weakening as quickly as expected. This is partly due to the ridge being stronger than expected and a shortwave trough over the central United States moving a little slower into the southeastern U.S. than previously indicated. The UKMET and ECMWF explicitly show Isaias making landfall in 36-48 hours along the southeast Florida coast, but appear to weaken the system below hurricane strength. The GFS similarly brings the cyclone close to the southeast and east-central Florida coasts, but also as a somewhat weaker system. In the 48 to 60-hour period, the cyclone is forecast to move slowly north-northwestward and northward through a break in the subtropical ridge extending westward from the Atlantic across Florida and into the northern Gulf of Mexico. By that time, however, Isaias is expected to weaken below hurricane strength due to the combination of strong southwesterly vertical wind shear and interaction the Florida peninsula. Around 72 hours, the cyclone should accelerate northeastward and possibly strengthen some before passing over eastern North Carolina on day 4, and across eastern New England on day 5. The NHC track forecast lies close to a blend of the consensus models TVCA and NOAA-HCCA and is east of the UKMET and ECMWF with the system forecast to be stronger than those models indicate. Due to the westward shift in the NHC forecast track, a Hurricane Warning and Storm Surge Watch have been issued for portions of the Florida east coast. The center of Isaias is now located in the center of an expanding CDO feature. The improved inner-core wind field and aforementioned convective structure, along with very warm SSTs near 30C, should support some strengthening overnight and early Saturday morning. However, increasing southwesterly vertical wind shear is expected to cause a gradual decrease in intensity by Sunday and continue into early next week. The new official intensity forecast is a little lower than the previous advisory and is near the higher end of the intensity guidance. Key Messages: 1. Hurricane conditions and dangerous storm surge are expected in portions of the Bahamas through Saturday, and Hurricane Warnings are in effect. 2. Hurricane conditions are expected along portions of the Florida east coast late Saturday and Saturday night, and a Hurricane Warning has been issued. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. 3. Dangerous storm surge is possible along the Florida east coast from Jupiter Inlet to Ponte Vedra Beach where water rises of 2 to 4 feet above ground level are possible along the immediate coastline and adjacent waterways. Residents in these areas should follow advice given by local emergency officials. 4. Isaias will produce heavy rains and potentially life-threatening flash and urban flooding, especially in low-lying and poorly drained areas across south to east-central Florida, and across the Carolinas to the mid Atlantic. Isolated minor river flooding is possible across the eastern Carolinas and into Virginia early next week. 5. There is a risk of impacts from winds, heavy rainfall, and storm surge spreading along much of the the U.S. east coast through early next week, and interests there should monitor the progress of Isaias and updates to the forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 31/2100Z 22.6N 75.7W 65 KT 75 MPH 12H 01/0600Z 23.9N 77.2W 70 KT 80 MPH 24H 01/1800Z 25.4N 78.8W 75 KT 85 MPH 36H 02/0600Z 26.8N 79.9W 70 KT 80 MPH 48H 02/1800Z 28.3N 80.4W 65 KT 75 MPH 60H 03/0600Z 30.0N 80.4W 60 KT 70 MPH 72H 03/1800Z 32.5N 79.4W 60 KT 70 MPH 96H 04/1800Z 39.0N 74.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 120H 05/1800Z 45.4N 65.9W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ Forecaster Stewart | |||
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Frangas non Flectes |
You... uh... ever been in a tropical storm or hurricane when it makes landfall? I dealt with snow like you describe for a decade, and I’ve dealt with the other thing in Florida. A whiteout blizzard and a hurricane aren’t even close to the same thing. Hell, the closest comparison I can come up with was the ice storm of '98, and even with a month of freezing rain, there wasn't the same amount of damage and destruction that a hurricane or good tropical storm can bring. ______________________________________________ Carthago delenda est | |||
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Uh, Ummm... thinking? How about snow avalanches covering cars? Does that count? Canyon snow is a big deal here. You just don't hear about it. Stay safe P220. | |||
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Savor the limelight |
True story: I lost 4 - 4'x8' sliding glass doors during hurricane Charley. I didn't find them until I siphoned the pool to drain it. | |||
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^^^^^^^^^ They just upped it to 30mph so time to bring in loose objects, but no real concern | |||
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^^^^^^^^^^ Oh I believe it. Moving stuff around so its safe and then cannot find it. | |||
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No double standards |
The old adage, two jobs where you can be wrong most of the time and still make good money: an economist and a weatherman. "Liberty lies in the hearts of men and women. When it dies there, no constitution, no law, no court can save it....While it lies there, it needs no constitution, no law, no court to save it" - Judge Learned Hand, May 1944 | |||
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For Bytes: | |||
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Call me when your canyon snows start doing this: To give you an idea... A fully developed hurricane releases the same amount of energy as the explosion of a 10-megaton nuke every 20 minutes, the NOAA says. That's more than 666 times bigger than the "Little Boy" bomb that the US dropped on Hiroshima. | |||
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